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sageform
04 Mar 16 19:56
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Date Joined: 15 Jun 01
| Topic/replies: 31,228 | Blogger: sageform's blog
First list of the year shows Exceed and Excel well ahead of the field.

Exceed and Excel  18
Cape Cross  14
Kyllachy  13
Acclamation  12
Kodiak  12
Medicean  11
Sakhees Secret  11

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By:
sageform
When: 29 Mar 16 16:32
Gambit was the first 2016 winner in GB for New Approach. expect a few more once they get back on turf.
By:
sageform
When: 15 Apr 16 19:36
Sire tables for 2016 until today.
Sakhees Secret, Monsieur Bond and Bushranger all in the list of leading sires of GB flat wins for the first time.

           2015    2016           
Exceed and Ex.    130    25           
Cape Cross    100    23           
Kodiac      135    21           
Kyllachy    91    19           
Sakhees Secret    46    19           
Kheleyf            73    18           
Dark Angel    104    17           
Iffraj           88    17           
Shamardal    121    17           
Acclamation    128    17           
Medicean    50    16           
Monsieur Bond    46    16           
Pivotal     92    15           
Bushranger    49    15           
Champs Elysee    46    14           
Invincible S    120    13           
Sir Percy    76    12           
Oasis Dream    94    11           
Dansili            69    11
By:
sageform
When: 15 Apr 16 19:37
apologies that the forum rearranges my nice table!
By:
Wilycayote
When: 15 Apr 16 22:06
A nice double for Sakhees Secret at Bath today. He's a classic case of a reasonable stallion that gets his winners, but for whom the market has simply moved on.

Bushranger showing he was never as bad as the market would have us believe.
By:
The Gotchee
When: 16 Apr 16 20:18


Coolmore team waiting for one of their stallions to appear on sageform's list.
By:
sageform
When: 18 Apr 16 18:58
Most of the Coolmore product are running in Ireland for twice the prize moneyHappy
By:
sageform
When: 23 May 16 10:31
Update to May 22. Dark Angel making progress into third while Galileo is taking advantage of recent rain with 3 on Saturday. 2015 total followed by 2016 to date. GB flat wins only. Apologies for the erratic placings of the numbers that are caused by Betfair rearranging my nice neat spreadsheet.

Exceed and Excel    130    39
Kyllachy     91    37
Dark Angel  104    35
Kodiac    135    33
Acclamation    128    32
Iffraj    88    29
Shamardal    121    29
Cape Cross    100    26
Pivotal    92    26
Oasis Dream    94    25
Bushranger    49    24
Sakhees Secret    46    24
Kheleyf    73    24
Monsieur Bond    46    24
Dubawi    104    23
Invincible Spirit    120    22
Galileo    51    21
Fastnet Rock    29    20
By:
The Gotchee
When: 23 May 16 21:47
Coolmore team are happy 17th and 18th on sageforms list.
By:
sageform
When: 28 May 16 10:12
It could be coincidence but after 20 years of keeping my stats, I still think that progeny of some sires come good at certain times of year. Kyllachy has had a flurry of winners including the last at Musselburgh last night at 16/1 and he now leads on 42. The other sires in the winners recently are Mastercraftsman (11 in May) and Monsieur Bond (27 for the year) who is well on target to beat his previous best of 49 in 2011. A younger sire getting a lot of winners is Fastnet Rock, yet another Danehill, who is now on 23 for 2016. The effect of softer turf instead of AW on Galileo offspring is even more dramatic this year with just one win in Jan-March compared to 21 in April and May. Cape Cross has been rather quiet since a fast start in January but his peak months are often July and August so expect his offspring to start winning soon.
By:
sageform
When: 28 May 16 20:18
Two more for Mastercraftsman today from 5 runners.
By:
The Gotchee
When: 29 May 16 10:36
Good old FASTNET ROCK covered 376 mares in 2012 and 2013 @ A$ 275,000.00  a pop = A$103,400,000. 00.  It would be embarrassing to publish the amount of prize money won by his progeny.
MASTERCRAFTSMAN covered 313 mares in 2012 and 2013 and thanks to the Grey Gatsby and Kingston Hill,he now commands a fee of €35,000.00.
By:
sageform
When: 29 May 16 11:41
My reason for mentioning Mastercraftsman was that his total between Jan 1 and April 30 was 10. From May 1 to May 28 it was 13. Nothing to do with stud fee or the number of foals but your data is interesting. There must be an awful lot of them that are not winning or not racing in GB. Both of yesterdays winners were 3yo's over 12 furlongs which is perhaps surprising for a son of Danehill Dancer. Carnachy is his highest rated offspring to have run in GB this season (shame she didn't run yesterday) and I can only see 2 that have won over a mile, the rest 10 furlongs plus.
By:
sageform
When: 29 May 16 11:43
Meanwhile the Kodiac 2yo machine keeps turning out winners. Prince of Lir and Grizzel both impressed at Beverley.
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 03 Jun 16 13:56
I notice there is a Dubawi running today in The Oaks. Well done to the only representitive of every single stallion stud in the World.
Except one of course.
The Gotchee, I await your picture to,represent the scene. . .
By:
The Gotchee
When: 05 Jun 16 20:18
Overheard in the parade ring yesterday.

