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dwm767
25 Nov 10 19:38
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Date Joined: 07 May 06
| Topic/replies: 731 | Blogger: dwm767's blog
...apologies to speak of a race which ended so tragically but I thought this horse was very impressive today! Nicholls has said he's not sure about Cheltenham, but I see no reason why not! Jumped brilliantly until tiring late on; dare I say reminiscent of a young Denman!
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Report Howdi • November 25, 2010 7:46 PM GMT
i agreed with all until the last sentence Denman he ain't !!
Report ImSoLuckyLucky! • November 25, 2010 8:05 PM GMT
Isnt it
1833

Not a bad cider!!!

Cool
Report revedesivola • November 25, 2010 8:21 PM GMT
dont think hes that great to be honest. race fell into his arms. henderson horse ran no sort of a race and proved before he is better and i think tell massini would have beaten him
Report Luke01 • November 25, 2010 8:29 PM GMT
I think he could be a great horse. RSA be perfect for him -
Report revedesivola • November 25, 2010 8:40 PM GMT
Laugh
Report sageform • November 25, 2010 8:40 PM GMT
Still a baby apparently but very impressive today. He did run down his fences in the staright but that was tiredness and lack of company. It was a brave move to take on Tell Massini from the start as TM liked to lead and could never get past the winner. We will never know who would have won if TM had not fallen but I think 1833 would still have won. Michel le Bon won just as easily last year though and didn't progress.
Report dananderson • November 25, 2010 8:42 PM GMT
ive always thought this horse could be vcery high class chaser
Report dananderson • November 25, 2010 8:43 PM GMT
sageform michel le bon has not ran since
Report TD_Gunner • November 25, 2010 8:48 PM GMT
Impressive.
Report revedesivola • November 25, 2010 8:48 PM GMT
i dont think he will win a class 3 novice next time out under  a penalty. im not trying to be provocative but i think the reason lots of ppl think this lad is great is bcos of hype. nicholls thought sang bleu was the next big thing too. i consider him to be a lucky class 3 winner and nothing else
Report dananderson • November 25, 2010 8:50 PM GMT
i still think nicholls though alfie was by far the better but alfie in the process of being ruined by jonjo
Report buddeliea • November 25, 2010 8:50 PM GMT
Funny aint it,i werent that impressed with him.Think he would have won anyway,but looked a bit too fecked at the end for my liking.Not for me as antepost bet,thats for sure.
Report dananderson • November 25, 2010 8:51 PM GMT
not even seent he race me i dont need to i already knew he was a very decent horse . gonna watch it in a min
Report TD_Gunner • November 25, 2010 8:52 PM GMT
Reckon he'll go off a short price in the 2011 Welsh National [:p]
Report revedesivola • November 25, 2010 8:54 PM GMT
dan, never stops amazing me what good old jonjo can turn into a dog
Report dananderson • November 25, 2010 8:54 PM GMT
yes i was thinking a race like that . looks a real strong stayer
Report Ibrahima Sonko • November 25, 2010 10:23 PM GMT
I remember a couple years ago and nicholls said 1833 was going to be top chaser,been waiting a long time him to make his chase debut.  I backed him for the rsa this morning and had to back him at newbury today when 7/1 was available as i was expecting around 3/1-4/1. (sorry to aftertime)
Report revedesivola • November 25, 2010 10:45 PM GMT
and im sorry you backed him for the rsa. i think he was the third best horse in the field
Report TD_Gunner • November 25, 2010 10:50 PM GMT
So he wins a race by 17 lengths and then is claimed to be the 3rd best in the race.

Mischief
Report revedesivola • November 25, 2010 10:59 PM GMT
just my opinion. best horse fell, second best who already beat him whilst giving him weight clearly wasnt at the races... excuse the pun
Report Koo.... • November 25, 2010 11:10 PM GMT
Cant see this doing much.   Looks a bit soft to me
Report revedesivola • November 25, 2010 11:13 PM GMT
cant wait till his next run personally. il b layin till the cows come home and cant imagine hes goin t be too big  either
Report Masterminded • November 25, 2010 11:51 PM GMT
I was told about this horse before it even ran a race under rules by a very reliable person. No matter what anyone says he has not lived up to what they thought he was going to be. They named him after their cheese company which tells a story in itself he was seriously well thought of. I think he will excel over jumps but he does not have the high class hurdle form for me to be getting too excited at the moment. He does have a look about him though that he hasn't really grown up and might just need even more time to strengthen up. He has definitely got the potential to be a nice horse but I couldn't compare him with Denman and for me the RSA could send him backwards.
Report R Carver • November 26, 2010 12:04 AM GMT
Such a shame for TM, a lovely looking horse.

