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Cheltenham Festival

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mythical prince
16 Mar 11 18:45
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Date Joined: 20 Sep 06
| Topic/replies: 3,712 | Blogger: mythical prince's blog
as usual I don't have a clue Laugh

never really rated poquelin, but maybe he gets the vote by default?  he stopped jvole last year when she looked like making a big move.  perhaps shes the one.

gauvin, kalahari king, can't have them really, particularly the ferdy murphy horse. somersby if he does reappear will appreciate the less hectic gallop, but he's starting to look like a nearly horse.

anyway to sum up, anyone got any ideas? help! [smiley:crazy]

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Replies: 39
By:
Mr Eboue
When: 16 Mar 11 18:52
If the same Albertas run turns up as last year he should win. Big If though.


I havent a clue either.
By:
SatelliteFlight
When: 16 Mar 11 18:53
Albertas Run for me again, hopefully the rain stays away and i see the race going pretty much the same as last year, well i hope it does anyway Laugh
By:
GT
When: 16 Mar 11 19:00
kalahari always runs well @ cheltenham. possibly his best trip tomorrow.
By:
RomanPavlyuchenko
When: 16 Mar 11 19:11
Been trying to get Poq beat by Albertas again for last hour, but cant ffs
By:
mythical prince
When: 16 Mar 11 19:19
yeah starting to come around to the idea that poquelin wins by default. although its a horse that i've never really rated so don't say it with much confidence. rubi light seems interesting though as an outsider due to having one of the few progressive profiles in the field.

or perhaps a fresh voy por? [:p]
By:
thefarmer
When: 16 Mar 11 19:51
I think it is between Kalahari King and Albertas Run. Poquelin will be thereabouts without being good enough to win.
By:
marychain1
When: 16 Mar 11 19:59
Roberto Goldback for me. Might not have the class of some of these but has every right to line up with some of the horses it finished in front of, I'm taking the 25/1 now looking at how this race might cut up further.
By:
Lady Margaret
When: 16 Mar 11 20:24
Back the course specialists so Dutch Albertas and KK to follow Sizing's example and do the business
By:
el chine
When: 16 Mar 11 21:14
come on kk, need it for a double with Bensalem both at 10s ! plus a single at 10s for the icing !
By:
doodlebanger
When: 16 Mar 11 21:18
Poquelin only bet 2moro, think it wins
By:
TheFormMan
When: 16 Mar 11 21:20
Had a look before and i am going to side with Gauvain at 12/1 in the ryanair,ran a career best over the trip last time out going toe to toe with Riverside Theater until getting a little outclassed over the last 2 fences,but was well clear of the 3rd and looks very solid form,loves cheltenham and is a previous winner,with ifs buts and doubts about most of the runners he looks value,think the favorite is a bit soft in a finish and the big danger is Albertas who will have everything in his favour for the first time this year
By:
call it a day
When: 16 Mar 11 21:25
If, and it's a big if, that Hey Big Spender gets his jumping together, then he could run a big race at a stupid price. Tanking along last year at the festival until he hit the deck, his handicap win at Warwick looks good form. Needs to be kept interested up with the pace as seems to sulk if held up. Certainly not a 33-1 shot in what looks a lousy renewal.
By:
mightymoyes
When: 16 Mar 11 21:26
j y'vole all the way!
By:
mightymoyes
When: 16 Mar 11 21:26
[b]j'y vole[/b even
By:
Clarky9
When: 16 Mar 11 23:29
Albertas Run will lap them!
By:
mythical prince
When: 16 Mar 11 23:33
im even more confused now Cry
By:
Far From Trouble
When: 16 Mar 11 23:33
gonna make it more confusing myth and throw Gauvain into the mixer Laugh
By:
mythical prince
When: 16 Mar 11 23:35
someone mentioned that earlier fft Laugh

wheres kevbettingsuperstar when you need him Cry
By:
Far From Trouble
When: 16 Mar 11 23:38
Not had a strong opinion on this race since Zaarito was ruled out a while back

Only a small play for me. Never taken to Poquelin and the others have niggling doubts around them, so i'm going with what I believe the value is

gl whatever you do Grin
By:
Tavaris Jackson
When: 16 Mar 11 23:40
On KK antepost and would like to back J'y Vole but keep looking at Roberto Goldback.
By:
talkinghorse
When: 16 Mar 11 23:44
Kalahari King for me if G Lee can keep him interested!! but agree with the majority, poor renewel!!
By:
mcgoldrick
When: 16 Mar 11 23:46
Agree with most of the analysis Mythical. As a grade One this is weaker than last night's Carling. Almost going to say Poquelin by default too because Alberta's looks past best, J'y Vole done nothing since last year, ditto Kalahari King.

Voypor...well we all love Voypor but couldn't win it when he was in his prime never mind after all he has been through. Still a 10 year-old mind (shouldn't he be about 13?)