APOB. " Listen Ryan, the lads aren't happy with the way you have ridden over the last couple of days.
Mr. Smith had a shoyte haemorrhage on Friday with the way you rode Minding and Michael has pulled out  last few strands of his hair with that ride on U.S. Army Ranger today. It's not funny Ryan".

By:
sageform
When: 10 Jun 16 15:39
Two for Galileo today moves him to move him up to 27, all bar one since April 1. After Sir Percy comfortably being the best Derby winner in my table last year, this time Galileo leads from Sea The Stars on 23 and Sir Percy on 22.
By:
The Gotchee
When: 12 Jun 16 20:11
By:
sageform
When: 13 Jun 16 09:03
Was that blank a message to me Gotchee?
By:
sageform
When: 15 Jun 16 14:16
A surge of wins this week, the latest Kodi Da Capo at Hamilton, brings Kodiac up to 50 GB wins this year, 2 clear of Acclamation and Exceed and Excel on 48 each.
By:
sageform
When: 18 Jun 16 19:35
Just noticed my mistake in the last post, Should have been Kyllachy not Acclamation. The leaders are all still siring winners so the current state of play is:
Kodiac 53
Kyllachy 52 including Twilight Son today.
Exceed and Excel 51
Acclamation 46.

a lot further down but in form recently is Authorised. He only has 14 GB wins this year but 8 of those were in June! Permission was an impressive debut winner at Newmarket.
By:
The Gotchee
When: 18 Jun 16 21:52
"Whats going one here sageform"?
"We are the biggest operation in the world and we can't get one of our stallions on your list"
This is not good enough for our reputable Stud Farm.
Why don't you do a list for stallions that can sire winners who are slow and  win races at Royal Ascot at a distance of over 2 miles.


By:
Big Black Cat
When: 19 Jun 16 17:11
Chalk up one more for Acclimation yesterday with Marsha.

