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David Walsh 730 interview

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Replies: 68
By:
wombleoz
When: 13 Oct 14 21:04
i'm not so sure we'd be better off with rebated bets out of the market rather than in it - the pools would be slashed and people would rather bet into larger pools imo
By:
Castiron
When: 13 Oct 14 23:16
womble, I'm receiving rebates through one of the totes. Most of my betting is on the trifectas, quinellas, exactas, trebles etc, on Harness Racing in one state. In the 18 months, I have been getting the rebate, my turnover has increased 125%. I'm betting into small pools most of the time and I consider it a win win for all concerned.
By:
BJT
When: 13 Oct 14 23:44
Everybody gets a rebate with NSW.  SFA but a good bonus if you cash it in once a year.

If you shop around no reason you can't get up to a 10% rebate for most horses up to 24% rebate on tote prices, but betting outside of the tote.  Why bet on the tote when you can get huge rebates to not bet on it?
By:
henryluca
When: 13 Oct 14 23:49
http://www.markread.com.au/help/Oddsservice.aspx
By:
henryluca
When: 14 Oct 14 00:14
Are rebates any different to casino comp's or programs ...like a loyalty program

Dont know ?
By:
jfc
When: 14 Oct 14 00:55
Castiron,

Your join date here is enough to show that there is very little resemblance between you and the new blood I was referring to.

Now, I believe no Tote Punter now makes it up to the Tote Kickback grade.

Instead they avail themselves of Tote Aggregators (some legal, others to avoid at all costs) to allow betting into all Totes, and a much better Kickback deal with lower hurdles.

One more crazy situation where going through middlemen who don't forget to take their cut, is better than going direct!
By:
BJT
When: 14 Oct 14 01:29
When you have a 17% buffer, middlemen were bound to happen regardless of anything as there is huge room for a better deal where everybody is on a better wicket.
By:
jfc
When: 14 Oct 14 02:29
Most of the Exotic Rakes are far in excess of 17%.

And there is still absolutely no need for middlemen. The Totes have millions of customers. What possible sanity is there in refusing to offer competitive deals to a 100 or so High Value Clients, thus forcing them through middlemen or unlicensed outfits?

There is a similar insanity with with Totes failing to provide adequate Pool data to most of their customers, instead selling off that data to middlemen who surprise, surprise charge!

And returning to a key point of this thread:

Take away those huge Kickbacks and other Edges that massively advantage Walsh and a few, and seriously disadvantage the overwhelming majority, and see how long that privileged lot last at their current levels.
By:
Castiron
When: 14 Oct 14 03:12
No middleman, my bets go straight into my own Tab Acct.
By:
jfc
When: 14 Oct 14 03:38
I wan't accusing you of going through a middleman, and I don't care if anyone does, since for most that's the best option.

What I was politely trying to raise is that something seems to be missing from your story.

For example if you've now managed to reach the Premium Level, it's weird that you were previously paying the Full Rake, when you could have done massively better through middlemen.

So it looks like you are leaving some key information out. And perhaps that may be your right.

But I can't see how you can justify your claim Kickbacks are Win Win for all, when your personal situation seems to be highly atypical.
By:
Aussie Driver
When: 14 Oct 14 03:58
Some people know far less about this game than they think they do.
By:
Castiron
When: 14 Oct 14 04:01
jfc

I'm restricted by a confidentiality agreement in giving full details, but I'm a mile off being at the Premium Level.

I strongly believe that both myself and the party that I'm dealing with, benefits from our agreement.

My situation is not unique as there are two other forum members that I know of, that receive a similar deal.
By:
jfc
When: 14 Oct 14 04:22
Yeah those confidentially agreements are really fun. Hard to utter a syllable on the Internet without breaching something.

Just for the record there is a Premium Punter publicly defined by the NSW minister.

That's a minimum $3 million per year.

The trouble that's NSW only so I'll leave you to imagine what that gets to with Tabcorp who also has Victoria.

That's clearly beyond the wildest dreams of any new blood.

And the scene gets even weirder with Supertab.

If you can't qualify with Tabcorp you can then try getting Kickbacks through the minnow Supertab members.

Lower hurdles. But quotas! And very east to get the bulk of Kickback allocation stitched up by 1 guy.

What a dog's dinner.

And scant resemblance to actual Punting.
By:
BJT
When: 14 Oct 14 04:29
I was platinum with NSW and got the fcuk off.  Would love for them to give me rebates, but they won't even take my bets for the most part.
By:
jfc
When: 14 Oct 14 04:38
That Platinum is a real sick joke.

Many Premium Punters would have a hard time suppressing mirth and derision, when comparing their own Kickbacks with the piddly Platinum ones.
By:
jfc
When: 14 Oct 14 05:24
I've just gone to the trouble of checking that Pool sizes are dropping every year, probably since Kickbacks came in, making it very hard to argue that Kickbacks keep Pool big.

