







)May 25, 2014 -- 5:28AM, henryluca wrote:
Caution:..not officially paid up late nomination yet.....will be official price after market re-adjusts....
That was somewhat the point. The main point, is not only does the horse have to pay up, but it needs to win a G2 race next Saturday to even get in the field as prizemoney isn't getting it close to the ballot. Needs the ballot exemption.
Yet to hear Sky make that point yet. They are merely talking as if it is going and just needs to pay up which connections will do.
Not sure anybody stupid enough to back it at those odds anyway, but the fact of how they are advertising it as basically a walk up start, winning everything, and putting up 4.50 about something it won't possibly start anywhere near those odds even if it does make it in the field, screams a low dog act to me trying to get peoples money in that way.
)


.. hard for me to look at him and think he's still an immature 3yo colt


May 28, 2014 -- 4:56AM, Thebas wrote:
i'm not sure of the ballot clauses BJ but there are generally a few that fall away after this weekend's meeting .. and one (or two) that get a leg up from their wins - who knowsi'm working around sri also - but 3yo fillies (yes rising 4 definately) have a record in the past decade tho she is unlike either of them in that they BOTH started in the 10,000 giving them experience against the class & age as you & henry have mentionedshe is no Private Steer (according to boss) who won in 2003 .. and a different style to La Montagna who won in 2006 .. but she makes the race interesting as she is bred to run the trip strongly probably out to a mile later .. so her performances against her own age were simply that she was a different level to themit's a lottery race ... always has been ... and who gets the best run under the circumstances usually wins ... that is all ... no more no less
I thought it was a case of prizemoney.
But if you look at Srikandi vs Dothraki.
Dothraki 360k prizemoney vs
Srikandi 316k prizemoney
Dothraki 1 G3 win, 1 listed
Srikandi 1 G3 win, 2 listed.
Srikandi above Dothraki in the ballot.
It is my assumption it is some sort of countback system. Most G1 wins top of the ballot, then G2, then G3, then listed. If still a tie, prizemoney.
Using that method, as simple as it is, it would stand to reason that there is no G3 races this weekend, but 2 G2 races, so 2 possible horses that can go straight ahead in the ballot.
That being the case, with 18 starters, IMO that dictates that being 16 in the ballot now, can only possibly go back to 18, meaning he is assured of a start. But that is based on an assumption of how the ballot works.
As for Srikandi, I believe the horse is fast and on times alone capable of throwing a spanner in the works, but we are talking about a horse that is being compared to horses in their races, as opposed to her who has basically been having time trials.
Already established there is no way in hell she will lead the field in the Stradbroke, so will be back in the ruck somewhere in a field of 18 seasoned horses. Would take a perfect run for her to get close IMO. And if indeed she did push to lead, she would be a sitting duck in the straight. So I have really taken her out of most calculations now.
May 28, 2014 -- 7:02AM, spyvspy27 wrote:
I thought it was a case of prizemoney.But if you look at Srikandi vs Dothraki.Dothraki 360k prizemoney vsSrikandi 316k prizemoneyDothraki 1 G3 win, 1 listedSrikandi 1 G3 win, 2 listed.Srikandi above Dothraki in the ballot.Srikandi is above your bloke simply because she has a higher BM figure than him
He has a 95 rating. Hucklebuck has a 94 rating. Yet Hucklebuck is also above him.