That may have not been the best renewal of that race ever but she bolted up.  Jockey was quoted in the RP saying his arm had gone to sleep by half way she was pulling so hard but she still won with ears pricked.  He described her as an aeroplane :-)  Lets hope she is more Typhoon than Cessna :-)
By:
sageform
When: 20 Jun 16 07:44
She certainly looked a lot better than listed on that evidence but were any of the others listed class?
By:
sageform
When: 20 Jun 16 07:55
Gotchee, if I was O'Brien and Coolmore I would not be unhappy with my stallion called Galileo. He may not get many all weather winners but you need to win 20 of those to get the same prize money as one at Royal Ascot. He has double the prize money of Sea The Stars who is currently second in the official table and 6 progeny rated 120 on RPR this season to date. My stats are deliberately based on a very different basis in order to show that relatively unfashionable sires do produce a lot of winners at a lower level while some expensive ones don't. Bushranger and Monsieur Bond continue to outperform their price but sadly the former is now in Turkey!.
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 20 Jun 16 08:53
You're a good looking lad Sageform but I must admit from previous posts I had you as,  how shall I put this, a more mature forumite. . .
By:
sageform
When: 20 Jun 16 17:39
I am certainly mature, but not necessarily well informed. Not sure where that picture of my earlier life came from....
By:
truehoncho
When: 20 Jun 16 17:45
the MB strike rate does look quite impressive. He had a little spell a few years ago when he got his fee up to £5k and covered a fair few mares. I assume we will see this feed into your stats in the next year or two. My opinion of him is that he doesn't get precocious types and hence he is slipping off the radar a little. If he can get a nice winner or two this year he is right up my street.
By:
sageform
When: 20 Jun 16 18:47
Black Grass completed a 4 timer this evening. Bowson Fred, Crosse Fire and Agueroo all triple winners as well for MB.
By:
Big Black Cat
When: 20 Jun 16 23:49
Sageform-there was one other horse in the race rate 100+ and Marsha was getting 10lbs from her.

The rest were handicappers-but she made them look like that anyway.

She is in a Group 2 sprint in Ireland next month-if she runs there it will tell us more as to how good she is.
By:
sageform
When: 21 Jun 16 07:14
Thanks, she is with a trainer who likes to hide lights under bushels for as long as he can so anything is possible.
By:
Big Black Cat
When: 21 Jun 16 21:48
The current plan is a listed race at York next month, followed by the Irish Gp2 and if all's well, The Nunthorpe is a possibility.....
By:
sageform
When: 25 Jun 16 14:10
The Kodiac 2yo machine still working as On her Toes trots up at Windsor. Now on 56 for the year.
By:
sageform
When: 01 Jul 16 17:41
Sire table to July 1 5.15.
GB wins for top sires in 2016 to date with 2015 for comparison.

    2015    2016
Kodiac    135    57
Acclamation    128    55
Exceed and Excel    130    55
Kyllachy    91    53
Dark Angel    104    53
Shamardal    121    48
Dubawi    104    44
Oasis Dream    94    39
Pivotal    92    39
Iffraj    88    38
Cape Cross    100    35
Galileo    51    35
Monsieur Bond    46    33
Bushranger    49    33
Invincible Spirit    120    33
Dutch Art    80    32
Sea The Stars    38    32
Dansili    69    32
By:
truehoncho
When: 02 Jul 16 14:31
Sea The Stars may not have the numbers but he is having a terrific year
By:
sageform
When: 03 Jul 16 12:24
True, Both  Galileo and Sea the Stars are doing really well in terms of quality winners. My table deliberately highlights number of wins but does not reflect the quality. It is also interesting that during the prevailing softer ground, Cape Cross and Oasis Dream are very quiet.
By:
Big Black Cat
When: 07 Jul 16 11:57
Sageform-MARSHA does indeed run at York on Saturday.

This looks a much stronger race with a host of group/listed performers in it-so I guess we'll see how good she really is.

PS don't expect to see her until the last possible moment........
By:
sageform
When: 08 Jul 16 14:46
Thanks for that. As I expected, the firm ground sires are starting to get winners now. Oasis Dream, Invincible Spirit both with a win today but Cape Cross still quiet. Fawaareq was surprisingly easy to back and has set me up for the day.
By:
sageform
When: 08 Jul 16 14:58
Permission also runs again today and looks very interesting although the pedigree does not indicate 7 furlongs.
By:
sageform
When: 08 Jul 16 15:04
Wrote that too soon-Montataire wins for Cape Cross at Ascot.
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