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Grand National

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Fabulous
29 Jan 19 00:15
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Date Joined: 09 Mar 10
| Topic/replies: 5,683 | Blogger: Fabulous's blog
With the entries due out shortly, thought it be the right time to get a thread up and running for the race itself.

I'd love to see Tiger Roll win it again, but life will be tougher. Massive fan of the horse though, and I'd never be in a rush to write him off.

I'm normally armed with a few at this stage, but so far the only one I'm with is Missed Approach, 50's Each Way, and up to 70's on here.

I wasn't blown away by his run in The Becher, with him making a few blunders, and my #1 rule when looking for a National Winner, is a horse with no experience of the fences, but I reckon the trainer knows what he's doing with him. I think this horse is for the big stage only, given his run in The National Hunt Chase, and also last years Kim Muir. Supposedly heading for The Eider, which I wouldn't be mad on as a a prep either, but I think this horse is decent, and but for those jumping concerns, I'd still be quite keen.

Looking at others though, and I have a few on the radar, not least.....

Auvergnat
General Principle
Monbeg Notorious
Noble Endeavour
Otago Trail
Pairofbrowneyes
Up For Review
Vieux Morvan

Early days though obviously, and could do with a few of that lot not getting an entry, would certainly make life easier for me, but plenty of time to change my mind anyway.

Any early thoughts?

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Replies: 131
By:
dunlaying
When: 29 Jan 19 10:59
Traffic Fluide
Baywing
By:
SOULDANCER
When: 29 Jan 19 14:57
WALK IN THE MILL  33-1
The way he won the Becher, finishing so strongly, makes me think he'll improve over the National trip. If he gets round safely I'm confident he's the one to beat.
ULTRAGOLD  40-1.
If he goes for this must have a big chance. Shown he excels on this course and jumps the fences so well. Think he's shown enough this season to have every chance of staying the trip.
They both look over-priced.
By:
Fabulous
When: 30 Jan 19 11:24
112 Entries.......

https://www.thejockeyclub.co.uk/aintree/media/press-releases/2019/01/112-entered/
By:
sixtwosix
When: 30 Jan 19 12:34
The one I had been hoping to see entered is there, Tea For Two.

I think this Grade 1 winner , good jumper and decent ground horse could be the one.
By:
Rydal
When: 30 Jan 19 13:04
i thought T42 was an interesting entry. Baywing, Un Temps Pour Tout both missing.
By:
dunlaying
When: 30 Jan 19 17:18
He would be dropped in if regaining his Aintree form with Cue Card but I have never thought of him as a stayer .
Trafic Fluide had the pace to mix it with top two mile types and looks as if he stays well . He must have a chance .
Blaklion could be interesting too . He probably doesn't get the trip but there is a chance that he could carry 10.10 . For a little chap like him a few pounds under 11.00 might make a big difference . He will come back to form soon .
A fascinating race as always .
By:
sixtwosix
When: 30 Jan 19 17:52
I think any Grade 1 3 mile winner can stay the extra distance .
He finished the 2017 King George strongly and when beating Cue Card at Aintree.
By:
dunlaying
When: 30 Jan 19 19:00
He did when he beat Cue Card . He looked a good horse that day .
By:
The Dragon
When: 30 Jan 19 19:23
had a go at walk in the mill at 33/1
By:
sixtwosix
When: 30 Jan 19 20:03
Tea For Two 66/1 , Post article the horse is being aimed at Aintree  , possibly after cross country race . price taken.
By:
The Dragon
When: 30 Jan 19 20:24
bet it gets a load of weight
By:
sixtwosix
When: 30 Jan 19 20:27
It will , but so will Tiger Roll and lots of the other quality horses,  none will be running off 10 stones.
By:
sixtwosix
When: 30 Jan 19 20:28
Number 40 ran off 10 5 last year .
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 31 Jan 19 13:51
112 ENTRIES are out Devil
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 31 Jan 19 13:52
5.15pm Sat 6th Apr
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 31 Jan 19 13:54
About 52 IRISH enteries
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 31 Jan 19 13:55
*entries
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 31 Jan 19 13:56
£100,000.00 sterling - thought it was alot more ?
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 31 Jan 19 14:00
JUST LUMP ON Tizzard's 7yo Elegant Escape - 25's ew with Hilly Billy
By:
Catch Me ifyoucan
When: 31 Jan 19 14:04
Weights unveiled on Tues 12th February
By:
SOULDANCER
When: 31 Jan 19 15:28
Elegant Escape must be a very doubtful runner.
By:
The Dragon
When: 01 Feb 19 15:34
why is that SD?
By:
SOULDANCER
When: 02 Feb 19 10:53
Well the owners think they have a Gold Cup contender who is only 7. Would they risk the National off probably top weight with possibly 3 Gold Cups in the future.
   I think I recall a few entered over the years but they didn't run.
Looking at the last ten years 2 7yo's rated 157 have run nothing rated higher.
  The owners don't have many horses I think they'll err on the side of caution.
By:
john42
When: 02 Feb 19 23:25
was hoping frodon might be in there,obviously a doubtful stayer but he jumps like a stag,maybe next year,would mind a bit each way on bryony frost if she gets a ride,an excellent horse woman.
By:
SOULDANCER
When: 04 Feb 19 11:01
ULTRAGOLD now 50-1, e.w. 1st 5 with b365. Had to have some of that.
By:
GoldCupWinner
When: 04 Feb 19 12:45
If Tea For Two does run well in the cross country you will be sitting on some ticket there. He's on a great mark for a grade 1 winner. Hasn't shown much since placing in the King George though and I think the hope is that the Wind Surgery has done the trick and they are waiting for a Chelteham-Aintree double.

