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Wilycayote
24 Jun 19 15:31
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Date Joined: 31 Dec 10
| Topic/replies: 479 | Blogger: Wilycayote's blog
Darley look to have taken a purely commercial decision to retire BP. Thought they would definitely go for the July Cup bearing in mind their sponsorship.

Assuming he goes to Dalham, what price?

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Replies: 46
By:
gunslinger7
When: 24 Jun 19 21:38
Going to be very popular commercial stallion and teak tough. My guess is £35k
By:
Big Black Cat
When: 01 Jul 19 21:40
I'll go for £20K as Sheik Mo doesn't need the money, and that will make him a little more accessible than his dad....
By:
gunslinger7
When: 01 Jul 19 22:48
I think you are being too conservative at £20k BBC. Slade power started stallion life of at €20k and didn’t achieve near as much and this guy is from a much better line also. Has to be £30+. Speaking of sprinters, what are your thoughts on starspangledbanner thus far?
By:
kincsem
When: 02 Jul 19 16:38
17,500
By:
Johnny_Mustang
When: 04 Jul 19 18:08
I’ll go 35K.
By:
truehoncho
When: 04 Jul 19 18:46
I don't think BP was much better than SP.
By:
gunslinger7
When: 04 Jul 19 22:25
I will have to disagree truehoncho. How many horses let alone sprinters can you say we’re top notch at 2,3,4 and 5??? I can’t remember any. He is the soundest and toughest sprinter I can remember
By:
truehoncho
When: 05 Jul 19 09:55
SP won the Diamond Jubilee and the July Cup at 5. You could argue his previous form in UK (don't count Meydan group races) was better. A lot of BP comment is hype because it was at Royal Ascot. He will be priced because of his profile and not his ability. They retired him because they know he had peaked, which is fair enough.
By:
proxygene
When: 05 Jul 19 10:45
Darley can surprise with pricing, often higher but occasionally lower than expected. They have shifted in some of the stallions they have kept and BP is possibly the peak of that process. Well liked by the home team, a champion, by the (restricted access) admirable sire but with speed. My guess would be £40k.
By:
sageform
When: 05 Jul 19 11:21
Interesting to compare their pedigrees, neither really sprint bred apart from the Royal Applause mare who was dam of Blue Point. Shamardal is versatile but got a mile well as did Medicean, the grandsire of Slade Power. Pivotal been a strong influence for speed but he was by a miler in Polar Falcon.
By:
truehoncho
When: 05 Jul 19 11:25
I too think hey will price him high. His sire is a plus but the dam line isn't very exciting, is first 2 dams never won. Year 1 & 2 if you can afford it but after that its a big gamble. I am a skeptic but I couldn't afford him anyway!!
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 05 Jul 19 13:42
Sprinters can and do turn up at every party.
Blue Point averaged 5 starts per season and 6 of those were at 2 so for a sprinter he wasn't the soundest and toughest around I am afraid. He had a soundness incident in Dubai causing his withdrawal from a race and I believe a similar incident has cost him his career this time around.
That will become common knowledge if it isn't already and whilst I know Shadwell operate on a different model he wouldn't appeal to me as much as Muharaar on his retirement so I would be pitching him at 27500 tops.
Is he 10/15k more attractive than Harry Angel?
Not on ratings, not on pedigree and not to me.
By:
roadrunner46
When: 05 Jul 19 16:46
worth 20k,
By:
gunslinger7
When: 05 Jul 19 20:57
pm, again I’m going to have to disagree with somebody. For a horse to turn up from 2-5 at the top level prices his toughness and soundness. Yes as proxy gene said he got out at the peak of his powers but as a Stallion what more did he have to prove. Again anybody with opinions on starspangledbanner second start as sire??
By:
proxygene
When: 06 Jul 19 09:36
The crop sizes produced by StarSB initially actually allowed the quality to show through what is usually a quantity game. Larger crops from better quality mares should allow him to push on from the very good stallion he already is. I think he is still a bit underrated.
By:
Big Black Cat
When: 06 Jul 19 16:02
Gunslinger yep If he was mine I'd be asking for more than £20k a cover. That figure is pitched on the connections hardly needing the dosh to be honest.
By:
Formtwist
When: 07 Jul 19 19:37
Whatever the fee he will  be extensively used for the home team with their stamina laden mares by New Approach, Dubawi et al. How many outside mares they want and from whom will be the key.Like PotM my understanding is that they risked everything to get the Royal Ascot double and the physical hit is such that it would be next year to get him back so stud the obvious route. I do think he is a talented horse with a deal of courage in fairness to him. He is weak on pedigree but outcross appeal, My guess match Harry Angel 20k.
By:
proxygene
When: 08 Jul 19 09:59
If they are going to fill him with the home team , ala Shamardal,Dubawi,Teofilo,Exceed and Excel what is left will be in fair demand so £20k seems unlikely to me. Whether he would be worth 40k is another matter but if outside covers are scare, sales of offspring ought to hold up too.
By:
Wilycayote
When: 11 Jul 19 18:18
Disappointed (selfishly from a breeding point of view) BP is off to Ireland.

