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Johnny_Mustang
26 Sep 14 08:27
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Date Joined: 18 Feb 07
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Thought it might be a good idea to start a thread and keep them all in one place as over the coming weeks they'll be quite a few announcements.

Today's is Mukhadram. Actually I quite like him as a racehorse but can't see mare owners beating down the doors at Shadwell to get to him.

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Replies: 63
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 26 Sep 14 14:13
Good thinking Commissioner Mustang.

Unfortunately again and again 1st seasoners are often the place to be commercially.

Normally I would be thinking Mukhadram is not one that requires much thought. But if you place a 1st seasoner high up your wish list, I think this year lack of competition might have him above the radar. I haven't given his pedigree any attention but I did give his physique some attention on King George day and it is hard to ignore.

An expensive foal, and there is no doubt why, and a tough and gutsy performer, there are more than a few pluses here perhaps.
By:
truehoncho
When: 27 Sep 14 13:13
I really like this horse. lovely pedigree. I will use him. probably not first season because he will probably be too expensive, but maybe 2nd or 3rd season.

I'm guessing around £10k, is that fair?
By:
Prima Donna
When: 28 Sep 14 20:03
I'd be amazed if this horse stands for 10k, could see him pitched at a similar fee to the mighty Aqlaam myself,but even at that fee is he really the sort commercial breeders would use.I was recently speaking to connections during the conversation his name came up,it was intimated his fee will be 'cheap'If I was considering using him (I'm not)then if I took a purely commercial view it would only be first season,that said the mare I'd send would need to have commercial appeal herself.
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 28 Sep 14 21:57
Feck me. Howard Hughes has landed on Breeding and Bloodstock once more!

Good to hear from you Howie.

I am pretty close to you with Mukhadram as there are too many parallels with Mawatheeq in many ways.
He does have reasons why he could be a good sire even though I acknowledge opportunity might not be one of them.

Tough consistent horses though are my favourite prospects and at least the best 2 or 3 offspring will find a good home at the sales.

I think as a cheapie he will be worthy of consideration at least.
By:
Prima Donna
When: 28 Sep 14 22:36
Well hello Pot M,it's been rather a long time hasn't it.You are right,he is perhaps worthy of consideration....but only as a cheapie but certainly not 2nd or 3rd season!He is a good looker at least.Hope things are going nicely at your new place,have often wondered how your getting on.
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 29 Sep 14 12:47
Thanks Prima. I think that after stringing together a few good years I was due a dive and this season has been it!

Happy in the new place although I think the horses could have been a little more grateful and at least made some effort to stay alive/healthy. However as the sales march into view, I have a few entries and in fairness the worst of the wrist slashing episodes are hopefully behind us.

Going forward though, I am not particularly happy with this years matings so I need some turnarounds there too.

I thought I might take the opportunity to bring up Alhebayeb as this is the appropriate forum.
Obviously precocious and possessed of a current sireline but he doesn't appear to be good enough really. He is one of those horses that needs a good venue if he is to stand any chance. What do we all think, is Tara still relevant enough?
By:
truehoncho
When: 29 Sep 14 19:00
Good to hear from you PD and thanks for the reply. Will take it on board as always. We can now add Sea The Moon at 15k.

If Mukadram is going 'cheap', then i will use him 1st season. It may not be the most commercial decision but a nice colt by him will motivate me a little on those wet Scottish winter mornings.
By:
Posh Paddy
When: 29 Sep 14 21:15
Kirsten Rausing strikes again, love this women, screw commercial lets make racehorses.

PD good to hear from you.

My issue with Alhebayab is when did a winner of the July Stakes do anything at stud? http://
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/July_Stakes

PM, I was at Part 1 of the Tatts sales and it was very strong, a box walking filly made €28K, she was very nice though, but still.  I'm sure you'll do fine.
By:
yer ma
When: 29 Sep 14 21:53
Thats a bit of surprise.  I was bang on the money fee wise but tbh I'd say they'd get a better / bigger book on the continent.   The prospect of having Sir Mark running them off 50 in 12f Wolv 3yo hcaps isnt what commercial dreams are made of but you never know.  Could be a good bit of business if the momentum keeps going with Born to Sea too.  Too rich and (more importantly) too slow for my mares.