1833 impressive today, gorgeous type of horse. looks like he'll be far better over fences, though i take today's form with a pinch of salt.

Btw, if Alfie was a superstar, why did PFN let him go for 110k? peanuts....
Report Ibrahima Sonko • November 26, 2010 6:02 AM GMT
If you think backing a horse at 80's and being able to lay it at 34 is a poor move then good luck, if i had been a bit smarter then 150+ was around.

Be There In Five already had already beaten 1833 over hurdles but 1833 beat that opponent a long way on their chasing debuts, I know their is a long way to go but that was a pretty good debut in very testing conditions.
Report dananderson • November 26, 2010 3:30 PM GMT
carver alfie has had setback after setback. and nicholls tried getting him back but was outbid
Report R Carver • November 26, 2010 3:34 PM GMT
Yes, i know he's been hard to keep right, but if he thought there was masses left he'd not have been outbidded at 110k surely, which suggests jonjo may not have a great horse left to 'ruin'
Report revedesivola • November 26, 2010 3:57 PM GMT
a 110k purchase should not be beaten 16 lengths in a class 4 chase
Report R Carver • November 26, 2010 4:16 PM GMT
i can probably name 50 that have RDS, particularly when they are not ready to win. 110k aint a lot for a horse these days
Report sintonian • November 26, 2010 4:59 PM GMT
Nice aftertiming Ibrahim.

I thought the horse looked a decent prospect in the making. Gangly individual with plenty of improvement to come which is probably why the Trainer has already sounded the warning bells about the RSA. He doesn't look ready for it just yet imo.
Report dananderson • December 1, 2010 1:04 PM GMT
ive made my mind up that this fella could well win a gold cup one day and maybe next years henessy . nicholls seems unbelievably sweet on him . and he stills ays hes just a little baby .
Report revedesivola • December 1, 2010 1:13 PM GMT
well dan, hows it goin. do you know if exeter is going to be on? can wait to see royal charm
Report dananderson • December 1, 2010 3:13 PM GMT
doubt it mate . and i wouldnt want roiyal charm to run a yard over 2 miles at the moment . how impressive was diamond harry some performance that .
Report revedesivola • December 1, 2010 4:01 PM GMT
nice alright. good idea to bowl along infront i thought. id say if more did similar then they could have finished much closer. good place to be as denners proved in years gone by
Report revedesivola • December 1, 2010 4:03 PM GMT
sandown now if not called off. fckin snow
Report sageform • December 1, 2010 4:50 PM GMT
Spoke to Paul immediately after the race at Newbury. Very pleased as he really rates the horse but this is the first time he has had him right due to shins etc. Still a baby, could be very good next year.
Report Ibrahima Sonko • February 8, 2011 7:28 PM GMT
Entered at newbury on saturday. Happy
Report buddeliea • February 8, 2011 7:36 PM GMT
hope he runs better than last time,thought he were going to collapse on the run in.
Report CVByrne • February 8, 2011 7:39 PM GMT
At last, was thinking he'd be off the track until the Hennessy.
Report Ibrahima Sonko • February 13, 2011 10:35 PM GMT
So did i, the 33/1 was short for the 2012 hen.

but now he is less than 30 for the rsa.


Happy
Report CVByrne • February 18, 2011 4:32 PM GMT
Rsa bound?
Report Ibrahima Sonko • February 18, 2011 5:06 PM GMT
PN said earlier in the season that the rsa wouldnt be a certain target, i have not read anything today yet.
Report neill d • February 18, 2011 5:12 PM GMT
Backed him today, he occasionally jumps deliberately, I'd give him more time and target next seasons Hennessey or a nice mark, even though this years RSA doesn't look the best.
Report neill d • February 18, 2011 5:12 PM GMT
of a nice mark rather......., still seems a bit of a baby.
Report Ibrahima Sonko • February 18, 2011 5:16 PM GMT
he was rated 150 before today wasnt he ?, seems a bit high for one novice win.
Report Ibrahima Sonko • February 18, 2011 5:26 PM GMT
Whether the Cheltenham Festival is part of Ainteen Thirtythree's agenda depends on trainer Paul Nicholls' powers of persuasion as he said: "I've always thought the world of him. I think he'd have an outstanding chance in the RSA but Paul [Barber, owner] isn't keen, so I've got to persuade him.