Think he'll be 40,000 Euros and full before Christmas
By:
truehoncho
When: 11 Jul 19 19:04
I hope they do proxy and they can find out how good/bad he is and pay for it themselves. I don't think they will do it again. £20k/£40k he is still much, much more likely to fail especially at that level.
By:
sageform
When: 12 Jul 19 14:40
It would be fascinating to see which sires did best if mares were allocated at random to the top 100 sires. Would the same dams produce the winners or would the Galileo/Dark Angel/etc. still come out ahead?
By:
gunslinger7
When: 12 Jul 19 18:53
Of course he’s going to Ireland! That’s where the best mares in the world are.
By:
truehoncho
When: 12 Jul 19 19:01
That would be something Sageform. I reckon it would be something like Footstepsinthesand or maybe Farhh (if he could get enough of them in foal). On that point anyone heard any rumours about Lightning Spear?
By:
sageform
When: 13 Jul 19 19:51
You guys who are more involved with choosing sires might know better but Dandy Man is the surprise to me this season to date. Solid third to Kodiac and Dark Angel who are both very well established sires with Dubawi, Invincible Spirit (12 wins in 13 days of July) and Frankel some way back.
By:
RoyalAcademy
When: 17 Jul 19 16:58
Bullet by name of Ten Sovereigns dodged.
By:
Too Easy
When: 18 Jul 19 09:14
Saw him at the Darley stallion parade and wasn't overly impressed with him tbh.  On the contrary I loved Farhh and Postponed
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 18 Jul 19 11:33
We'll I shall beg to be to the contrary with you Too Easy!

I went on the Friday, perhaps you were Thursday and he looked different!

Obviously with Shamardal and Royal Applause in the mix you are heading for workmanlike not showy but I liked Blue Point.

The roster keeps improving and Profitable stands comparison with the best too.

Something for every taste really!
By:
truehoncho
When: 18 Jul 19 21:53
P had loads of speed and I love sprinters that get faster as they get older and he did. IS is so hot at the minute I would use him if I could afford him.
By:
The Unforgiven
When: 10 Aug 19 13:15

Jul 2, 2019 -- 4:38PM, kincsem wrote:


17,500


Harry Angel's first season fee is £20k ,, Blue Point has to be higher surely ..... my guess is that BP's will be in the 25k to 35k range, they can't go too high first time around, if they pitch in at 30k then I am fairly confident that he will attract a good full book of mares.

By:
proxygene
When: 29 Oct 19 16:04
So 45K euro then...
By:
Big Black Cat
When: 29 Oct 19 20:31
Clearly I'm a cheapstake!
By:
gunslinger7
When: 29 Oct 19 21:51
I knew I’d make a few people eat their words. How did you guys think he would be so cheap?? Name a better sprinter that’s gone to stud in the last couple of decades. Too expensive for me however. Too Darn Hot is very expensive imo, top class 2 yr old but this year the 3yr olds were a bad bunch so I can’t see him being hugely popular at 50k. What’s everyone’s thoughts on Darley fees?
By:
truehoncho
When: 30 Oct 19 20:35
Name a better sprinter that’s gone to stud in the last couple of decades.- Is that sarcasm?
By:
gunslinger7
When: 30 Oct 19 21:47
Enlighten me truehoncho?
By:
truehoncho
When: 30 Oct 19 22:18
Ok, so it wasn't.
By:
truehoncho
When: 14 Nov 19 10:33
Both Advertise and Ten Sovereigns £20k less than Blue Point. Both G1 winning sprinters at 2 & 3 and from better families. Darley and friends will have to send plenty to BP. IMO there is no way BP can be  be a better stallion prospect than either of these.
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 14 Nov 19 17:51
Truehonch, I wonder if you are right.

At the moment I just don't know what to make of these fees.

We now have 10 stallions at above 100,000 euros. If ever there was a sign of overheating this must surely be one, no?

Now if you can't afford these or get into them, both of which are likely, then you have to drop down a league and look for something sexy lower down and that is where Blue Point and Too Darn Hot pop up.

Night of Thunder has over 450 applications already but I just wonder if everyone is getting so hot under the collar that they are nominating a single mare endlessly across every Stallion that looks trendy and when the smoke dies down there will be availability like you say to some surprising stallions?
But then of course those 200+ books that seem to be so commonplace these days don't seem to be getting fewer and this year the choices don't look so widespread so I fear sexy will fill, almost at any price.

My God, there will be fingers burnt.
By:
yer ma
When: 15 Nov 19 11:58
This 'middle' ground area is a nightmare PotM.  If small fish (like me) plump up courage to go 30-50k we used to have a very solid chance at a big pay day....now I'm really not sure.  The sheer number of stallions who barely make there fees in this tranche is scary. You mention the 100k plusers - I'll bet theres never been remotely as many stallions at 25k+ in history  (I count 40+).  That's over 4k yearlings with a production cost in excess of 40k.  The mind boggles...not least who are these people sending shtty mares to 40k stallions year after year.

Bleeting aside - tweenhills fees?  Zoustar might be the real deal and still cheap but UK runners taking off are a must.  Charm Spirit - bargain or death rattle?  Also Oasis Dream was once my dream cover for my best mare but now I can afford him is it commercial madness?  Answers on a postcard
By:
zygote
When: 15 Nov 19 15:19
Blue Point is definitely overpriced. Advertise looks value at £25k.
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