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ghoststory.
30 Jul 12 07:59
Joined:
Date Joined: 04 Mar 04
| Topic/replies: 178 | Blogger: ghoststory.'s blog
Some decent contests.....  Hawks have been very kind to me this year...they have now covered the line
8 weeks in a row since their lose to Tigers.....    think they will beat Cats by more than 21pts but will wait
to see if Roughead gets rubbed out and what Fri night weather dishes up.

Have backed the Roos to cover the line 44.5....... Dogs are shot now have their best onballers missing
Nothing to play for...... cannot score.... North need percentage....  has all the ingredients of a smacking

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Replies: 194
By:
peteie68
When: 31 Jul 12 05:18
saints to beat the pies :)
By:
CrazySnake
When: 31 Jul 12 08:31
Hope you're right, pete. Go Saints!
By:
bigted.
When: 02 Aug 12 09:00
Tonight's Foxtel Cup Grand Final: Claremont Tigers v Werribee Tigers. Probably the closest Richmond fans will ever get to seeing a flag

Scared
By:
Joel
When: 02 Aug 12 09:29
True teddles....but more spies tell me they have an excellent change of playing in September this year Crazy
By:
bigted.
When: 02 Aug 12 09:38
Shocked
your spies been taking same stuff as the chinese swim team

IMO
By:
Joel
When: 02 Aug 12 09:40
Check the fixture teddles
By:
bigted.
When: 02 Aug 12 09:41
Blush
shoulda known...
By:
Joel
When: 02 Aug 12 09:42
Unless they play on the Friday night of course  Crazy
By:
BJT
When: 03 Aug 12 03:57
Some good games this weekend, have my eye on a few bets.
Hawthorn/Geelong
Hawks are the real deal, but I don't feel Geelong is done with yet.  29/25 scoring shots against the Pies, flogging Bombers, and beating Adelaid is pretty good form coming into this.  I think they provide value, albeit just a little.
Taking GEELONG at the line +19.5 @ 2.10

Bulldogs/North
North at Etihad are probably one of the scariest games for any opposition this year.  Have some big scalps and some big scores there.  Can't for the life of me see them losing this, but I can't have them that short in any game. 
Taking BULLDOGS at +49.5 @ 1.90 although only half stake.

Port/GWS
Can't touch Port at such short odds, so looking at the line.  I doubt their ability to score a big total, and I think GWS can easily score 10-12 goals against them.  Means to cover the line Port need 120-130, so happy to be
Taking GWS at +48.5 @ 1.90

Freo/WC
I really just don't like Fremantle at all.  WC haven't been the best in recent weeks, but a confidence building win against the Lions should see them getting back to where they need to be. 
Taking WCE win @ 1.45, -17.5 1.90, and -22.5 @ 2.10

Richmond/Brisbane
Both sides play 100% this game is an easy win for Tigers.  But who is going to turn up?  So much variance on both sides, but think Richmond are getting to the point where they know they need a result.  I think they win this, and probably after a fight, but pull away in the end to win by about 20.  So
Taking Richmond win @ 1.65, -6.5 @1.85, -11.5@2.10

Collingwood/Saints
As you all already know I don't rate Collingwood as high as others, and rate Saints higher than others.  MCG of course is a bit of a worry, and both teams coming off % builders last week.  In a sense, both teams need to win.  Saints to stay in touch with the 8, Collingwood to keep them in the 4 for another week.  I think this game could be a cracker.  Saints are playing attacking footy now, and still provide enough pressure as of recent game style.   Collingwood was put under pressure and we saw a second rate performance with questionable slow decision making.  No doubt a very good side, but have been exposed.  These 2 have played bottlers against each other for as long as I can remember, but I will stick with my heart here and believe the real Saints turn up.  Even if they aren't better on paper (I believe they are), I think a full pressure Saints performance will show Collingwood up and get the job done.  Since it is a heart job and taking into account others opinions of Collingwood though, I will stick with
Taking Saints +16.5 @ 1.90.  My tip is Saints win by 15 points by better conversion at goal.

Melbourne/GoldCoast
Gimme GoldCoast...  Simple as that.  Melbourne haven't come on, GC been very competitive. -14 points to Geelong, +2 Richmond, kicked themselves out of it for -9 Brisbane, flogged by Sydney, but then who hasn't been.
That is a good enough formline to jump through hoops and be
Taking GCFC win @ 3.55, +21.5 @ 1.90, +16.5 @ 2.10.

Sydney/Carlton
Carlton has the ability to get this done, but very hit and miss.  Sydney are the real deal, and are one of the safest bets to give you a run every week.  Cannot back against them, they win the flag this year.
Taking Sydney 1.42 straight up.

Adelaide/Essendon
Not touching it.  Essendon been very disappointing, Adelaide tapered off then flogged WCE.  Won't touch Adelaide 1.15 against them, and would be pissed taking the value on Essendon to see them get another 10+ goal drubbing.  Too many questions for me to form an opinion so no money down.  On paper, I think Essendon must be the value though, but staying away, enough money down already, so that game is drinking time.  May watch and take a position at half time or something depending on what is happening.

