New Into Breeding

As far as knowing if it is going to be something decent, you won't until you put it into training. As a general rule if the mare is a non-winner from a family of non-winners then the chances are it won't win. If it is a proflic winning family (at whatever level, selling to Group) then there is more *hope* that it *could* win.

the father is Silvano (arlington million and other group races) mother a Riverman mare whose sister won group3 in france

What is the name of the yearlings dam?

AIB,

Am I correct in thinking your mean Royal Ruby, daughter of Ribera who is a half sister to Oxava?

100% correct, wanna buy her :-)?

AIB,

I can't tell you if she will win,but using my most basic analysis numbers I would rate her as follows:

2 Year Old: 72 giving an Impact Value of 0.97
3 Year Old: 76 giving an Impact Value of 1.06
Four Year Old Plus: 77 giving an Impact Value of 1.12

An Impact Value of 1.00 is effectively saying 100% matching the average.

Equamine, have you looked at the relationship between price at yearling sales and subsequent performance. I had to do a stats project at school (a while ago now) and took a small sample (100) from tattersalls. Then I took highest acheived handicap mark over the next 5 years racing. When I tried to find a correlation I got nothing significant.

Obviously sample was v. small but wondered if anyone had done anything similar on a larger scale?

Ruffian,

Samples have been taken over substantially larger numbers. Without wanting to seem as breaking "spamming" rules I would suggest the user name gives a clue.

As i said new into breeding, my mare gave birth to a Toylsome filly last night then promptly died a few hours later.

very sad to hear that news,it can be very tough sometimes.Hope your mare is OK.

thanks very much, it was the mare who died.

Thats the worst,have you got a foster mare?

There is one indeed, foal will be picked up from clinic tomorrow and we´ll try it, now been fed every 2 hours on powdered milk.

Its a nightmare!we lost a mare about 15 years ago,got a foster in, foal took to its new dam , the foal did very well,hope it works out for you.

Sorry to hear that Andrew, hope she leaves her legacy in your filly :(