Grand National
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Now the champ has just about chosen his ride the price will just reduce all the way till race day . but apart from the jockey i find it impossible to fancy . weight and age are negatives and in his Irish National win the form has been shot to shreds . on the day the weights came out the handicapper said Irish Nationall form was UTTER RUBBISH . Rocky Creek should be the favourite even though i not convinced at all that he will stay trip after his wind operation .
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Completely agree with this. Age a slight negative, but runs this season, and time since last run are hugely against it. And its only ran in 6 chases - not enough experience. Even the trend hating form guys must have a problem with this one being jolly!
Disagree on one of the points - yes price is ridiculous - but would have this horse in my top 4 easily... I think 11-2 is only 2lb above 11 st mark ... horse in the last 5 years have won off slightly higher... Irish National - Well win any of the nationals puts you in the picture... No stamina issues... trained by soneone who knows how to win a race like this... and age not a concern... and is a good jumper and good jockey on board.
Rocky Creek fav? No - Three of his fancied rivals fell early in his last race... so won easily - think you have to take result with a pinch of salt really... was a lot more flattered ...
Shutthefrontdoor should be favourite but at 10s or 12s certainly not 7s!
Rocky Creek fav? No - Three of his fancied rivals fell early in his last race... so won easily - think you have to take result with a pinch of salt really... was a lot more flattered ...
Shutthefrontdoor should be favourite but at 10s or 12s certainly not 7s!
Any guesses to what it might start at ? I wouldn't be surprised to see 9/2.
They will no doubt both go off at silly prices , 5/1 , 6/1.
As much as he was a favourite of mine , Monkerhostin back in the day went off a truly insanely short price.
As much as he was a favourite of mine , Monkerhostin back in the day went off a truly insanely short price.
Insane price he's a 40/1 poke for me.I think he pulls up or falls.
On age, chase experience and time since last run I wouldn't be touching it with a barge pole.
7/2 at the off, every housewife in the country will be on it!
only way it will not go off the fav is if for some reason the champ changes his mind about riding it .
If Goonyella sneaks in on 10 0 , on soft or heavy ground , his price will tumble after hacking up at Uttoxeter.
I have little doubt you know who would tip him and I think he could well go off fav ......let's see if he gets in.
I have little doubt you know who would tip him and I think he could well go off fav ......let's see if he gets in.
even that old tugboat Monbeg Dude could sneak a place in heavy conditions
I agree that Goonyella on heavy ground could possibly go off fav. He is big with NRNB imo as trainer said he would only run if soft was in the going.
Good back to lay though as wont be going off at current 8.2?
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