Grand National
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Aintree Grand National
Aintree Grand National
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given that he will be scraping in at the bottom I would say well handicapped. Always staying on well late on, less weight will surely help
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Looks like Vintage Clouds will definitely get a run now. There appears to be lots of non runners still entered. Could Minella Daddy scrape in. One I like at 999/1!
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I do like Anibale fly if rathvinden doesn't run. There have been 3 winners since 2010 carrying 11st 5lb+ so I don't think it is to be avoided as much as it once was. Early on in the season it looked laid out for the big handicap it won. It then fell in its first attempt at a grade one when it didn't really attempt to jump the fence at all. He more than atoned for that in the gold cup, finishing very strongly when most had cried enough. Many clouds managed to win the national after contesting the gold cup and anibale fly fared a lot better than he did. There seems to be a longer gap between the two festivals this year too. I will wait for nrnb terms but rathvinden and anibale fly are my two against the field. Not sure what to make of seeyouatmidnight return today, posed more questions than answers and after watching the Scottish national again he looked to be tiring badly towards the end.
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Big issue I have with Anibale Fly is the crashing fall he took before the Gold Cup , not sure he will get round.
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Aye it was a bad fall and he got it all wrong I agree, although I'm prepared to forgive him the one bad mistake given I think he has a lot of positives. Another positive I forgot to mention was his record in races with a large number of runners.
I know vintage clouds is popular on the forum but for me national winners travel well to keep themselves in good positions. I know one for Arthur was held up but he was always travelling well, vintage clouds never seems to travel too well. |
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dont think anabel fly will figure , great bet in the gc but tony needs a while to line one up
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VC problem is Jumping, never the less if he put in a decent round might not be far away .
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Ucello Conti @ 33/1 for me. 3/4 win 1/4 place.
Was going well last year when the jockey took the suicidal line at Bechers 2nd time and he unseated. Had finished close up in the Becher last sesosn virtually dead heating with One For Arthur. His run against Anibale Fly at Christmas looks better now as well. |
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theres a few down the bottom that are die hard grade 1 irish chasers that have been allocated unbelievable weights , mouse , noel meade and gordon elliot are rubbing their hands in expectation if the ground comes up soft
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i'm on Ucello Conte at 33's as well, I backed him last year, partly because of his ability to jump round. He was going particularly well approaching Bechers for the 2nd time, but was unfortunately unsighted by Saint Are jumping across him and he unseated Daryll Jacobs. Gordon Elliot told us a couple of weeks ago that he'd laid him out for the GN and he's owned by a couple of shrewd operators. He's been backed down to 25's (20's in some places) and is down a couplr of lbs from last year on 10st9lbs. Daryll Jacobs again takes the ride.
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Have added Pleasant Company @ 50 and a saver on Total Recall @ 14 who looks best of the market leaders imo
Good luck all (except I123  ) |
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Bet118 paying 8 places
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In bet size order;-
Seeyouatmidnight Raz de maree Houblon des obeaux Milansbar Obviously done the forecasts and tricasts Good luck all |