"Time ForRupert is good but you should never be afraid of one horse. He gallops and gallops and jumps. He loves Cheltenham.

"I've backed him at 33-1 for the Hennessy. I think he'll be brilliant there."
Report buddeliea • February 18, 2011 5:44 PM GMT
looks a real stayer to me,need further than 3m on the 2 runs i have seen.maybe if its soft he could figure in the RSA,but i can see him well outpaced on good,good-soft ground.
Report neill d • February 18, 2011 5:47 PM GMT
oh right didn't realise he was that high, have a feeling he'll be RSA bound in that case though a contested lead and livelier ground will make things tougher, I could still see him in the shakeup, will have to jump better though
Report dandan • February 18, 2011 7:17 PM GMT
Took 20/1 for RSA and have gone in again at 14's. Unlikely to have been fully wound up today. Time was only 0.63secs slower than the Aon chase, and he was eased down - Noland, What A Friend and Fair Along were ridden right out - he carried 7lb more than Noland and Fair Along, 3lb less than What A Friend.
Report buddeliea • February 18, 2011 7:37 PM GMT
they are all either has beens,or in WAF's case-never will be.TFR would p!ss all over them,same as he will p!ss all over 1833.imo of course!!
Report dandan • February 18, 2011 8:14 PM GMT
Watch the two races side by side, will tell you all you need to know. ;-)
Report eric_morris • February 18, 2011 8:24 PM GMT
What a dire Aon and Game Spirit today you would struggle to remember worse fields imo.
Report R Carver • February 18, 2011 8:31 PM GMT
Nice horse this, gorgeous looking, jumps great, gallops... Given a soft lead, beat a slow horse who cannot jump. Not going to make all the RSA IMO.
Report eric_morris • February 18, 2011 8:33 PM GMT
The 3 in the Aon finished in a bunch showing all 3 to be average imo, well below top class, What A Friend seems to have regressed.
Report R Carver • February 18, 2011 8:37 PM GMT
Eric - spot on IMO. Exciting race, wonderful seeing Noland back, utterly meaningless for Cheltenham.

Noland is too slow to win over anything other than a trip and not good enough to win a G1 now. What a Friend is particularly ordinary, won poor G1's last yr, has a massive kink in him and needs a good jockey (or a great one in Ruby) on him. Throw the tape of that race straight into the bin.

Off topic, I know....
Report Masterminded • February 18, 2011 9:07 PM GMT
Really impressed with 1833 today. I have followed him over a cliff because I was told how good he was from his p2p days. He really has been a dissapointment up to this season and I think he has just needed to grow up. He is extremely progressive and I couldn't rule him out of winning anything in the next few years in the 3 mile division. Tbh I never thought he could be a Hennessey candidate but he could be just that!
Report buddeliea • February 18, 2011 9:12 PM GMT
Slow boat imo,but there yer go!!
Report CVByrne • February 18, 2011 9:20 PM GMT
Another good antepost bet @ 38/1 Cool
Report Masterminded • February 18, 2011 9:23 PM GMT
35/1 here CV Cool not sure he's certain to run but Nicholls seems keen!
Report CVByrne • February 18, 2011 9:29 PM GMT
Stewart part owns the horse and he said prior to Christmas - when his next race was supposed to be the the Feltham - that this race would tell them if he was good enough for the RSA. If Nicholls is now onboard then the RSA seems pretty certain to me.

I have my doubts he's good enough so might lay my stake back at the sp.
Report Masterminded • February 18, 2011 9:32 PM GMT
Barber not that keen I don't think. Laying off is for wimps Laugh
Report Masterminded • February 18, 2011 9:33 PM GMT
He will need to run well to beat Time for Rupert though!
Report CVByrne • February 18, 2011 9:40 PM GMT
I learnt my lesson from last year, had what can only be described as a wet dream of antepost books, then one by one they were turned over, Dunguib, Captain Cee Bee, Go Native, Bensalem, Quel Esprit, Long Run.......

