Grand National
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Doubtful runners (some more doubtful than others) - have I missed any or any glaring mistakes?
1.Valseur Lido (too much weight for Gigginstown)
2.Alpha Des obeaux (friendless on exchanges)
3.Cause of causes (injured?)
4.Tenor Nivernais (likely target 3m handicap?)
5.Go Conquer (Topham?)
6. Belshill (Irish Nash)
7.Rathvinden (friendless on exchanges)
8.Acapella Bourgeois (Irish Nash)
9.A Genie In Abottle (Irish Nash)
10.Pleasant Company (Irish Nash)
11.Gas Line Boy (Topham)
12.Virgilio (NR on saturday - injured?)
13.Childrens List (Irish Nash)
14.Houblon Des Obeaux (ran terribly today)
15.Bless The Wings (Irish Nash)
16.Thunder And Roses (Irish Nash)
17.Road To Riches (Irish Nash)
18.Walk In The Mill (friendless on exchanges)
19.Wounded Warrior (ran terribly today)
20.Vic De Touzaine (form PPP)
21.General Principle (Irish Nash)
22.Bonny Kate (Irish Nash)
1.Valseur Lido (too much weight for Gigginstown)
2.Alpha Des obeaux (friendless on exchanges)
3.Cause of causes (injured?)
4.Tenor Nivernais (likely target 3m handicap?)
5.Go Conquer (Topham?)
6. Belshill (Irish Nash)
7.Rathvinden (friendless on exchanges)
8.Acapella Bourgeois (Irish Nash)
9.A Genie In Abottle (Irish Nash)
10.Pleasant Company (Irish Nash)
11.Gas Line Boy (Topham)
12.Virgilio (NR on saturday - injured?)
13.Childrens List (Irish Nash)
14.Houblon Des Obeaux (ran terribly today)
15.Bless The Wings (Irish Nash)
16.Thunder And Roses (Irish Nash)
17.Road To Riches (Irish Nash)
18.Walk In The Mill (friendless on exchanges)
19.Wounded Warrior (ran terribly today)
20.Vic De Touzaine (form PPP)
21.General Principle (Irish Nash)
22.Bonny Kate (Irish Nash)
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Replies: 48
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22 doubtful out of 73......be lucky to get 40 at this rate.
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Would love to see Minella Daddy get in. Will be a player on good ground. Bowen knows what he is doing round Aintree.
Plenty of 1000s available the other day. |
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Virgilio was a n/r due to the ground .
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Virgilio not running in the 3m handicap on National day?
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Delusionofgrandeur declared for Haydock on saturday
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Vicente may go to Scottish national instead
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They did indicate a few weeks ago that Vicente would go to Ayr as Meatloaf says.
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So what do we think will be the cut off point? Several likely to go to the Irish national
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I see 6 possibly 7 defectors which would make 48 a reserve . At the moment that is Road To Riches .
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Vic De Touzaine out
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...and Cause of Causes disappearing from firms lists, and at the bottom of the market on here.
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A good few more will go as well if it comes up soft.
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Shantou Flyer going for Topham?
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looking at the forecast Bindaree they wont need to water
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That will certainly narrow it down. Have several bigger priced ones that might have good chances of getting placed but struggling to find something that I feel will have a good chance of winning. Nothing seems bomb proof. They seem either to have too much weight, are inconsistent, not sure they will stay and then of course the going. They may win but personally I don't think any of the first five or so in the betting are good value.
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Vicente going for Scottish National instead of aintree
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Revised list of almost certain non runners:
- Cause of Causes 99% out - Vicente - Scottish Nash - Belshill - Irish Nash - Bless The Wings - Irish Nash - Thunder and Roses - Irish Nash - Vic De Touzaine - Non runner - General Principle - Irish Nash Likely non runners: - Buywise - Pendra - Go Conquer - Acapella Bourgeois |
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Do you know Buywise is unlikely to run or just a hunch ? I was thinking of it as a potential place horse. I know plenty will disagree and I wouldn't have thought of it myself a couple of years ago but I do have some reasoning behind the potential madness.
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Buywise drifted alarmingly - might be something of nothing.
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One of the primary reasons I was prepared to give it some thought was the fact that Leighton Aspell had seemed to revitalise it somewhat. Just read today that he is injured and out for 6 weeks, Aspell that is.
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Mullins said he will not race Bellshill in the Grand National at Aintree a week on Saturday but will instead rely on Total Recall, Pleasant Company and Children’s List. He does not plan to run his other entrants, Rathvinden and Acapella Bourgeois.
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Did he really? That is good news .
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Bless The Wings runs. Jack Kennedy rides.
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Win or lose (Bless The Wings) just shows how Phil Smith has destroyed the race. This horse hasn't finished within 14 lengths of winning over conventional courses in the past 2 years despite running off a low rating !! Favourtism ?
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As De Mee is out after a setback.
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Nicholls is good at letting people know early and accurately....
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Pity Gigginstown can't let people know which of their multitude of entries are going to run. Or are they going to run everything just to make sure there's not much competition for them to overcome. How can anyone seriously have an ante-post bet on the race anymore ?
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Bindaree I think that is exactly why Gigginstown have multiple entries
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I think the first reserve could be 51 , at present that is Walk In The Mill .
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does this mean Vintage Clouds will get a run?
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52 Vintage Clouds . Quite likely to get in I believe . But that is nothing more than opinion .
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Go Conquer available at 200's on here right now.
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The Last Samuri is drifting like a barge just now....
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Another horse bites the dust.
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You usually get an unfounded scare every year - Chris Cook has tweated that Kim Bailey says the horse is fine...
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"At least two hours ago he was" said Kim
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A Genie In Abottle scratched
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https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2018/apr/06/grand-national-hope-a-genie-in-abottle-found-dead-mystery-illness-horse-racing?CMP=share_btn_tw
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Gold Present drifting badly
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