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Cracksman easy winner at Longchamp
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A Group 1 winner to start the year. Now for Guineas with Elarqam.
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Good performance from Cracksman yesterday, and I'd expect him to improve. We'll see what he's really made of at the Curragh though.
Elaqarm has a big chance in the guineas, I agree. That Godolphin beast who bolted up in the Craven looks pretty decent though. |
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Mori also favourite tomorrow.
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Elaquarm ran well in the Guineas. Seems to need further. Strange that he's going to the Irish guineas then.
Frankuus and Eminent rather fluffed their lines today though. |
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Trainer of Elaquarm is a huge limiting factor, can't win Classics painting by numbers; and I know he trained the dam before anyone says anything.
Wouldn't know what to make of Meade, Eminent seems to have a measure of talent but all the sire's worst traits too. They should maybe geld him and go pot hunting later in the year. I could see him murdering horses from the front on the tight tracks down under. |
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What looked like a very disappointing day for Frankel yesterday was saved by Ganayem who beat what looked a decent field of maidens at Nottingham. Eminent clearly had a problem, Frankuus has had an awful lot of racing while Hamful was a huge price in the market for his debut and ran like a long term project. Mirage Dancer failed to impress last year so has to improve to win the 2.50 at Ascot while Ejtyah is stepped up in class in the Lingfield Oaks trial and La Figlia is visored for her handicap debut in Ling. 3.40.
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More mixed results for Frankel recently. Thursday: Zabriskie was a very respectable third in the Dante, Sun Maiden won very easily from a modest field at Salisbury while Guild and Crystal King both looked very slow at Newmarket. Friday. Count Octave does not seem to be progressing. Wadisalfa won nicely but Herculean, although second, seemed unsuited by Newmarket. Surya a well beaten fifth but First Eleven at Newbury won so three winners for Frankel, all with nice 3yo's in 2 days.
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And Baghdad (5.40 York) finished off the day in style with the fourth win by a Frankel 3yo in 2 days.
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Two Frankel runners in Group races this evening. Without Parole in the Heron Stakes over a mile and Weekender (4yo) in the Henry ll over 2 miles. His progeny seem to take after Galileo rather than Kind, although being by Danehill, she could be expected to produce runners at a range of distances.
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Sorry, I overlooked Silver Quartz in the Heron Stakes. He is not without a chance.
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I saw an analysis of Without Parole and his maiden win a couple of weeks ago on ATR. Apparently he registered an incredible speed figure on debut in his maiden. They put a list of horses who achieved similar or better speed figures on debut and the were all pretty much G1 winners of some repute!
I'd expect him to win this race easily and be a very serious contender for the St James palace at RA. I cant for the life of me understand why Elaquarm is going for the IR 2000G after what his trainer said after his run at Newmarket. They will be taking on another batch of the O'Brien battalions, and although Saxon Warrior has Epson on his agenda, this lot won't be too shabby. And will be specialist milers too. |
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That should have been his second start of course....
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Plenty of excuses from connections for his unconvincing win yesterday but he did win a listed contest from 2 horses with similar RPR ratings. The time at Yarmouth might be suspect so talk of him being a Guineas winner were probably over the top but he could still be a Group 1 performer as could Gabr.
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Elaquarm ran 'too bad to be true' according to his trainer today. Or maybe he's not a miler and got outpaced. Or maybe he's not as good as they think?
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all of the above I think. At least Frankel did get 2 GB wins today. The Grand Vizir over 2 miles and Mirage Dancer over 12 furlongs looked thorough stayers.
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They all appear to stay well don't they. He is more like his dad than his mum it would seem. Elaqarm may improve over 10f or more.
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BBC, you seem to finding it as hard to spell Elarqam as most of us do
His reputation came from the pedigree, the sale ring and the yard and not really from form. He won a Group 3 at 2yo and was a respectable fourth in the Guineas but that is probably as good as he is unless as you say he improves over longer distances. I backed him for both Guineas but he won't carry my money again unless he improves a lot. Mirage Dancer was surprisingly easy to back at Goodwood and took his time to get past Blakeney Point but then went right away. The string of placed efforts might have put some off but they were in much better races. |
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Indeed sageform! I of course remember his mum very well, she was a pretty good filly. Its no surprise to think with a miler as a mother and a sire who got 10f, himself sired by a staying influence (Galileo) that he'd need further than a mile to be at his best...
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Trainer is a massive negative with good horses, horse ran like he wanted to just get the whole ordeal over with, I'd say they over-trained him. Would love to see that horse with Stoute or Weld.
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Shamardal? Attraction? Double Trigger? Just off the top of my head.
