Statistics are part and parcel of the NFL - its lifeblood almost - but there are a lot out there and knowing which to hold onto and which to discard can open the path to riches. I've picked out some that could have a game changing impact on Super Bowl XLVI or at the very least make you consider your betting strategy. I'll be taking a look at the Specials markets tomorrow and some of the data here will have an impact on those markets also.
Super Bowl outsiders, the Giants, have been attracting the majority of punters' money and momentum has seen the handicap line decrease from -4 initially to -2.5.
Whilst some of that move is allied to analysts' perceptions of the two teams and their relative strengths and weaknesses another factor is the fact that the lower seeded team has dominated...
This was supposed to be a rebuilding year for the Patriots, yet they boast the best record in the league (14-2) and the honour of starting the playoffs as 2.94 favourite to win the whole thing. The Contrarian's not having it, though...
[i]The Super Bowl is often a tournament for underdogs
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In none of the last six seasons has the team with the best regular season record won the Super Bowl (including the Patriots' unforgettable shock loss to the Giants in February 2008, when they went unbeaten all the way to the final game, then folded like cardboard.) Four of the last five Super Bowls were also won by the finalist that won fewer games in the regular season. In the only one that went to form it took a last minute touchdown for Pittsburgh to avoid one of the greatest ever Super ...