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GoldCupWinner
18 Mar 13 16:13
Joined:
Date Joined: 16 Jun 11
| Topic/replies: 1,082 | Blogger: GoldCupWinner's blog
Anyone give this a chance at 260/1 on here? 2nd in Scottish National from a higher mark. His latest run is a bit worrying but he's always been inconsistent and could return to form if we get better ground at Aintree.
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Report SOULDANCER March 20, 2013 11:17 AM GMT
Wouldn't think he'd run. Don't think he'd be suited to the fences. He's shown he likes the course, if it was normal fences I'd like him. The Scottish National is the one I thought he be aimed at, running in National won't help that.
Report GoldCupWinner March 20, 2013 3:46 PM GMT
Ah thank you. Was the sort of informative answer I was looking for. Scottish National weights not out yet then? would explain his last run!
Report Jambo74 April 1, 2013 1:36 PM BST
I have to say that this is one of my favourite horses. He dug me out of a huge hole in 2008, Id already done the walk of shame to the cash machine and hadnt had a squeak all day. Auroras was 33s in places but I spotted 50s, hed fallen in his 2 previous races, Id convinced myself that this was a positive. We positioned ourselves by the winning post, our lucky spec. Aurora surged into the lead, my bro turned to me "Jay is that yours", I couldnt speak, Aurora stormed home, it was one of my biggest wins and my mate had followed me in. The bookie was pig sick "how did you pick that".
Another barnstorming victory came at Haydock last year. I was there again, 12/1 - Another big win. A fantastic performance followed in the Scottish Grand National, I was on at a big price. Aurora ran his heart out, surged into the lead, but that Merigo fought back bravely and collared Aurora on the line.
If you go through the form book, it is clear Aurora is a "spring" horse, March is his month. Im on at 100s and 207s on Betfair. It looks like hes going to get in. Hes got a great weight, loves this time of year, wasnt stopping over 4 miles at Ayr, hopefully he will run a blinder if he runs.
Report SoYouThink April 1, 2013 1:46 PM BST
Sue Smith has said both Auroras Encore and Mr Moonshine will run if they get in and the ground is okay. Ryan Mania will have the pick the two of them.
Report Biscar Two from a mile back April 1, 2013 1:49 PM BST
Ordinary completion rate round park fences doesn't augur well for national fences imho
Report GoldCupWinner April 1, 2013 1:54 PM BST
He's over 100/1 though so what if he does take to fences? Must have a chance from this mark.
Report Jambo74 April 1, 2013 3:11 PM BST
I agree that jumping is the primary concern here, his completion rate isnt the best. Hopefully he will take to the fences.
Report GoldCupWinner April 1, 2013 3:14 PM BST
Aye it is a concern but how many times do you see a well handicapped gtd stayer at 100/1!
Report Jambo74 April 1, 2013 3:56 PM BST
Just watched last years Scottish national, jumped great, ran a blinder. He was well clear with Merigo.
Report shockster April 1, 2013 6:08 PM BST
Ground is going to be perfect for Auroras.  Just hope he has been well schooled.
Report chief dan April 1, 2013 7:58 PM BST
just been looking at him an most of his wins are this time of year just hope the ground is right
Report GoldCupWinner April 1, 2013 8:24 PM BST
I wish I would have backed him when I posted but stuck £10 on at 117 average odds. At least I know he's going for it now I suppose.
Report shockster April 1, 2013 8:33 PM BST
I backed him with bookies NRNB, but it was safer.  If he wins I'll be happy as long as he doesn't beat Rare Bob into 2nd.
Report BarryM April 3, 2013 8:52 PM BST
You're a hard fellow to please Shockster, I can't think of many scenarios when I'd be disappointed with a 50-1+ winner.
Great chance on last years SN form doesn't he? Problem is, he hasn't reproduced that, or any, form since. To be fair, he hasn't had his ground, but there's nothing at all this season to give you hope, it's a leap of faith. But as a proven stayer suited by the ground and notably well handicapped on his 4 miles form, there are certainly worse outsiders.
Report jasey April 3, 2013 9:02 PM BST
I have backed him,expecting him to fall,but if he gets round could out run his odds
Report morpteh mackem April 3, 2013 9:07 PM BST
anyone interested ,gets top rated in this weeks racing and football outlook( by time-test top rated )
Report GoldCupWinner April 3, 2013 9:09 PM BST
It is a leap of faith but he ran some awful races last year before bouncing back to form. I just that anything over 100/1 for which a case can be made for is worth having a couple of pound on.
Report GoldCupWinner April 3, 2013 9:09 PM BST
just think*
Report BarryM April 3, 2013 9:12 PM BST
Yeah, can't argue with that, he's green on my screen. I'd love him to win too. Sue Smith made me lunch at her house one day about 25 years ago when I was a Student trying to get a business of the ground, lovely lady, so unassuming.
Report shockster April 3, 2013 9:27 PM BST
To be fair Barry AE ows me nothing. When he scored at Aintree 5 years ago (can't believe its so long) at 50/1 it was third up in a lucky15. So have had a soft spot for him.  Incosistent but you never know. Rare Bob pays a lot more though, however cofidence waining as last race is not working out at all.
Report GoldCupWinner April 3, 2013 9:34 PM BST
Would be nice if could win it but her recent form doesn't read too well either. Shame as I was tempted on an e/w double Stagecoach Pearl and Auroras Encore. 50/1 and 100/1 now that would have been a leap of faith :D
Report BarryM April 4, 2013 12:59 AM BST
That's what you need when you have a 10-1 shot - another 50-1 shot to double it up with!
Think 50-1 is poor value on Stagecoach tbh, he's been appalling this season.
Report BarryM April 5, 2013 1:00 AM BST
Stagecoach ran the same as he has all year sadly. Form of the yard is a real worry. Gansey runs in the Topham tomorrow and one at Sedgefield, last chances for a confidence boosting performance. Gansey has much the same chance as Little Josh on their CD form on similar ground in the autumn and is 40-1, but that's probably a fair reflection of the respective form of the two yards.
Report Jambo74 April 5, 2013 10:25 AM BST
Theyve had it bad with the snow I read. Havent had a winner for a while. Worrying.
Report Jambo74 April 5, 2013 11:32 PM BST
The fences look soft, hopefully this will help Aurora with keeping upright!
Report BarryM April 6, 2013 1:48 AM BST
Won't make him any fitter though.
Report morpteh mackem April 6, 2013 4:25 PM BST
Cool
Report tobermory April 6, 2013 4:26 PM BST
WOW WD! Grin
Report gotitwrong- April 6, 2013 4:28 PM BST
well done winners
Report Ibrahima Sonko April 6, 2013 4:32 PM BST
very well done
Report shockster April 6, 2013 4:32 PM BST
Very niceHappy
Report PMac April 6, 2013 4:33 PM BST
oh my wd Cool
Report cedarmaster April 6, 2013 4:33 PM BST
well done and thank you, had £2 @ 120 thanks to this write up
Report dunlaying April 6, 2013 4:38 PM BST
Well played Sir!
Report Roger De Bris April 6, 2013 4:41 PM BST
WD GoldCupWinner. Sporting Life SP says 80-1?..
Report maiaze April 6, 2013 4:44 PM BST
Auroras Encore