I'm laying off some of my stakes thats for sure.
Report Masterminded • February 18, 2011 9:43 PM GMT
I should probably follow you tbf. Please don't mention Long Run I backed him all year before he had even run in this country Cry
Report Howdi • February 18, 2011 10:03 PM GMT
cant believe I didnt snaffle the 42s on here at xmas ffs
Report Ibrahima Sonko • February 18, 2011 10:50 PM GMT
Stop say 1833 is a slowboat [>o]

Then again their were people saying Burton Port was a slowboat.
Report eric_morris • February 18, 2011 10:53 PM GMT
Nichols just wants a runner in therace, he would have 3 in every race if the owners agreed towards his trainers title efforts even though it may not be the right thing for his horses.
Report Ibrahima Sonko • February 20, 2011 1:22 PM GMT
A quartet of leading chances from Paul Nicholls' stable put in some good work this morning

We took four of our big Festival guns for a racecourse gallop this morning, and they all fired nicely.

They all worked over 2m, going a nice steady gallop, then quickening up in the final furlong.

Denman (Sam Thomas) worked with Big Buck's (Harry Skelton), and Poquelin (Ian Popham) worked with Ghizao (Nick Scholfield).

All four went nicely, but it was not a serious gallop. It was just a nice trip out for them.

I revealed Denman had a soft palate operation here last night and the reason why we gave him that was to give him every possible chance of winning at Cheltenham.

And he went well this morning, and luckily that put Paul Barber, watching the gallop, in a good mood.

So I think I am winning the battle to run Aiteen Thirtythree in the RSA Chase at the Festival!


Happy
Report duncan idaho • February 23, 2011 7:37 PM GMT
Not sure there is a battle now Aiteen 33 has been given a handicap mark of 159.....here's hardly going to be chucked in in the Hennessy
Report CVByrne • February 23, 2011 7:53 PM GMT
He's only 2lbs below Time For Rupert and if they've been backing him to win a Hennessy this far back then he surely has a great chance in an RSA.

I could have 5 backed that run in the RSA Shocked
Report R Carver • February 23, 2011 7:55 PM GMT
I'd be staggered if this really was a 159 horse at this stage.
Report Ibrahima Sonko • February 23, 2011 7:58 PM GMT
Does seem harshly handicapped for a horse that has won in small fields, albeit impressively.

He could be rated above 170+ if wins the rsa by a long way.
Report R Carver • February 23, 2011 8:12 PM GMT
Visually very impressive, spectacularly built, rangey, scopey. A lovely staying galloper. 159? I almost choked on my cornflakes yesterday. Time and again the handicapper (IMO!) goes mad on novice chasers.

He could not have won his 2 chasers more impressively. He may turn out to be a 159 horse or higher but so far he has beaten Voramar 2, who has looked less than enthusiastic twice since (I dont think he wanted to win at Chepstow) and Be There in Five, who has not advertised the form.

He then beat Tarablaze who surely did not show his true running, making repeated erors before being eased and 11 yr old Flight Leader who made errors and has not won since 2007! I am sure 1833 is a nice horse, probably well above average, but this rating on all known form looks a bit exalted to me.
Report NIGHTWALKER • February 23, 2011 8:27 PM GMT
100% agree Carver, good horse that's it, place only bet for RSA in my opinion
Report Ibrahima Sonko • February 23, 2011 8:28 PM GMT
The handicapper just got it wrong on his chase debut, 150 was crazy for beating 3 other horses on testing ground considering his hurdle form.
Report R Carver • February 23, 2011 8:31 PM GMT
That is why I am a bit suspicious as well Ibrahima. He was tried and tested over timber, and while always sure to be much better over fences, this rating looks a bit high a bit quickly. He better be good (I'm sure he is) because not many horses win a Hennessy of marks in the high 150s.
Report R Carver • February 23, 2011 8:31 PM GMT
*off
Report Masterminded • February 23, 2011 10:00 PM GMT
What is Weapons Amnesty rated?
Report duncan idaho • February 23, 2011 10:01 PM GMT
152 Shocked
Report duncan idaho • February 23, 2011 10:05 PM GMT
No, that's not right...that is his chase mark according to RacingPost site but it was also his mark going into last year's RSA and would obviously have gone up as a result of that
Report Masterminded • February 23, 2011 10:06 PM GMT
Laugh I thought so. Does the handicapper know what he's doing? Hennessey winner 2011? [:x]
Report eric_morris • February 23, 2011 10:08 PM GMT
Looks like Nicholls is going to sneak in The Minack late, probably after he convinces Barber on running Aiteen Thirtythree first.
Report Masterminded • February 23, 2011 10:12 PM GMT
Oh ok thaks duncan idaho. Where can you get the OR's?
Report R Carver • February 23, 2011 10:12 PM GMT
BHA website is best IMo -

