angeleyz

well at odds of around 7/2, i would be prepared to take a chance that it is not. now 14 years young, jim old's runner will probably go to post as favourite for this amateur and conditional riders event over 2m4f. the positives for this one are that on old form he is well handicapped, now back on the same mark as his last win which came at folkestone back in 2012. he also has shown a liking for this track in the past and one of his five victories under rules came here back in 2007. the only other real positive is that he did show a glimmer of his former self last time out over course and distance when finishing second to carli king. however, it was only a glimmer as carli king won that very decisively and half the field failed to complete that day.

as slight an improvement as that was for thedreamstillalive, i don't think that is good enough to win even as poor a contest as this. the one i am definitely going to be on is the top weight double chocolate. the form he showed when 2nd to kind of easy at fontwell back in october is almost certainly good enough to win here. although he has been slightly disappointing since, i think there have been valid excuses for a couple of those efforts, and today in a first time visor, he stands out to me.

fitandproperjob would not be without a chance as he ran possibly his best race over fences when 5th to free world last time out. this certainly looks easier and therefore if he can repeat that effort, he should be thereabouts.

the only other one worth a mention is killgeney. her early career form in nhf races and hurdles wasn't too bad and she did turn in her best effort in a long time when falling at the last in a race won by tony dinozzo at fakenham. she looked booked for second that day, but with a clear round here, she could at least grab some place money.


best of luck to anyone having a bet today