Furthermore so much big money now goes on extremely late - and appears in the Pools after jump. So before jump, the pools appear even smaller. Again defeating this argument.

While decreasing Pools are due largely to a migration to other segments like Fixed, some of the biggest players are not in a position to go there. So the real decline in small punters is even more marked.

And once enough of the small punters vanish, whom are the Kickback beneficiaries then going to exploit?

Again, the Kickbacks that bestowed so much undeserved wealth on Walsh and others, have also managed to run Tote punting into the ground.

Yet some of you actually wish Walsh good luck for this fiasco!
By:
BJT
When: 14 Oct 14 05:57
If it wasn't them, it would have been somebody else.  It is the betting companies on the whole who are running everything into the ground. 

At the end of the day, they are trying to take our money, we are trying to take theirs.  Guarantee you if they offered me a 10% rebate, I wouldn't knock it back because other people weren't getting the same deal.

No I am not happy with the state of betting in Australia, but I blame those that say yes, not those that ask.

Do I blame the profitable punters for corporates closing everybodies accounts?  No.  I blame the corporates.  I get a siht deal because of the betting companies, not because of the people that turned it to their favour.
By:
jfc
When: 14 Oct 14 07:01
I can't force anyone to check out that earlier link I gave to VITAB.

But anyone who does and checks some more to become informed, should be left with little doubt how the idiotic Kickbacks infested the caper.

It beggars belief that at the time when every Punter knew Kickbacks were illegal, that some executive suddenly went round to a few offering them 10%.

The askers didn't actually ask for the Kickback.

Instead they misrepresented themselves as a conduit for Asian money, when the vast proportion of that money was from Zeljko-Walsh Australian money.

This is in a number of Hansards.

Crispin Hull wrote a series of newspaper articles.

The Burbridge Report was comprehensive.

Fossen has written a number of books about it.

This material is not hard to find.

But you don't want read any of that.

Instead you want to insult everyone's intelligence by suggesting Walsh deserves good luck for his role.
By:
wombleoz
When: 14 Oct 14 10:44
I think Castiron is right - especially with the smaller pools, the guys getting rebates are propping up the pools and attracting more money, i'd hate to think what would be in them if they weren't there.
By:
jfc
When: 14 Oct 14 21:17
I think Castiron is right - especially with the smaller pools, the guys getting rebates are propping up the pools and attracting more money, i'd hate to think what would be in them if they weren't there.



After I go to the trouble of pointing out that decreasing Pools are a fact, and that a smaller proportion than ever of that money is visible before jump, how on earth can anyone claim that small Pools would somehow improve?

In fact the smaller the Pool the closer it is to zero at jump.

So who on earth, small or big, would bother betting into them? Let alone prop them up!
By:
secong coming.
When: 14 Oct 14 22:28
CrazyCrazy
you have to make allowances for womble jfc...he thinks a tax will change the weather ffs, surely he cant comprehend what you are saying if he thinks that
By:
wombleoz
When: 15 Oct 14 21:35
LaughLaughLaugh Secong Crazy

would you knock back a rebate if you were offered one JFC?
By:
secong coming.
When: 15 Oct 14 21:44
WinkWinkWink
By:
jfc
When: 16 Oct 14 04:26
If I was actually advocating for Kickbacks then perhaps people might consider themselves entitled to ask such questions.

But as nothing could be further from the truth, neither you nor anyone else have any reason to pry into my personal circumstances.

Why on earth would anyone need to have that actually spelled out for them!
By:
wombleoz
When: 16 Oct 14 22:02
relax champ - it was just a question.  i'd suggest 99% of people here, that don't already get them, would if they could
By:
jfc
When: 21 Oct 14 03:40
It's hard enough to cope with the endless stream of morons like Philip Adams and the whole of the ABC who can't figure out how Walsh really lucked out.

But to have presumed Punters here incapable of figuring how bad others' Kickbacks are for them just raises the hurdles for my coping mechanism.

Anyway permit me to offer my idea what would happen to any of those 99% who suddenly found themselves on the Kickback train.

A significant proportion of them would ruin their lives.

None of them would end up better off.

What is it that's so hard to grasp!

Can anyone here seriously believe that those who go to unimaginable lengths to stitch up those absurd Kickbacks haven't taken the appropriate steps to ensure to no one else gets a look in!
By:
AFL
When: 21 Oct 14 06:42
Walsh should get one of Abbott's knighthoods for giving us MONA. imo.
By:
jfc
When: 21 Oct 14 06:52
What exactly is the difference between MONA and Stillettos?
By:
wombleoz
When: 21 Oct 14 09:57
recognising that the kickback folk don't have to always get it right surely we're all better off when the don't - swings and roundabouts imo
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