Back

259****9356

19-Mar-13
21:38
240
10.00
240
huge price thanks for the tip x
Report casemoney April 6, 2013 4:46 PM BST
LOL wd winners, JAMBOS write up Laugh absolutely brilliant ,can you imagine the scenes where ever he was as it jumped the last Laugh well done all ,hope u got the lot JAMBO and GCW it will be a long party where ever you are Cool
Report HowieTheRookie. April 6, 2013 4:47 PM BST
A memorable win for the backers of AE, well done for tipping up on here too.
Report GI MAC April 6, 2013 4:49 PM BST
well done backers
Report currant bun April 6, 2013 5:01 PM BST
well done backers
Report pedrobob April 6, 2013 5:09 PM BST
well done Gold Cup Winner, great pick back in mid-March!
Report frankalsoran60 April 6, 2013 5:15 PM BST
JOCKEY    OR    TS    RPR
    02Mar13       Kel 24Sft C1ChL 11K    11-2    5/8 (53L Always Right 11-2) 16/1    Ryan Mania    137    *    *
    20Feb13       Don 24Gd C2HcCh 12K    11-5    F/10 (Monkerty Tunkerty 10-11) 15/2    Ryan Mania    137    *    *
    12Jan13       War 29Sft C1HcChG3 34K    11-12    5/13 (46L Rigadin De Beauchene 10-3) 28/1    Ryan Mania    142    *    *
    26Dec12       Wet 25Hy C1HcChG3 22K    11-12    4/7 (24L Cape Tribulation 11-10) 20/1    Peter Buchanan    144    *    *
    02Nov12       Wet 21GS C1HcChL 13K    11-5    PU/11 (Bless The Wings 11-2) 28/1    Jonathan England    147    *    *
    21Jul12       Mar 23Gd C1HcChL 28K    11-12    13/16 (68L I Have Dreamed 10-7) 14/1    Ryan Mania    149    *    *
    10Jun12       Per 24Sft C2HcCh 19K    11-12    UR/17 (Mumbles Head 10-5)
Report bazzar April 6, 2013 5:16 PM BST
GREAT stuff GOLD CUP WINNER, never in my sights at all, mine pulled at the last, funny sort of place to pull up, jockey afraid of being last, maybe?
Report SOULDANCER April 6, 2013 5:24 PM BST
Well done Gold Cup Winner, hope I didn't cost you too much. Sure you had more on,with good prices morning of the race. Think easier fences helped.
Report BarryM April 6, 2013 5:26 PM BST
Well done m8. Won 2k and I'm fretting about what might have been really, form of the yard put me off a much bigger punt.
(I backed 10 in all, so I'm not all that clever).
Report Navel-Gazer April 6, 2013 5:27 PM BST
VWD GCW Wink
I thought Judorick done well enough but you've just put up the ONE selection! Surprised