I too was interested in Alhebayeb but do I want to send a mare over at that level when all sort will be (probably) walking-in at 3 for a pound?

Coolmore really need something exciting in the
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 30 Sep 14 13:37
Or of course Kirsten might be setting out to breed a whole host of horses that break down after 5 starts. Time will tell!

I think if I had her level of funding I might take her course, it must be great fun, Posh.

How are you anyway? Has the great migration back to the old country been assessed as a good one? Do you have some sort of gainful employment that keeps you amused or is it a case of living off those fabulous riches you accumulated over here in the big smoke?

The usual conundrum yer ma, shipping over to be one of 5 thousand  who get to produce their cheap and cheerful  for 5k less than we do. Right now, I am blowing more Gale Force, but we shall see what his fee level is. Given the level of promotion he is enjoying I don,t see them going in at the tuppence ha'penny end of the market though.
By:
yer ma
When: 30 Sep 14 15:28
Yes GFT has appeal although INS seem to be in stack em high mode at the moment which is a worry.   Muwaary was one I thought could do a job at nunnery / third party stud but seems to have disappeared.  One of ours has a nice showcasing runner so interesting how far they push or going with another OD son makes more sense.  War Command is surely good enough to do a job at Coolmore?  Havent thought much of some of their recent racing choices though and might even be a pacemaker for Australia at Ascot.
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 05 Oct 14 17:49
Surely Johnny Mustang can now be revealed as the nom de plume of Harry Herbert and we can all politely ask him too arrange a Toronado/Olympic Glory Swap.
The National Stud is on my side of Newmarket, a good 10 minutes closer than Dalham/Cheveley Park. That must give them good reason to stand O G over here and guarantee my patronage?
By:
Johnny_Mustang
When: 06 Oct 14 08:26
If I had one tenth of his money I'd be happy PotM. I think the most polite way of describing what's happening is that they're keeping the 'good' one in France, although I have to say that I'm not a big fan of either of their sires. Can already see HH planning his 2018 Highclere prospectus, including the Toronado and Olympic Glory syndicates.
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 06 Oct 14 16:08
No room in those syndicates sadly J M, they are all fully booked with Paco Boys and anything offered for sale by Highclere Stud.
By:
yer ma
When: 11 Oct 14 13:22
Oh the power of the breeding forum.  War Command duly retired to Coolmore.  10k Euro please.
By:
lingbleed
When: 11 Oct 14 14:13
just one ? off topic ,why is mawatheeq such a negative stallion ,ive seen people slate him on this forum ,he's a good looker(so am told) by danzig and from a good female line ,just wonder n what ive missed just curious thats all.
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 11 Oct 14 15:31
Stallions by and large lingbleed need good support to succeed.
If you are trying to breed a staying late maturing classic type of horse you are usually patient AND wealthy.
If you are those things then  Dansili, Oasis, Galileo Dubawi are available!
If you are trying to breed a commercial horse with low overheads then speed speed speed is largely where it's at.

Mawatheeq misses, on both counts, so support will be patchy and chances of success likewise.
By:
proxygene
When: 11 Oct 14 20:52
Wasn't he also somewhat er.... wayward, a la Echo Of Light.
By:
lingbleed
When: 11 Oct 14 21:36
Thanks potm ,good brief summary there ,pretty much explains everything ,defo changes my view on horse's been retired and certain races targeted ,so every owner's worst dream is getting stuck in that middle bubble ,also really liked famous name as a race horse also seen at the irish NS ,now i fear he falls into that bracket all so .
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 12 Oct 14 10:50
Your mention of Famous Name lingbleed is a great indication that my last piece of gobbledygook was perhaps a bit more use than is the norm.
I know that the sporadic Prima Donna feels that these staying type of sires below classic level are doomed to failure because of their lack of speed anyway but I feel that it has to be more about lack of opportunity. I mean how could a 120+ performer with Mawatheeq's pedigree not be intrinsically of more merit than a scrubily bred 114er by Dark Angel, say?

