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West Coast Eagles
21 Dec 12 22:13
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Date Joined: 10 Mar 07
| Topic/replies: 44,557 | Blogger: West Coast Eagles's blog
good to be back watching NBA after missing the past 5 days. Going to tune into the big game in the East today between Chicago and New York  then game in the West between Sacramento and LA Clippers

will watch 1st halves before placing bets.

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Replies: 217
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 21 Dec 12 22:35
Going to read my book 'The Story of Tom Brennan' by J.C Burke before coming back to watch some basketball in 2 hours
By:
nofx
When: 21 Dec 12 23:37
looking forward to Knicks, mainly because of having proper pictures, hoping it won't be one sided. half counting on Boston game to be good trading. took some Atlanta at 1.8, and laying the **** out off all those short odds later on
By:
map
When: 21 Dec 12 23:54
knicks should beat the bulls..havent even looked at spread
By:
map
When: 21 Dec 12 23:55
nothing really stands out as being great pre match??
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 22 Dec 12 00:10
how is this for a stat? Since April 22, 2012.....Home teams leading by 1 point at QTR TIME, go on to win 20 out of 22 games. That is real Quirky
By:
map
When: 22 Dec 12 00:11
wow
By:
Bricks
When: 22 Dec 12 00:12
I am going to test that on Raptors now
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 22 Dec 12 00:12
would have expected it to be around 55:45 or 60:40 but yeah NBA can throw some unusual statistics
By:
map
When: 22 Dec 12 00:13
bricks you want to bet raptors?
By:
Bricks
When: 22 Dec 12 00:14
Yeah
By:
nofx
When: 22 Dec 12 00:14
90% of how many matches? thanks. sounds like a serious edge
By:
Bricks
When: 22 Dec 12 00:15
I think Calderon can do some damage today
By:
map
When: 22 Dec 12 00:15
yes nofx it does eh..but its crazy 1pt is nothing?!
By:
map
When: 22 Dec 12 00:16
so which game are we focusing on hawks or magic
By:
nofx
When: 22 Dec 12 00:20
yes you properly rattled me with that stat, surely next matches will be of the 10% soon as you start betting it
By:
map
When: 22 Dec 12 00:21
hahaha yes nofx that always feels the way magic 2/1 hmm
By:
map
When: 22 Dec 12 00:22
do we back magic
By:
Bricks
When: 22 Dec 12 00:23
I am not backing magic, map ;)
By:
map
When: 22 Dec 12 00:23
yea maybe we shouldnt
By:
map
When: 22 Dec 12 00:23
what about atlanta game
By:
Bricks
When: 22 Dec 12 00:24
Waiting to see how it goes before any bets on Hawks there
By:
map
When: 22 Dec 12 00:25
anyone else ever find it hard to read score at tims on the bet365 livestrea, ots so small
By:
map
When: 22 Dec 12 00:26
west coast that only 1pt so what if philly up 4 ?
By:
map
When: 22 Dec 12 00:27
do we sill back or is it 1 or more
By:
Blake84
When: 22 Dec 12 00:33
It seems to be a bad time of year to back teams on the road. They just don't turn up.
By:
addrian
When: 22 Dec 12 00:34
after okc last night I am afraid of my indiana back
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 22 Dec 12 00:37
if Home teams are up by 4 points at QTR TIME, Since April 22nd, 2012, they have gone on to win 12 of 19 games
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 22 Dec 12 00:37
New York Knicks 1.40 v 3.50 Chicago Bulls
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 22 Dec 12 00:37
cant wait for this game
By:
smb360
When: 22 Dec 12 00:39

Dec 22, 2012 -- 12:37AM, West Coast Eagles wrote:


if Home teams are up by 4 points at QTR TIME, Since April 22nd, 2012, they have gone on to win 12 of 19 games


That kind of renders the 90% win rate being up 1 pt stat irrelevant. It's just coincidence caused by small sample size.

By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 22 Dec 12 00:39
yep thats right smb360, im looking to build up that database, i think if u have at least 100 samples, then the stats would be relevant
By:
nofx
When: 22 Dec 12 00:41
cmmon turn those lights on! not often get to see the cheerleaders in hd
lets get Knicks at better odds
By:
smb360
When: 22 Dec 12 00:41
Maybe, but not necessarily in the case of a one point difference. In a game like basketball it's just too small to have any meaningful effect - either psychological or on the final scoreboard. Unless there was a very, very strong correlation over a few hundred games I wouldn't take much notice; even if there was something statistical in there it would be totally inexplicable (but nevertheless worth following if it's proven to work!)
By:
Bricks
When: 22 Dec 12 00:46
Magic are mugs today!
By:
Bricks
When: 22 Dec 12 00:46
Excellent :D
By:
lurka
When: 22 Dec 12 00:47
got raptors -1/5 2nd Q @1.86
By:
lurka
When: 22 Dec 12 00:47
*-1.5
By:
Bricks
When: 22 Dec 12 00:48
good call, lurka
By:
smb360
When: 22 Dec 12 00:48
I swear any time I back gets a curse on scoring 3 pointers
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