Poquelin will probably win it but can anybody really derive festival joy by backing a Stewart/Nicholls/Walsh shot in the Ryanair? No. Rubi Light each way @25s for me.
By:
oakey
When: 16 Mar 11 23:55
Didn't king say that voy por wasn't right las year and if hendo has got him remotely right then he'll go very very well?
By:
mythical prince
When: 17 Mar 11 00:00
yeah i'm with you on this one mcgoldrick. never liked poquelin you always feel he's vulnreable to a horse with a touch of brilliance (which admittedly this race is sadly lacking)  so my earlier idea of backing it by default seems rather stupid.

last years renewal was so ordinary that i'm leaning towards something that didn't run in that race, which narrows it down to the likes of rubi light
By:
cruise d
When: 17 Mar 11 00:16
I'm on Poquelin at 7/2 and think he is a solid favourite. KK has been talked into the price he is and AR has been horrendous this year. I know AR comes good around now and on this ground but last year he came good from running OK all season, this year he has been shocking all season and so has Jonjo.

Poquelin is 8 now and entitled to improve a little on last year, it looks as if he has given that he produced the best form of his career last time out over course and distance. I really don't get the J'Y Vole was unlucky last year theory, every time I watch it I think they are both affected as badly and when they kick for home up the hill Poquelin pulls away.

The only live danger I can see is Gauvain who I may back as a saver and maybe in a forcast. I love AR but I would want to see him run to within a stone of what he is/was capable of before backing him at what is a short enough price based on what he has done all year.
By:
mcgoldrick
When: 17 Mar 11 00:18
Agreed 100pc on Alberta's mate. Can't see the Spring resrugence happening again.
By:
Giddy
When: 17 Mar 11 01:08
I agree totally with TheFormMans post about Gauvain and just to add the connections ran For Non Stop today who ran a blinder until tipping up at the last.Would appear the stables in form and im confident of a big run.
By:
fivebagken
When: 17 Mar 11 03:14
Since his chasing career began Albertas Run's form on good ground reads 1211323111

Hope this helps
By:
Rondetto
When: 17 Mar 11 06:38
It's obviously not been the plan to have Aleberta's run so badly all season just to land a touch here. He's had genuine problems hurting his back in a fall and although he wasn't hard done by at Kempton it's a arce he could have done without.

No secret that it's been an uphill struggle to get him here but as good as Jonjo is at getting them spot I reckon it's too much to expect. I'd be more inclined to watch and back him in running because I've a feeling Jonjo is running him not expecting him to win but prep him up for Aintree and this race may have come a tad too soon for him.

Either way Poquelin looks to have turned the corner and put his somewhat checkered past behind him. Was very impressed he won last time and wouldn't look past him today. Kalahara King has a touch of class, Ferdy won't hear of him being beat but that's par for the course with this horse and the Festival so I'm sticking with PN's
By:
GI MAC
When: 17 Mar 11 08:50
Rubi Light is an interesting runner, doesn't have much to find to get into the mix. There's a chance the ground might not suit, but @ 25/1 I'll take a wee risk. He's by the same sire as Sprinter Sacre and he handled the ground ok.
By:
TheFormMan
When: 17 Mar 11 12:08
Backed Gauvain last night as stated earlier and have also lumped on Albertas this morning having had another look,decided that there is no reason at all why those behind him should finish in front of him today,happy enough with his first run of the season behind Poq and Monets as he has always run poorly first time out the last couple of seasons,was in the process of running a good race next time out behind Master Minded before a heavy fall,was very sore after that and connections have stated that Dougie Costello felt he was never right during his next run and he was pulled up in the King George as he was still feeling the effects of that fall as tests proved afterwards,having said that he gets beat 100 lenghts by kauto in the KG anyway,so would not be a great worry either way,took the team a while to get him back to full fitness where he is now,is a 3 time cheltenham winner,twice at the festival,clearly comes to himself at this time of year and loves the good ground,taking all into account,he is ready to run a huge race,probably would not have made this bet but for Sizing Europe winning yesterday,but am tired of ignoring returning festival winners due to having an in and out season and prep for the festival
By:
antipodian
When: 17 Mar 11 12:47
Think Poquelin is there to be taken on, like J'Y vole based on races been in, jockey booking. The only concern is if he kicks on between the last two or has enough of a run in after the last. Rubi Light is very good value at the price
By:
wellchief
When: 17 Mar 11 13:04
If anyone fancies Roberto Goldback you've got to have a look at Rubi Light.

The big question is the ground, but he beat Roberto Golback 10 lengths last time out, and Roberto Goldback has also beaten Jy Vole this year.  I've seen worse 25/1 shots
By:
Storm Alert
When: 17 Mar 11 13:09
I backed AR P at 9/1, as my take was I was betting on the stable getting him back after nasty fall and I was willng to gamble on that.Even at 13/2 I think he is value against what he is up against.
By:
SatelliteFlight
When: 17 Mar 11 15:46
GET THE FOOK IN



what a ride AP CoolCoolCool
By:
TheFormMan
When: 17 Mar 11 15:49
GrinGrinGrinGrin thats just what we wanted,cracking rideLove
By:
GI MAC
When: 17 Mar 11 16:00
yup, typical McCoy ride, thought mine was getting back up, but McCoy was never gonna lose
By:
Lady Margaret
When: 17 Mar 11 16:33
Lady Margaret     16 Mar 11 19:24 
Back the course specialists so Dutch Albertas and KK to follow Sizing's example and do the business
By:
Clarky9
When: 17 Mar 11 21:04
Oi oi!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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