Grand National
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13/8 an irish trained winner is much too big on the sportsbook
There is no doubt in my mind that irish trained horses have a significant advantage in soft or heavy ground.
There is no doubt in my mind that irish trained horses have a significant advantage in soft or heavy ground.
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Replies: 16
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Agreed.
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would it not begetter to just back all the irish trained horses to return the same sum almost definitely getting bigger than 13/8?
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combined odds of all irish trained horses in the top 40 is slightly over 2/1
I agree with the general principle that irish horses do better in the mud so that 2/1 could be a decent bet |
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Think you must be a bit short on numbers there
The top 4 are nearly 30 % of the market |
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apologies irish, the 14 runners in the top 40 combined are 2.29 (5/4 ish) not the 2.29/1 I was thinking
that 13/8 is generous |
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15 runners now as gold present OUT & road to riches IN
looks a 6/5 poke at best an irish winner also the irish have 1st reserve |
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havent delved into this market much but judging by previous results at cheltenham etc the irish should be 4/7. jonjo, aln king and davd pipe are so poor.. nicolls and twiston davies (actualyy backed warriors tale but not my number 1) is on the downgrade so us brits dowt really ahve much ammo left in the trainig deaprtment anymore. even hendo withdraws his only runner now. The irish hold all the aces in my book.
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I tend to agree 13/8 seems great value for an Irish trained winner given their dominance at the front of the market, and probable easy going. How did they come to this opinion and are they privileged to info we are not?
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The whole bookmaking fraternity has better sources of info !
The view they take on that info is where they make mistakes Is the 9/4 12 or few finishers value in very soft ground for example ? |
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Maybe the trainers' championship battle between Elliot and Mullins has a bearing on the bookies opinions. But 13/8 looks inviting. Also, I think 12 or more (40 runners) will finish the race because of the "new" less taxing fences given history, and despite the going, I believe.
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beeves & vicente join gold present as NRs
thunder and roses & walk in the mill also get a run along with road to riches the 13/8 has gone now and is now 6/5 |
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never a sweat
 had the 1st billion home |
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Good hit for me ... Stuck out a mile
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Oi oi 12 finishers 9/4 as well
Feck me i can stop betting for the rest of the year now ..... |
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wd irish, v good hit on the irish winner
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Well done winners.
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