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re todays interview, he didn't say QE was a definate, but he neither said MDH was either, and it would be hard to imagine him not having one reprsentative. Blazing Tempo is in also who looks very decent but also has a Mares engagement.
Personally think MDH should be given an begginers chase rather than another step into G1 company. The trip of the Moriarty suits QE perfectly at this stage. |
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Speed the Moriarity is run would be about the same as the RSA, and we know Quel stays so no fact finding needed there.
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He didnt stay 3m at Cheltenham beaten 38 lengths in the Albert Bartlett when only 7th which is why they had him in the shorter 2m 5f Neptune in which he fell. LMFAO pocket talkers r'us.
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ive been harping on aboout Flat Out for the last three days here,his workhas been the best ive seen looks likely to peakin perfect time for Chelltenhamhave a decent cut at 10s ew for the Irish Arkle and have backed him heavily for the Arkle down to 14s,Hills still giving 14s will be 8s after the wweeekend
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The market opened with Flat Out at 7/1 so I'm baffled how you managed to get 10/1 for the Irish Arkle.
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He was never 10's. Well done for telling a porky.
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itopened higher than 10's backed it at 10s in Paddypower on the 04/01/11 again on the 5th and on the 7th
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I know sint, I've the horse backed ap for both the Arkle and Irish Arkle.
This louse69 seems to be wanting people to think he's got inside knowledge about mullins stable, but he talks too much and only joined betair in may. |
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Check what you say before you post it opened 8s in vc again hit by us and 8s and Bet365
http://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing-betting/ante-post-racing/national-hunt/arkle-novice-chase Please watch what you call someone before posting. I have been going on about Flat Out since helping him do somework at the start of the season |
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Also PP offered 12s before Christmas, so please check your stats before accusing people on here. Thanks
Ill say one more thing take the 14son Flat Out in Hills now |
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What is posting a link to odds checker gonna prove?
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The odds that it opened you clown.How stupid are you? You come on here abusing me over opening prices when you obviously didnt look at the Irish Arkle when it opened, the prices came out during Leopardstown Christmas festival
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louse, think we're right to be sceptical to be honest Flat Out didn't run in a begginrs chase until Jan 8 and your saying you backed him before then for a grade 1! Anyway, gl with your bet, hope he does the bizzo.
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I agree Sintonian with what you are saying but the feel the lads had on this could'nt of been stronger.10s they said was extreme value even without seeing himon track advantage of working there before. I have a flat tip that i wwillpost in the coming weeks so that this wont happen again as i started backing it a month.
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Whats WP's best bumper horse iyo?
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I will askoneof the lads tomorrow for you and pm you. Sintonian can i ask you something,if you got really strong wordon a horse and its running a nothing race that it will 75% of the time win and if it does the price on its next aim this case the Irish Arkle will be significantly effected would you back both races before it runs or after,once the info hits the tape value is over 50% gone therfore more risk implies,this is why when i heard i did the two Arkle's andthen had two bets on him that day one at 11/8 and the other at evs which i think returned 11/10 if i remember correctly
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hope it wins after all this
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louse69 dont listen to them mate I believe your prices. I have backed him for the Irish Arkle and was tempted earlier but with Mullins you really dont know what will run if like me you dont get inside info.
Studied his first run and for me he is the horse to put it up to Ghizao in the Arkle itself but only if his jumping holds up, he has such speed to burn you know it will be a good Arkle this year with him and Ghizao in it. Also stepped up my combis on Flat Out. There is a strong suspicion Nolan is aiming Noble Prince after his recent comments over elaborating on how the jockey said the further he went the better he went over a longer trip, they are looking to step him up etc ... personally I think they are aiming him at the Arkle behind all of this. He is an interesting candidate and worth a cover. |
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Louse, I dont listen to stonr words, to be perfectly honest. If you are very closely connected to people involved then fine, but more often than not it is secondary info rather than primary, and you wont make a profit in the long run betting like that.
good luck for tomorrow anwya, top price is 5/2 now, the price Eric has taken. |
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*strong
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Quel Esprit = RSA, Cheltenham = Victory = money for me and you(unless your thick enough not to back it
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I hope so too bud, I've backed him for this antepost and he's my main Arkle horse too.
