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An even money winner is always better than a 16/1 loser in my book! Why complicate things!?
Firstly, if something works for you don't change. Also punting is one of the few times in life when you have total freedom. You can make Goliaths work? Great! You look for e/w long shots against short priced favourites? Good for you! You only back odds against? Party on my wayward son! I can only talk about the way I work, which is, in the knowledge that there's not a man alive that can back every winner in every race. Therefore you have to ensure that the profit you make from your winners covers the losses you make on your losers. Starting with that as your objective rather than picking the winner of the race and you have to go down what we might call the 'value' approach to race study which Zilzal (I assume) and I espouse. Of course, 'value' is an almighty subject, for another thread. BTW I won't be having a bet in the Champion Hurdle (other than my laughable hoovering up of the 'value' on Clerks Choice at 25/1 back in November!). That way I'll have more chance to study the form in the William Hill Chase the night before! |
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Totally agree, everyone should bet how they want and what works for each individual is the way forward! I only asked the question out of interest really, I find each persons betting patterns and ideas facinating; the one thing I would say is do not underestimate bookmakers, especially at the festival and the big races in particular! They rarely make mistakes such is the amount of money they turn over, and it can pay to use their knowledge as a guide, rather than take a tunnel view of trying to beat them at their own game! That said, if we all backed the same horse none of us would make a penny, so best of luck however you play!
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