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BarryM
06 Apr 13 01:59
Joined:
Date Joined: 25 Jan 02
| Topic/replies: 563 | Blogger: BarryM's blog
I'm struggling to see why this horse is such a big price. Was running a really good race in the Beecher when unseating at the canal turn, having jumped very soundly until then. Rarely wins, but has been placed in an amazing 50% of his races, and looks very much like an out and out stayer who will appreciate the step up in trip. Probably doesn't quite have the class to win, but could definitely see him plodding into a place, and at 100-1 plus with some bookies offering 6 places,  he's quite interesting.
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Report jasey April 6, 2013 2:03 AM BST
Agree
Looks like he has a decent handicap in him,doubt its the GN though.I think he will get round
Report Meadow X1 April 6, 2013 2:18 AM BST
so do I and would not be the least surprised to see a larger than normal number of finishers..

1/ easier course

2/ decent going

3/ compressed handicap favouring quality over quantity

It might come down to that last few hundred yards.
Report BarryM April 6, 2013 2:26 AM BST
Hmm. For it not to come down to the last few hundred yards, it would have to be all over before they jump the last. Offhand, I can't think of a single year where that was the case. 1977 maybe. I'm sure there are one or two others.
Report thieveslikeus April 6, 2013 6:00 AM BST
Earth Summit had it won at the elbow?
Report sacrifice1 April 6, 2013 7:43 AM BST
I also think this horse can run a massive race, I think he was 3rd in the Bet3s5 race at Sandown last year running on,  could be a Spring horse, had a 'prep' over the cross country fences at Cheltenham and was running on up the hill, Popham a good jockey booking and the horse seemed to take to the fences in the Becher only to be badly hampered and unseat Coleman at the Canal turn, can tend to hit a flat spot in his races but I don't think that will happen at Aintree.
Report San Quentin April 6, 2013 9:46 AM BST
Coleman is on TRH must have a better chance
Report the bloob April 6, 2013 10:05 AM BST
200 on here and 28/1 with threesixfive to place, nice tipping if it comes in!!
Report the bloob April 6, 2013 10:39 AM BST
150/1 with threesixfive and SJ, both to 5 places, got to be worth en e/w tickle at that price
Report BarryM April 6, 2013 5:31 PM BST
lol, well he got round. Just unluckily edged out of it by 125 lengths.
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