Forums

Bloodstock & Breeding

There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
Prima Donna
27 Apr 12 22:29
Joined:
Date Joined: 29 Apr 09
| Topic/replies: 4,152 | Blogger: Prima Donna's blog
With good sales esp' last year along with his ever consistent stud record with winners and commercial appeal,at 18years old can he remain pretty much a safe bet within this industry or can breeders foresee a decline rather like the one we have seen with Piccolo?

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
Page 1 of 2  •  Previous 1 | 2 | Next
sort by:
Show
per page
Replies: 69
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 27 Apr 12 23:01
I think the loss of Deacon Blues is a body blow. He was the top class horse that Compton needed to keep interest alive and another Gp1 winner in waiting. I also think he may have been hindered over the years by always covering a small book by modern standards although that is not really quantifiable.

Over opinionated though as I'm surely considered, I'm not really sure on this one. I would really expect him to run out of steam. However if a group/set/even pair of buyers retain any goodwill towards Compton, the fact is there will be a selection of great looking colts for them to fight over, because in that he is totally reliable, and maybe they'll still pay accordingly?
By:
Prima Donna
When: 27 Apr 12 23:34
That's unfortunate for him without Deacon Blues running as like you I thought he was a GR1 horse,I too have in a way been expecting his slip form commercial appeal just like Piccolo due to his age but then bingo look how the buyers went for him last year.
One thing that's interesting with Compton Place is his foal/yearling prices are very similar,I wonder if the prices paid at Tatt's last Dec' sale will return a profit when re-offered later on this year I somehow doubt it really.I've personally tended to view him as a bit boring but I'm looking again at him as like you say he does stamp his foals and for his fee he is value.
By:
proxygene
When: 28 Apr 12 00:22
He is a better (or less negative) sire than Piccolo, so might not tail off so quickly. Neither doing the biz as a broodmare sire to boost them.
By:
jonnyrotten
When: 28 Apr 12 12:33
i have not had any luck with cp thou he sends out enough winners pearl secret looks a smart prospect for him but as you say he's probably on the slippery slope
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 28 Apr 12 13:57
I couldn't quite believe the foal sales for him last year for sure. I think realistically that they could be seen as having outsold the yearlings really. His always having manageable numbers at the sales works in his favour commercially. I am responsible for a disasterous filly and a successful colt from him so he's been sort of okay for me.

I know we always chase the young and the sexy because that represents what the majority of the buyers look for. However I try not to be too blinkered because there are still a poportion of buyers, maybe more foal than yearling?, that aren't the quickest to catch on to a trend or simply not that well informed on stallions without runners. For them, Compton Place with his sensible numbers could remain quite popular.
By:
yer ma
When: 28 Apr 12 14:47
He's not been my cup of tea - not mad on the family and hasnt suited possible mares.  Throws some nice horses so will probably bubble away but sire doesnt enhance the package imo. Hard to see a convincing case for pinhookers going to £30-40k, r they really going to make £60k+ yearlings? There have only been two sold at that level in last two years I think.
By:
Wilycayote
When: 28 Apr 12 16:57
Hopefully Deacon Blues will be back next year. Pearl Secret looked pretty special yesterday, but its all still potential with him.

Ive only used CP once, but I took comfort from the fact that my mare was one of 85 mares visiting him, rather than 185 like some of the "commercial sires". Think it helped my foal sell well.
By:
proxygene
When: 28 Apr 12 17:50
Although they may not be the most glamorous team I think all of Whitsburys stallions by dint of price and book size give breeders as good a chance as any for breaking even.
By:
Prima Donna
When: 28 Apr 12 23:31
If like Piccolo,Compton Place does decline in popularity who can we think is likely to replace him?Others standing in the UK in his mould include stallions like Monsieur Bond at 12yo'one who is on the upward curve,Kyllachy at 14yo' enjoying a commercial renaissance or Royal Applause but with him at 19yo' he's in the twilight years like Compton Place so I guess not.Or of the younger sires poss' Sakhee's Secret similar profile to Compton Place or Equiano a son of hot sire Acclamation his son Dark Angel looks very promising and with the quality of Equiano's books his chances look brighter.Or could even Dutch Art slip into this role assuming Cheveley Park don't get too over zealous about his fee and kill his appeal off rather like they did with Medicean.
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 29 Apr 12 11:19
Just thinking about this it occurs to me that perhaps whilst in Ireland you get much more choice in the speedy commercial new stallion (which ofcourse we hate you for!) the fact that we have fewer perhaps means they get slightly better mares. Couple this with not as many newly retired competitors then perhaps a  speed stallion does have a bit more potential for longevity over here? 