Happy punting....
By:
logroller
When: 03 Aug 12 06:27
thank u BJT
By:
Lets Elope
When: 03 Aug 12 06:56
Eagles in trouble again on the injury front for mine, cox under a cloud as is Kerr, (no guarantee to play) Glass and Rosa (a massively underrated and very important player to the eagles) are a massive loss  and dockers are at close to full strength although some query over Griffin (but expected to play) if the eagles win this and I don't know if they can under  these circumstances, as dockers always lift massively for these games anyway, they will have well and truly earned it. market will or should correct as there is very little in this game.
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 03 Aug 12 10:05
Expect a high scoring game tonight, Hawks broke all sorts of records last night, overs 193.5 the play tonight
By:
West Coast Eagles
When: 03 Aug 12 10:05
*last week
By:
Lets Elope
When: 03 Aug 12 10:09
Hawks I think are going too well for Geelong but should be a really good game, the loss of corey and west who has been much better of late hurts Geelong and Hawks are in great form this is their acid test as no doubt Geelong has the psychological advantage over them and they desperately need to break this.

North will smash the hapless bulldogs, Giants some chance against port at skoda and should beat the line, I really believe Gold Coast who are fielding close to their strongest side can just about upset the demons, the same goes for the lions who field a strong side this week, getting rich back helps immesnely.
Swans to comfortably take care of the blues and the crows should do the same to the bombers.
By:
wombleoz
When: 03 Aug 12 10:12
here's this weeks guesses Cool

Cats +26.5
North -50.5
Giants +47.5
Dockers +16.5
Lions +6.5
Saints +16.5
Suns +20.5
Swans -18.5
Crows -37.5

see how we go - good luck all Happy
By:
Winker
When: 03 Aug 12 10:47
Hawks -39.5, over 193.5. Geelong won't get their hands on the ball tonight.
By:
Lets Elope
When: 03 Aug 12 11:06
wow what a start by the cats thery lead by 26 points to zip at the ten minute mark of the first term, havent had a bet and tipped the hawks but would love to see the cats win this, very early days though.
By:
Lets Elope
When: 03 Aug 12 11:10
sensational stuff by cyril to bruest geelong lead 32-6 points at the 8 minute mark of the first term hawks maybe starting to finally steady a bit but the cats pressure has been outstanding.
By:
BJT
When: 03 Aug 12 11:15
Winker?  :O Had it a couple of times...   Blush
By:
Lets Elope
When: 03 Aug 12 11:19
Think we're going to find out now whether the hawks are the real deal or the same old deficiencies still exist. Geelong lead 50-12 with 2 minutes left in the first term.
By:
Scott135
When: 03 Aug 12 11:34
Been waiting for this :)
Another classic example of people getting sucked in to a team that has beaten 99.9% of their win against teams out of the 8.
Really enjoying this game:)
Swans will be Hawks by 60+
By:
Aussie Driver
When: 03 Aug 12 11:57
You clearly know nothing about football Scott
By:
Lets Elope
When: 03 Aug 12 12:01
great fightback by hawks, geelong couldnt get to halftime quick enough, what a game!!! Cats by just 17 points after leading by 51 points early in the second quarter.
By:
Aussie Driver
When: 03 Aug 12 12:02
Best half of footy played this year
By:
Joel
When: 03 Aug 12 12:04
by who/
By:
BJT
When: 03 Aug 12 12:12
Gotta say, while I knew Sam Mitchell was a gun, he is now right up there on my radar.  Must have been living in a cave to not rate him up there in the top 5 players playing the game.
By:
Back High Lay Low
When: 03 Aug 12 12:51
Have a shot Cyril
By:
Lets Elope
When: 03 Aug 12 12:54
If Hawks win by a kick they can thank the umpire for not calling a blatant chuck on burgoyne directly in front of goal about 20 metres in the last minute of the third quarter, staggering that it wasn't called and should have been a geelong shot directly in front of the goals 20 metres out. Absolutely laughable the manner in which this rule is currently being umpired.
By:
bigted.
When: 03 Aug 12 13:04
fk me umpy..it's Geelong,not west coast....
By:
Aussie Driver
When: 03 Aug 12 13:09
Geelong have had the better of the umpiring but no real affect overall
By:
Back High Lay Low
When: 03 Aug 12 13:12
great goal norman
By:
Back High Lay Low
When: 03 Aug 12 13:13
106-106
By:
Lets Elope
When: 03 Aug 12 13:14
oh my lordy lord, waht a game all tied up with 10 minutes and 6 seconds left
By:
Back High Lay Low
When: 03 Aug 12 13:17
bet 365 must be spending some dosh
By:
Winker
When: 03 Aug 12 13:18
All Hawks here.
By:
Back High Lay Low
When: 03 Aug 12 13:26
Lucky Hawkins didn't get his fingers mixed up during that celebration Silly
By:
earlycrow
When: 03 Aug 12 13:30
What a ****n kick
By:
Back High Lay Low
When: 03 Aug 12 13:30
Highlight of the olympics so far.
By:
Lets Elope
When: 03 Aug 12 13:31
sensational game but  puopolo who was so good, what was he thinking!!! Staggeringly good game
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