But we know which one gets the opportunities so as we can never judge them as like with like we shall argue black and white well beyond the cows coming home.

Small plea here to Messrs Coolmore Stud. Having just announced the retirement of THE commercial prospect for 2015 and no, his name is not Australia, that In the absence of your total inability to restrict a book to reasonable numbers could you perhaps keep his fee slightly above 'Clearance Sale' levels in the hope that the volume of product doesn't become TOO thinly spread and your poor little 4yo can average less than 4 mares a day thus giving us a chance to actually emerge pregnant in the first place?

Ta.
By:
proxygene
When: 12 Oct 14 13:19
Indeed, but how many multiples of Yer Ma's hope of a fee would be needed for that to happen 2.5, 3?
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 12 Oct 14 13:51
Well proxy, that's got me thinking.

I know I am not universally agreed with on this one but I do think there is a hell of a range for an initial stud fee to land in and I do think this very much establishes the value people then expect to place on the subsequent offspring.

You can outsell a cheap cover for sure but I also think a fat fee can bale you out slightly when all is not well with a given crop because of the expectations in the mind of the buyer.
I think everyone is agreed that Declaration of war was too expensive last year and I imagine that his book size won't be truly humongous because of it. However it's Coolmore here and their loyal following will have got them out of trouble and with War Command, I think the fee level could be highish as you suggest because group wins and a nigh on champion 2yo status can be spun so readily.

Oh and another plea. I can't cope with any more 'War' names for War Front progeny. I am getting too old to distinguish and what with having lost the battle of distinguishing the Muns at Shadwell I am looking for fewer pointers to my Dementia, not greater!
By:
yer ma
When: 12 Oct 14 14:14
I think anything over 15 euro is too high.  He bombed as a 3yo (although I think AOB has made some very ropy race choices this year with many decent 3yos) and beat VERY few decent horses at 2(go and check).  Now that's clearly not what Coolmore will blitz us with but its fact.  That doesnt mean I dont like him as commercial speed sire.  Power's record and breeding is superior and he started at 12.5k.  Dec of War fee was silly and very great chance they'll get a better War Front that WC in the next few seasons so you could be on v thin ice at a 20k+ fee.  Imo it would be purely exploiting the lack of anything else sexy to go higher money.  I think Kingman will be 40kish, it'd be barmy to pay 10k less for this sort of lad (although clearly getting into Kingman will be the issue)
By:
yer ma
When: 12 Oct 14 14:29
Es Que Love.  Not in love with Maurice's lateral thinking.  Be surprised if the Tsui's are either.  Think I'd rather have one covered by his yearling invincible spirit brother.
By:
roy jones
When: 12 Oct 14 18:07
war command does not run that bad this year
in st james, he was last and made a good finish
in the eclipse, it was such a messy race

AND he was a good 2 years old
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 12 Oct 14 18:56
Given his connections I was thinking Es Que Love might make an appearance but I thought they would try and tack a bit more race record onto him.
His 22k yearling price tag and the buyer who is not discerning as we know is, a harbinger of not all being great on the conformation front so he is a treat as wary for a start.
I wonder what War Command looks like? Power looks an ugly beggar in line with a 50k not sold yearling tag. Coolmore know that they can charge top dollar if we walk into the yard and are impressed. We shall see

On the topic. Could we please have fees post yearling sales again this year, rather than the December sales announcements that we seem to be moving towards?
By:
KeMoH
When: 13 Oct 14 21:24
Joshua Tree retired to stand in France

triple Canadian International winner retired to stud with a fee of €2,500 for the 2015 breeding season Laugh
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 18 Oct 14 17:19
Charm Spirit. That's come from left field to me. Interesting.