Kyllachy is a better sire than Compton Place but Cheveley Park are always that bit too fruity with their fees. I think that, like proxygene, Whitsbury do the best job over here. They don't cover enormous books and therefore their potential marketing budget (or market distortion budget) is not as great as some, but that is balanced by the market not being flooded. It's really just about your decision on how you like to see the potential stallion for your mare managed.

Mon Bond has potential and so does Dutch Art. I think Dutch Art has plenty of potential at a level, but as Prima Donna says it might not be at the level that Cheveley choose to price him!
I cannot give too much thought to Equiano until a little water has gone under the bridge - any foals seen anyone? I also don't forget that Kheleyf started at 4k and as Darley's 'fits all dealing horse' too. So he is not without a squeak for sure but he has to get past the legions of poor mares he has covered in various seasons dictated by a fluctuating popularity.

Sakhee's Secret gets good looking sane types so not hard to like if the results start coming in.

Last years rash of Invincible Spirit/Oasis Dream types should throw up a few contenders - unless they are so similar they cancel each other out!
By:
proxygene
When: 29 Apr 12 12:21
I'd have been thinking along the Bahamian Bounty, Pastoral Pursuits line next.
By:
Wilycayote
When: 29 Apr 12 16:27
I'm a fan of PPursuits, as I think (as a cheap option) he has the ability to put a bit of class into his offspring, even if they can be a little highly strung.

Us Brit breeders really struggled this year with such a poor crop of new stallions retired this year. Hope CPlace can battle on for a few more years as he's a great bread and butter option.
By:
truehoncho
When: 29 Apr 12 17:40
I think a large factor on this type of stallions popularity(and many of the others mentioned, will largely depend on what's retired to stud over the next couple of years, especially in England. If it's anything like this year they should continue to get enough mares.

In my opinion there are many nicely bred 3yo's that have the potential capture a large share of the market if they perform well this year. In fact with sons of Dubawi, Oasis Dream, Danehill Dancer and others being plentifull the next couple of years could be exciting for value seeking breeders looking for speedy types.
By:
Prima Donna
When: 29 Apr 12 21:15
I'm not convinced about Bahamian Bounty its true he has been pretty good overall but I wonder if now he's looking played out.We have been told for ages he's good and better to come thing is though were are the good ones?I'd of hoped for some real classy sorts for standing for his fee.His son P'Pursuits made a very encouraging start but buyers went off him pretty quick saying that its not impossible for him to bounce back but if he is going to make it he needs to.The UK does have more commercial choice with this sort of sire as Wilcayote calls 'bread and butter' here we have Clodavil,Tugula and poss'Camacho,Elnadim,Intikhab and Key of Luck,but the UK sires in that league are better and overall more reliable.
Kyllachey is a good sire and does have a future I was saying a few months ago he was 'old hat' but I'll take that back another is my friend Monsieur Bond of the stallions listed on this thread he's one I wouldn't mind having a filly by as he's done well with them like he has with his colts.Personally I think Compton Place will hold his appeal but if he does slip then my moneys on either Kyllachy or Monsieur Bond both of these offer good value but Mon Bond is better priced for now at least.
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 29 Apr 12 22:13
I am not sure what I think about the perpetuation of sirelines but I would like to see the Tudor Minstrel one continue if possible as it is an outcross nowadays and it's a pure source of speed. Bahamian Bounty is a consistent sire but not one of high class. Pastoral Pursuits to my mind isn't going to carry on the work because you have to be proper good to have people accept the temperament question marks. Key of Luck hasn't managed it and he has had some proper horses.

I really hope that Bahamian puts up some more top colts before he finishes and I actually think there's a small chance that he's got one on the ground in Bogart.
By:
Prima Donna
When: 17 May 12 22:44
David Redvers said today that Pearl Secret is so good it gives him goose pimples thinking about his future.If he is as good as what connections feel(he looked very good today) then Compton Place foal buyers from last years Tatt's Dec'hopefully will feel it was right to pay so much for them.It will be great if at 18 years old Compton Place can get a top horse,lets hope so.
By:
Prima Donna
When: 17 May 12 22:52
I should add that Hoof it yesterday looked like he needed the run,looked to me to be a little on the heavy side.Sure to come on for the run.His connections have a very ambitious season planned....even poss'taking on FrankleShocked....Well good luck.Excited
By:
Wilycayote
When: 18 May 12 08:34
Thanks for the info Prima, interesting to hear DRedvers so excited as he's had a few decent horses to think about.

Agree it would be nice to see Compton Place get a good horse this year, but it was only last year he had a sprinter Timeform rated 130, thats not too bad!
By:
Prima Donna
When: 21 May 12 21:15
Was told yesterday Monsieur Bond's book this year stands at 160 mares,not bad at all considering he was almost unused two years ago.Overlook him at your peril.Is this the stallion to replace Compton Place?
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 21 May 12 22:14
Is your source reliable Prima?

