Grand National
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Very Poor Line up , at least if Tiger had ran would have been a bit of interest
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A desperately poor fishing expedition .....
The cast list at this time includes ... 3 Times Betfair chase winner Hennessy winner Placed in Gold Cup and Grand National Warwick National winner Irish Grand National winner Grand National runner up Troytown chase winner times two Becher chase winner What were you expecting for a long distance handicap chase , a guineas runner up , St Leger contender.........  |
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3 Times Betfair chase winner Will it run ?
Same with the rest how many will line Up ? |
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As for the Warwick National only winner to win the National was Arthur ,Unless of course Kandy can do the same
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I make ur 1st and 3rd stated ew Bets
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There look to be 60 orses entered Have little or no chance , I am surprised at how many of the Irish have spent a lot of the Time being campaigned over 2 1/2 miles ,Years back was a theory because of pace of national 2 1/2 miler could be able to get the trip ,I am still awaiting that to happen ,Might be a long wait
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A lot are still waiting for a 7 yr old to win or should I say to be competitive.
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think classified might lay the 2 mile 4 bogey this year
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He's casing the joint.
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Funny, I was thinking that pre 15 odd years ago the bottom weight off something like 145 would have been the top weight shows just how much better class it is than it's so called heyday (when it was actually on its arse until rr came along).
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There is a horse in the race that has jumped the course, getting on a bit in years but is far far classier than anything written above. Ex gigginstown passed thru cullentra and went to Henry .Anyone at Galway Festivak in 2018 will know who I am on about. The horse has been transferred back to U K to win a "National" . Its weight is incredible. It finished 5th in a Galway Plate over 23 furlongs on the Wednesday and came back on the Sunday and won over the same trip. Only ever carried less than eleven stone in an irish jumps race once, last years plate, last two runs on heavy needs good, his best day is not behind him ! Now do your research , it will be worth it .
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Balko Des Flos?
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Yala Enki 11-3
Ballyoptic 11-1 Burrows Saint 10-13 Accapella Burgois 10-12 Takingrisks 10-7 Potters Corner 10-6 Cloth Cap 10-5 Secret Reprieve 10-1 Another thread on here has picked out these,its a good read and makes sense,but the last on list is a reserve so unlikely to run |
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Think the answer to Irishone is Sub Lieutenant. Not quite sure how you hit on Balko Des Flos.
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ben litefoot,s recent 10 yr trends for spoirtinlife put up
cloth cap kimberlite candy potters corner ballyoptic |
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I like him normally , but read his preview that ' dont know a horse that mixes hurdling and chasing at this level ' , obviously unforgivably forgot Pineau De Re , stopped reading .
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UserBindaree • April 9, 2021 9:59 AM BST
Think the answer to Irishone is Sub Lieutenant. Not quite sure how you hit on Balko Des Flos. Ex gigginstown and went to Henry.. I must have stopped reading at this point. Sub lieutenant isnt in the race??? |
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He is in my paper
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Well done MT but what shocking coverage by ITV. Absolute amateurs, fav pulls up lying second and they haven't shown it or did I miss something.
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Dreadful line up this Year
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Looking back on some of the Previous nationals of yesteryear and looking at this mob
Add the revamped course , The race is not what it was |
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if it was the race it was tiger roll wouldnt have won it twice, and called a legend ,you cant have it both ways
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No Gold Cup placed horses in there but super competitive.
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Some of the winners in the sixties and seventies would be lapped on Saturday. I know it is more like a park course now but it still has to be jumped and 39 other horses avoided.
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Just had a quick look and Tiger Roll in 2018 was slower than the majority of winners in the 60s and 70s and the race was approx 100 metres longer
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On ground described as "Heavy" Bindaree,but your point is worth noting.
2012 was the last 4m 4f race to my knowledge. Neptune carried 11-06 and won in 9m 5.10 secs off OR 157. Since reduced to 4m 2f,only 3 winners have beaten that time,that to me in itself is remarkable. Everything we may have read,or about to read,about this course becoming easier,is not reflected on the clock. If anything,it suggests the exact opposite,the course is now tougher in terms of times recorded. If training regimes and the breed are that much healthier than days gone by .... Why are they slower? This nonsense regurgitated by clerks of courses about safe ground all over the country beggars belief. Has anyone read one line in the last 10 years stating the National is now harder than days gone by? "GD/SFT".... may sit well with many,In my humble opinion it's a recipe for disaster. |
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The stat that is gaining some merit the longer it goes on is you have to go back to Mon Mome for a horse who did not win the race at it's first attempt (Tiger Roll of course did this and the following year ... so let's Minella Times in ,apart from having zero chance under top weight),
This knocks out eight and the two 7 year olds ......only 30 left to look at then  For me it is Enjoy D'Allen , Fiddlerontheroof and Escaria Ten . |
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It's hardly the worst. There used to be around 10-15 horses in the hcap proper in the late 80s when I first started betting. Had a few that were 2 stone out of it iirc. Rough Quest's year there were summat like 30 runners.
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My post regarding times was just a flippant remark and not intended as an in depth comment. However for a more detailed analysis for anyone interested Simon Rowlands has posted a blog on the Attheraces website dealing with the subject. I found it interesting and probably Steve Davis would as well
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