Also sint, bud, check the Zaidpour thread, this louse is a liar. I caught him out. Fed up with these kind of people on betfair. |
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I reckon Louse/Mayweather/Eric are all the same person. Just spreading crap and lies and putting people way off target, if anyone is even listening to them anymore!
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just watching tmrw cv,so will cheer it in for you.
yeh,read those threads re the louse chap,he is well out of order it seems.what with mayweather telling us QE was injured as well,think bfair need to take a look at some of these posts. |
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childofmine block me you clown. You get as much wrong as sintonian and that is saying something.
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By the way childofmine where have I put people way off target rather than get things right while you carry on guessing. Dont accuse people of lieing when they are not you thick clown. I dont get into childish things like sintonian ringing up to get people banned because they have a clue and he doesnt, if I did you would all be banned for spreading malicious incorrect rubbish above.
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Flat outs formis dead solid 4th in the Supreme was a dreamlast day with the1st and last the only problems
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Impressive though he was, he beat fcuk all that day. The 2nd and 3rd favourites were non-runners on the day. The current 9/4 is a ridiulous price for what he has achieved and is being backed on connections and strength of what the trainer has said.
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Well as he is 2/5 (0.4/1) to lose and 5/2 (2.5/1) to win, you having a more than 6 times better chance of him losing than winning today still doesnt mean you have a clue if he loses clown. His jumping is key.
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He was/is favourite, Eric. So dress it up how you like. Flat Out is the least exposed runner in the field today, so he is perfectly entitled to improve and step up on what he has shown, but even someone as biased as you will have to admite he didn'' beat much last time, and his price today has a lot to do with Willie Mullins tipping everyone off. Good lcuk with you bet, if you do have a winner, I hope you enjoy it instead of copying and pasting every comment you have ever made just to gloat.
It looks a good race, and may the best horse win. |
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Have covered on Saludos re Flat Out's jumping.
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There we go jumping was the key travelling easy when he fell. Ghizao, Captain Chris and Finian's Rainbow still the ones to beat unless Flat Out and quite a few others of Mullins get jumping lessons. Noble Prince needs stepping up in trip not the pace to win the Arkle.
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It may sound silly to say but I dont think Mullins is giving his novices enough time between their races. Flat Out ran just 15 days ago in a beginners chase and was then thrust into grade 1 company. For the top races like Arkle's etc preparation is everything.
I was impressed with Realt Dubh battling back there today, but still think the English horses are the one to beat. Flat Out worth another chance, if he is given the time! |
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Agree on that they also need to get someone in to help with jumping coaching the horses. Henderson gets people in to talk to his horses (Long Run who went on to win the King George) dont think a jumping specialist at Mullins to sort them out over the larger obstacles would go amiss. Binocular last season they had someone in sort his hurdling out ... is Mullins going to look for ways of improving the novices jumping?
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Quel Espirit would be a lay for me in the Arkle. In his stable tour WM said 'He's built for chasing, he will appreciate plenty of distance and soft ground'. Doesn't sound like Arkle for me.
I appreciate M D'A wouldn' be ideal but I somehow feel the RSA can be a horse breaker and he wil avoid it with this horse. May be wrong of course, after all I thought Thousand Stars would be his Arkle horse, he got that wrong. |
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All evidence so far shows Mikael should go for the longer race re his jumping being way better as he cruised up with Jessie's Dream compared to the 2 miles where he lost his rhythm completely. Quel Esprit will have a better chance in the 2m 4f race. They shouldnt give up on Flat Out for the Arkle he has the pace and had a great rhythm until he came down.
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QE isn't going for the Arkle. If he was, he'd have ran today.
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"Well as he is 2/5 (0.4/1) to lose and 5/2 (2.5/1) to win, you having a more than 6 times better chance of him losing than winning"
Don't want to be a pedant eric, but don't think the odds' percentage chances you have quoted quite work like that. |
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ok ...win more than 6 times the amount for him winning ... I do know prpobabilities
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Good good, just wanted to make sure you didn't confuse the less intellectual posters than yourself.
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