I only ask as I gather discounts were quite generous and it was easy to name the slot you wanted when booking a cover earlier in the season. Perhaps all the action happened a little later on.

I do think he has a Compton Place look about him particularly as I don't really see either of them as 2yo sires even though that's the market perception of them. I think their progressive and sound progeny keep Compton afloat and hopefully M Bond will reach that sort of hardy annual niche too.
By:
yer ma
When: 21 May 12 22:21
Not sure what to make of that PD.  If I'd a mare in foal wanting to sell as a foal or yearling that stat would worry me terribly. I'd be very surprised if CP ever covered that many and prob manages half that now - and I suspect that helps keep the averages up.  MB sold 7 yearlings last year @ 20k median - when that figure becomes 70 how do you think the median will hold up?
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 21 May 12 22:36
With you there yer ma. Compton never went over 110 I reckon, and as you say under 100 these days. A massive book following on from a few tiny ones ain't a great recipe in my cookbook.
By:
Prima Donna
When: 21 May 12 23:02
Yes the source was reliable, from the horse's mouth almost!

Whilst a huge book is not great if you are trying to sell one of the multitudes (though I don't suppose the vendors of Bushranger foals were too concerned last year), in this case I think it virtually ensures his place as a 'hardy annual'. I would totally agree with your summation of him as a sire Pot M' , but any sire that remains commercially viable needs to keep getting winners and for that he needs runners. MB has had a few small books but hopefully the very fact he gets tough horses that improve with age should tide him over until his more numerous crops come on stream in two years time. Last season I think he was limited to 120 so demand must have been high for them to have gone over that.
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 03 Jun 12 20:58
I am starting to sense a bit of a seachange this season. Clodovil is doing well, although he is always going to be up and down because he lacks consistency and book quality must vary hugely. Dutch Art and Dark Angel aren't going backwards. Ifraaj profiles like Clodovil but I imagine is a keeper and look even Sixties Icon is in with a shot!

These are horses that get plenty of winners and some with quality. I think the old guard that we discuss so often on here at the < 10k level are looking vulnerable.
By:
truehoncho
When: 03 Jun 12 22:55
I'm sure PD would add Monsieur Bond to your list PotM.

With so many good stallions about there sons will no doubt be flooding the market in the next few years. They will have to give good value to get the coverings they need. There will be many more will bred good performing stallions under 10k in the future in my opinion.
By:
Prima Donna
When: 04 Jun 12 12:39
I would indeed truehoncho,but I reckon it pains Pot M to add him to the list!Whoops
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 05 Jun 12 19:46
I didn't print a definitive list, it was just what came off the top of my head. Obviously I cannot be seen to endorse the opinions of Prima Donna on here as my Agent is still struggling with negotiations over an appropriate fee - he's a tight @rsed b@stard - but he might be surprised where I find myself with M.B. right now ! Laugh
By:
Prima Donna
When: 05 Jun 12 19:55
OOOOOOOOOOOHHHHHHHHH!Go on then Pot M surprise me,and just who are you calling a tight @rsed b'stard?
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 05 Jun 12 20:11
Now that would be telling Prima!!

I've asked for a simple 200 quid every time I agree with you on here and my man says you won't pay up!! I ask you - what else can I call you Devil
By:
Prima Donna
When: 05 Jun 12 20:30
Gosh 200 quid every time you agree with me.........at that rate I'll be getting you to pay this years nominations bill!Mind you with that looming if I were you I'd start agreeing with EVERYTHING I say from now on!ScaredAnd just for the record your man's telling fibs as I always pay up.Cry
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 05 Jun 12 21:08
Looming? Please don't remind us of October 1st just yet!

Have you seen the 2nd season sire list in the EBN ?

Some are bombing for sure and others going well. I love being in a game where Turtle Bowl and Stormy River can woop Teofilo and Excellent Art! Endlessly fascinating. I reckon Cheveley's 2012 fee for Dutch Art which seemed very much in line with what they hoped he might achieve - well they seem to have got away with it.
By:
Prima Donna
When: 12 Jun 12 20:54
Bahanian Bounty,standing this season for 8.5k does anyone know how many mares he had this year and what was he trading for?I've been told 6k but that may not be the true,does anyone know?I more than likely will go and see him at the July meeting but I'd be interested to know those points.
I have a young winning mare who is 15.3hh with a terrible lot of quality he could be just the sort to put some substance on her whilst giving her a good chance of getting an early winner.
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 12 Jun 12 22:04
I am a little wary of BB as the years pass because he only has the one and he is not super fertile so it is just a bit scary that I will try to use him the season his deterioration commences! I would think there might have been some pretty cheap deals if you had managed to buy direct from a shareholder but I think the stud were sticking at 7 when I approached them so I think 6 might have been tricky to secure. Stand to be corrected though.

