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Somerset Sam
07 Oct 26 15:11
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Date Joined: 11 Mar 02
| Topic/replies: 1,756 | Blogger: Somerset Sam's blog
Reading the news she is going to be entered in the Sceptre Sessions.

From a very shrewd ownership group what do people think was behind their decision to cash in on her now? Ive never seen her live but is there something from a conformational point of view that puts them off perhaps?

What would people do themselves in their position and could it ultimately be a decision they come to regret in the future?
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Report kincsem • October 8, 2026 11:45 AM BST
The best horse is a sold horse.

My guess is the new owners will use her for breeding.
If she sells for 2,000,000 this is the calculation.
Produce ten foals and sell them for 800; 600; 600; 300; 200; 200; 100; 100; 100; 100 = 3,100,000
Then sell the mare for 100k = 3,200,000.
If they are lucky they might sell the first foal for 1,000.000+
If they are lottery winning lucky the mare might produce a black type winner in her first three foals.
Then each foal sells for 1,000,000 until the duds appear, as they will.
The present owners avoid the risk that she will be sub-fertile and only produce a few in her life.


The owners of Venetian Sun would make an error in refusing the high bid (if she does not make her reserve).
She is rated 115.
Her foals will rate 115 - (115-68)*.75 = 80
Do you want to be the yearling buyer who pays 1,000,000 for a horse that runs to a rating of 80?
It happened many times at Tattersalls UK over the last few days, people paying millions for yearlings that will run to 80 against a breed average of 70.
It is not their money, bidding with other people's money.
Report Somerset Sam • October 8, 2026 3:05 PM BST
I think she'll sell for more than 2m personally (probably nearer 3-3.5m) and she'd be more likely to produce a black type winner than most in her first three foals I would have said.

Lottery winning lucky of doing so would be a filly or mare running at Ayr today.
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