I hope you won in spades squire...well deserved Happy
Report the bloob April 6, 2013 5:34 PM BST
awesome tipping! a 259/1 shot, is this a record?

well done backers, have a great evening with your winnings!
Report kincsem April 6, 2013 5:49 PM BST
MONEY TREE would have laid it at 260s Laugh
Well done.  A great pick.
Report Mooono April 6, 2013 5:53 PM BST
Tip top tipping, great stuff
Report JOCI Club April 6, 2013 6:24 PM BST
Well done sir!
Report Jambo74 April 6, 2013 6:26 PM BST
HAHA amazing scenes in my house! TOTAL CARNAGE, baby screeming her head off, the remote was a whip, my 2 young sons thinking I had gone nuts, what a performance, what a horse!!! When I woke this morning and saw the sun and felt the increase in temperature, I had so much confidence. My brother asked me to put £20 e/w on for him,hes won £2K. Loads of my mates have done it as Id tipped it up in February! If anyones in West Derby village, the ale is on me!!!
Report Jambo74 April 6, 2013 6:33 PM BST
Well done other believers!!!
Report Navel-Gazer April 6, 2013 6:46 PM BST
Jambo - W/D sir! Sorry I only congratulated GCW Blush

I thought I might frighten you by saying I'm 5 minutes from West Derby Village Laugh
Report IrisDeBalme April 6, 2013 6:49 PM BST
thanks GoldCupWinner and Jambo... I actually I bet on him when I read your thread... and the connection with the Scottish National, as I backed Aurora Encore on the day Merigo beat him... so I had to have a dabble.  But thanks made it a good day.
Report ZEALOT April 6, 2013 7:04 PM BST
Horse Racing > Aint 6th Apr : 4m3f Grand National    Showing 1 - 13 of 13 Selections
Selection    Odds    Stake(£)    Bid type    Placed    Profit/loss(£)
Across The Bay    55.00    20.00    Back    05-Apr-13 22:28    -20.00
Auroras Encore    120.00    2.00    Back    06-Apr-13 15:54    238.00
Balthazar King    *    23.57    7.00    Back         -7.00
Cappa Bleu    *    14.21    11.63    Back         -11.63
Chicago Grey    15.00    10.00    Back    06-Apr-13 16:12    -10.00
Colbert Station    *    16.00    15.00    Back         -15.00
Join Together    34.00    3.00    Back    06-Apr-13 15:54    -3.00
On His Own    10.00    36.42    Back    04-Apr-13 23:40    -36.42
Oscar Time    120.00    5.00    Back    05-Apr-13 08:11    -5.00
Roberto Goldback    32.00    4.92    Back    06-Apr-13 15:43    -4.92
Seabass    10.00    2.00    Back    06-Apr-13 15:12    -2.00
Soll    40.00    5.00    Back    06-Apr-13 14:14    -5.00
Swing Bill    160.00    2.00    Back    06-Apr-13 15:16    -2.00
*Average odds: On  Off    Back subtotal:    116.03
Lay subtotal:    0.00
Market subtotal:    116.03
Commission @ 5%:    5.80
Net Market Total:    110.23
Report PeteTheBloke April 6, 2013 7:50 PM BST
Well spotted. I'm delighted for yeese. Wish I'd seen this fred last week though Happy
Report bobbyjo April 6, 2013 9:37 PM BST
Magic
Report Steamship April 6, 2013 10:08 PM BST
Well done guys great tipping enjoy your winnings
Report Brooksielad April 6, 2013 10:53 PM BST
very well done guys, excellent tipping, looked like he could go round again!!!
Report GLASGOWCALLING April 7, 2013 12:20 AM BST
well done , with a great winner. !!  HappyHappy
Report BarryM April 7, 2013 12:50 AM BST
Rare Bob ran well Shockster, I couldn't have him at all. I trust you can find it in your heart to forgive AE for beating him though?
Report GoldCupWinner April 7, 2013 12:10 PM BST
Got to be honest Cappa Bleu was my main fancy and he's the one I tipped to everyone but didn't my back up do well? Very hungover but very happy! A deserved hangover.Who says the national is a lottery?
Report judorick April 7, 2013 12:50 PM BST
not me GCW!

it's a long distance handicap chase, that's all, 33 went out on the second circuit so the winners were the best in at the weights on the day - they didn't win because better horses fell
Report Mully April 7, 2013 6:48 PM BST
Many thanks GoldCupWinner - took 120/1 myself
Report Facts April 7, 2013 8:24 PM BST
pedrobob     06 Apr 13 17:09 
well done Gold Cup Winner, great pick back in mid-March!


I second this - and wd to Jambo too, Excellent stuff !
Report shockster April 8, 2013 9:35 AM BST
Cheers BarryM.  Yes I thought Rare Bob ran well without ever really looking like the winner(thought it had a chance at Canal 2nd time) but AE made up for it and who can complain with a 100/1 winner.  Well done to all winners
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