Noble Mission. Surely too? Banstead?
By:
Wilycayote
When: 25 Oct 14 08:34
Bungleinthejungle
Es Que Love
Alhabayeb
Heeraat
Xtension
Moohajim

....Holy s**t! Its a "pile 'em high and flog 'em cheap" feel to new stallions this year. I think I will have to put my hand in my pocket for once to try and get something a bit better. I fear I might be struggling.
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 25 Oct 14 09:51
Wily, for god's sake have Mrs (or Mr) Cayote standing by with A&E on speed dial, heaven only knows what might be living in those pockets. . .

I see where you are coming from with the pile'em high analogy, but I'm not sure they are selling them so cheap!

With no choice but to freeze the fee of a 'wrong year' stallion, it may very well be the year that they seem like value in these inflationary times. Problem is for me, that the minute I see that blob appear on the scanner is the minute that I start the "oh god, it's the wrong year, so we're all going to hell in a handcart" and that dear reader is how I remain for the next 18 months.

Perhaps Prozac is the answer?
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 25 Oct 14 12:31
P s. You'll all need Prozac if you haven't yet heard the fee for Slade Power, stock up. . .
By:
truehoncho
When: 25 Oct 14 20:06
YORGUNNABELUCKY?

full brother to Shamardal, has he any chance?
By:
proxygene
When: 27 Oct 14 13:15
If Ballylinch got away with 17.5k for Dream Ahead, then 20k for Slade Power isn't quite Prozac territory is it? Although...
By:
truehoncho
When: 27 Oct 14 20:10
Just looked at the Darley roster. I don’t see much value. Doesn't seem too many options for small commercial breeders. I thought with the amount of stallions being available there may be some cheaper options but seems not.
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 27 Oct 14 21:11
Well I suppose we can split infinitives until the cows come home proxy and I know your pedigree analysis will give you an angle that is not available to me. Lethal Force was 12 sterling though and higher rated than Slade Power and Dream Ahead was a champion at 2'and 3 and of course then you hit the 5 k not sold yearling for Slade Power.
I was told his price last week when I had a foal inspected by Darley. I made no comment because I was very slightly speechless but I got the distinct impression that the member of personnel was standing back slightly whilst imparting the news in anticipation of a reaction!

It seems to me that Sheikh Mo is still going in all guns blazing to purchase these horses and whilst he perhaps used to think more long term/with a sense of benevolence now the breeder is expected to pick up the tab for his zealotry?
By:
proxygene
When: 27 Oct 14 22:36
I would have thought Cape Cross and Kheleyf could do a job, but probably not a particularly commercial one.
By:
yer ma
When: 28 Oct 14 13:14
Pre-sales inspections by Darley eh....;)

Return to the same points every year.  Darley are swamped by arab owned mares who soak up (at inflated prices) their stallions capacity. It isn't good for their stallions and it's no good for 'proper' commercial breeders.   That said if you  get into the right stallion with a good producing mare then skys the limit.  Slade Power price doesnt surprise me and they'll be full by end Nov.  Might put a bit of pressure on Coolmore not to go mental with War Command as he's similar market imo.  Farhh at £12k is ok.  Sepoy at 15k makes no sense other than comments above.  Little case for questioning Mukhadram at 7k eh
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 28 Oct 14 18:58
Stay calm yer ma - I am! - just a PR exersize to those that have used their stallions.

judging by the conversation in my visit, they will be expecting to deal with the obvious wrong'uns - be it year or otherwise.
I suppose in a way Iffraaj isn't the worst, but now more than ever, proven sires are too expensive. The downside on them when you just breed an ordinary one and worst still when that provener has dropped out of fashion is massive
By:
roy jones
When: 28 Oct 14 19:07
what do you think about coolmore "politics"?
put every new stallion at a very HIGH price....and cut the price about 50 % when the first runners at 2 arrive
like pour moi, CCliffs, ...

do you think the breeders will continue in this kind of game??
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