I do have my doubts about him staying since his best form was on fast tracks but this is offset by the 66/1 price. As I say a goood run at Cheltenham and he'll likely be amongst the favourites.
By:
impossible123
When: 04 Feb 19 13:06
Shame Bellshill is not entered.
By:
Rydal
When: 04 Feb 19 18:35
Even bigger shame Bellshill didn't run last year off 148!
By:
ashleigh
When: 06 Feb 19 18:47
any news on abolitionist plans, trainer said he would not run again until after the national weights are out, thought they might target the haydock trial, but not in.
By:
TEN2FOLLOWER
When: 09 Feb 19 19:56
Ballyhill for me.

Also done a Spring Double with Lord Oberon in the Lincoln.
By:
dunlaying
When: 10 Feb 19 11:19
What rating do you think Bristol De Mai will get on Tuesday? 173? 169? 166?
By:
Meat Loaf
When: 10 Feb 19 14:36
Ballyhill not qualified to run = NR
By:
Rydal
When: 10 Feb 19 18:25
Dunlaying, I am guessing 169/170 for BDM.
Meat Loaf, Ballyhill has a month to get qualified (assuming there is racing before then!)
By:
dunlaying
When: 10 Feb 19 19:47
That is my worry Rydal . 166 would nearly guarantee that every runner ran from its rating .
By:
Rydal
When: 10 Feb 19 20:33
Dunlaying

It's not impossible. Tidal Bay was compressed 7 lbs back in 2014 (mind you he was 13!) also both Carlingford Lough and Many Clouds were compressed 5lbs off much lower marks in 2015. It's a long time since anything was entered with a rating as high as BDM. At a handicap rating of 166, they might well be tempted to give him a run.
By:
dunlaying
When: 11 Feb 19 09:27
Let us hope that common sense prevails and 166 it is .
By:
Fabulous
When: 12 Feb 19 18:39
Tough as ever, but went with a couple to add to main fancy Missed Approach

Missed Approach 70’s and 50’s EW
General Principle 33’s EW

Smaller win bet on Mall Dini 33’s, while I’d love NRNB for Sandymount Duke At 66’s, while same price I’d be very keen on Pairofbrowneyes, but he needs to qualify.
By:
Rydal
When: 12 Feb 19 19:54
Fab

I'm not sure if he does need to qualify. He won the Leinster National, a 3 mile race, last year. However, at the last minute, they had switched the race from Naas to Gowran where the distance is 2m 7f rather than the official race distance. I don't know whether this counts as qualifying or not.
By:
Rydal
When: 12 Feb 19 20:09
Forget that Fab - I've just seen that Willie says he still has to qualify.....
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