A friend of mine has bred a useful colt both commercially and on the racetrack with exactly the type of mare you refer to Prima. So it's worked at least once!
By:
Prima Donna
When: 12 Jun 12 22:37
That's good to know about your friends mare so at least I can feel I will get a good sort if I use him.tell me does he have plenty of bone?He looks like he has from his 'photos and its years since I last saw him.I didn't know he only had the one but but that being the case his fertility isn't that bad at 77.5%(2010).7k........I'd want him for less but maybe I'd settle for 6k I will see what the English National stud offer me.She is an ideal mare for Clodovil who is one who sits in this territory and is closer as you can imagine but I think he may get a small one with her so hence me thinking of BB.
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 13 Jun 12 11:25
Looks like everyone is on holiday here! Ther must be plenty on here that have more experience than I with this horse!

I don't think he is nailed on to do you a really strong type and I wouldn't necessarily say he is the very strongest at stud. However he seems to do what he does regardless in my experience and a little quality added to the mix I would say is the right way to go.
I have sold a couple over the years and neither were correct, but the first one seriously got away with it. The 2nd who was admittedly worse didn't.

I wish I could be definitive about Clodovil, he's useful but I wouldn't guess how his commercial niche will look in a few years time.

I think BB sells better than he deserves mind, he's not going to get your maiden a pattern winner! You still anti Kheleyf? He's pottering along nicely this season so far!
By:
Prima Donna
When: 13 Jun 12 12:33
I know what you are saying about Clodovil and like you I wonder how he will look in a year or two's time as I see his numbers are slipping back a little,but he's done well enough,I also like the fact he's out of a Linamix mare as he has worked so well with this little mares family before,in fact he's produced two GR1 winners from close relations of the mare but I'm inclined to be of the opinion that with her I could end up with another 'my little pony'type.
It does seem dead on here of late not sure where everyone is doubt people are on holiday what with Ascot next week but with all the rain about it does seem a good idea to try to get some sun.Talking of Ascot are you going?And no I'm not anti Kheleyf but this is make or break year for him it could go either way more than likely the same could be said for his fee for next year!
I've never been mad on BB and I do agree he sells better than poss' he should but the ones of his I've seen are good sorts I cant think that I've seen any rats by him,that's why he came into my mind with the mare as she needs a horse who will put a touch of size/bone and help her to get the early winner.So I will listen to you and agree it is the way to go.I was thinking about Compton Place himself but don't really want a filly by him so BB it may well be.
By:
potentialmillionaire
When: 13 Jun 12 15:25
Well I certainly can't disagree with you about a Compton place filly! Possibly my worst result ever!!

I won't be going to Ascot - not one of my stamping grounds but I'd be there in a flash as an owner, although it's one of my little fantasies that I retain a filly good enough to go there at 2 and I say to the trainer " No. It might ruin her whole career we'll come back next year and win the Coronation instead Crazy"!!

I'm sure you'll have a great time next week it is ridiculously exciting this year!
By:
WinningColors
When: 13 Jun 12 18:04
Well, we had an excellent BB colt a few year's back - pattern winner and Group 2 placed, so you can work out which mare! We now have a yearling filly to sell this year but whether she will make enough for us to actually sell remains to be seen. She's a good looking but unflashy chesnut filly and if she has her dam's grit, she'll be OK.

Her second foal was a Compo and he was a decent colt too - as tough as teak and pattern winner. I like the horse - he's always done me very well.
By:
Prima Donna
When: 13 Jun 12 22:04
Was told today his book this year is 95 mares,and that he covers just two mares per day.8.5k is his price....well that's what was apparently said,and there was a hint that he may in fact go up a little next year.That does depend on this years results,I don't know what to make of that as at his age and his overall results I'd of thought that is plenty enough.I'm going to keep him on my list and will get him looked at but with that news the other NMKT stallion Kyllachy comes into play.One poster will be shocked to read that(yer ma) as its documented on this forum I've said he's 'old hat' and his commercial appeal is slipping...........WRONG!he gets good sorts and he is very popular but I also think he's a little expensive at 10k.The mare I'm looking at has a strong page and could easily carry a cheaper stallion but these sorts knock in the winners and there stock are nice enough so given the choice who would you use BB or the Cheveley horse?And who gets the best individual as the mare needs bone and a bit of size,she is all quality and strong but lightish if that makes sense at the same time.
Page 1 of 2  •  Previous 1 | 2 | Next
sort by:
Show
per page

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
‹ back to topics
www.betfair.com