http://www.britishhorseracing.com/resources/media/ratings/
Report Masterminded • February 23, 2011 10:35 PM GMT
R Carver thanks.
Report CVByrne • February 23, 2011 10:37 PM GMT
Weapons Amnesty is an Irish horse so will only get a chase mark in England when he runs in 2 chases.
Report buddeliea • February 24, 2011 8:02 AM GMT
Weapons is different class to 1833.
WA looks like a racehorse with Gold Cup potential the other,so far in my eyes a horse with maybe Welsh National potential,further the better for 1833.
Report Ibrahima Sonko • March 13, 2011 9:54 AM GMT
Daryl Jacob looks like picking up the exciting ride on Aiteen Thirtythree in Wednesday's RSA Chase at Cheltenham.

Earlier in the day part-owner Andy Stewart had hoped Ruby Walsh would be on board but trainer Paul Nicholls, speaking at a Paddy Power-sponsored preview after racing at Sandown, revealed that Walsh was more likely to be on Mikael D'Haguenet.

Walsh partnered Willie Mullins' chaser to victory at the Festival in 2009 and it appears a partnership he wants to keep intact.

"I think Ruby is going to ride Mikael D'Haguenet. It's one we've still got to sort out, but he's won on him before and I think Willie would like him to ride. If he does then Daryl Jacob will ride Aiteen Thirtythree," said Nicholls.

In other jockey bookings, Walsh was confirmed for Sam Winner in the JCB Triumph Hurdle, with Jacob the beneficiary on exciting prospect Zarkandar.

"Ruby will ride Sam Winner in the Triumph with Daryl on Zarkandar, Harry Skelton will ride Brampour," added the champion trainer.


Just ride him like he rode Diamond Harry in the Hennessey.
Report booster • March 13, 2011 1:34 PM GMT
I've just been told that Walsh will ride him in the RSA.
Report revedesivola • March 13, 2011 1:36 PM GMT
reliable source?
Report booster • March 13, 2011 1:44 PM GMT
Yes. They've told me Walsh rides him and that he's strongly fancied. I don't really fancy it but, as I've not backed anything, I've had a small interest at 9-1. I prefer a more battle hardened horse for this race but over the past 2 days they've named 5 winners, one of which was Walsh's winner at Sandown yesterday. They've also recommended I back Poquelin at 5-2 for the Ryanair but I'm on at 9-2 so don't need to do that.
Report revedesivola • March 13, 2011 1:45 PM GMT
oh, its that type of info... guessers[:p]
Report booster • March 13, 2011 1:49 PM GMT
Guessers if you like but good guessers if they are. I've had info from them for a while now and wouldn't keep taking it if it was crap.
Report mythical prince • March 13, 2011 2:04 PM GMT
looks a natural and jumps his fences very confidently, while time for rupert just fiddles round for me. I rated tell massini very highly and he was giving him a hell of a race before he fell.think he'll be there at the death because of his jumping although the thing that might worry me is that his times have been quite slow. (graeme rodway from the trading post thinks he needs 6 miles.)
Report revedesivola • March 13, 2011 2:06 PM GMT
if i had him id let him out front, get a good sight of his fences and try gallop them into the ground
Report sintonian • March 13, 2011 2:09 PM GMT
the owner of Poquelin on GetOn yesterday morning basically said he was a certainty, as the horse has ''improved loads'' and''we have him much,much,better''. He said he is more confident than Big Bucks. FWIW

P.S I took 3/1 LaughSilly
Report booster • March 13, 2011 2:13 PM GMT
No doubt Poquelin's last run was his best on ratings and always better fresh on good ground. Just a nagging doubt he wasn't at his best in this race last year.
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