I'm all ears though. Always trying? |
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All ten plus years ago, look at the career of Lumiere for an insight. He had a really nice winner by Shamardal there at Windsor on Monday, I'll probably back it for the Coventry as I was very impressed by it. His handling of good horses is extremely suspect for me, huge peaks and troughs because of overtraining. I don't think he differentiates enough from what I've heard and underestimates how hard group 1 racing is. My guess would be that Elarquam had a very hard race in the Guineas and he worked him too hard afterward. He ran like a horse that just wanted the whole experience over with.
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I would accept that some horses like Permian, Buritano and Heavy Metal thrive on the heavy routine, but I think that there are horses who need to be handled a bit more delicately. Possibly a bit harder to get the best work riders the further north you go as well which is a huge element of it. There is a long history of the Arab owned horses being overdone by their trainers, up to Appleby who looks to be turning things around now, and of course the likes of Gosden and Bolger who are geniuses.
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You'll love this if you're a Johnston fan actually, he is an interesting read always.
https://www.independent.co.uk/sport/general/racing-johnston-attacks-loss-of-the-derbys-lustre-179450.html |
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I wouldn't put myself down as a fully paid up member of his fan club to be honest. He comes over as miserable and dour sometimes. I'll never forget when Soviet Song beat Attraction in the Falmouth and suffered her first defeat. He would have understandably been a bit upset, but came across badly on his interview (looked like they went too slow, blah blah-which was rubbish as they were just outside the course record).
Another thing that made him look like someone who was a miserable sod was his responses to some questions in one of Elite's publications. Apparently he doesn't allow his staff to have pet names for their horses-he insists on them calling them their full names at all times! He wouldn't like us referring to Sovie, Jude and Zulu at all..... |
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Strange man, would have to respect him, though as we all do. Lake Volta today was probably evidence of another one flying under his regime. He'd a nice filly in the novice stakes at Goodwood too. His two year olds look very good this season. I'd be starting to stand him as the season wears on though, If he had something coming into autumen that looked something, I'd be against it all over as well as anything for the Classics next spring.
i didn't like a bit of Cracksman tody, strange for a horse so generous to run like that, I see similarities with Eminent and although he might have hated the place, he might too be coming to the end of his tether as a racehorse. |
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I was surprised they ran Cracksman at Epsom again - it was evident to many watching last years Derby he hated the track. Still he got up and won with FD only pushing - look dot have plenty in hand. I would expect Cracksman to be very hard to beat on tracks like Ascot and York.
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Still he got up and won with FD only pushing
You must have been watching a different race. The race I saw Frankie Dettori hit Cracksman on the rear eight times, and another few on the neck in the straight? |
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Cracksman decidedly unimpressive to be honest. Soft ground shouldn't have been a problem. The track maybe otherwise. That race will have taken quite a bit out of him. I hope he hasn't left his season behind there.
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I really didn't think that Cracksman looked as fit as he has been previously and he blew hard and stood with both front feet well in front of him which is a clear sign of a horse having a really hard race. They may have thought it would be an easy race and got caught out by the ground and by SDS tactics. The other fancied horses were beaten miles so it may be a good effort in hindsight.
Meanwhile Ganayem took a big step forward at Goodwood. |
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Cracksman reported to have banged his head in the stalls-and ran in a daze apparently.
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Excuses.
What are the Frankel excuses for the last in the Oaks and the last in the Derby.? |
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It must be a bit of a worry to the team that there's still only been one individual G1 winner in Europe (albeit a very good one).
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And that winner, Cracksman, and the Derby winner Golden Horn, both trace to the same dam, Lora, and she traces further down her dam line to the influential mare Tessa Gillian.
It makes you wonder where they got their ability. |
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Frankel has sired this 3rd individual G1 winner as Mozu Ascot won the Yasuda Kinen in Japan. All from his first crop.
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Elwazir, another nice prospect for Frankel, won over 10 furlongs at Sandown this evening.
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Well will he have the champion 3 yr two years in a row......great first day at royal ascot for him. Group 1 miler in the locker, and the old rouge mirage dancer give him a listed win..... crackman tomorrow
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Mirage Dancer was a bit of an exception to the general rule that Frankel progeny don't improve with racing imo.
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Was Cracksman just a bit ill at ease on the ground yesterday. Or was it something more than that. JG talking about him being very interested in the fillies coming back from the DoC stakes, and he didn't look very interested in his job?
Frankel was pretty hot himself, and it was only that he was trained by a peerless master of his trade that his greatness was allowed to be shown over his tempremnet. No criticism of Mr Gosden implied. One of my favourite trainers, and a thoroughly decent bloke to boot. I'm just wondering if its all getting a bit too much for him? These Frankels seem to have a shelf life maybe? If its just a case of soft ground then fine, but he's not going to get it in the KG is he? What price he gets retired and bundled off to stud? |
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Without Parole his second European G1 winner. Eminent looks a busted flush and as for Ela...... well who knows?
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