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Regular Fries
27 Mar 12 14:04
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Date Joined: 03 May 05
| Topic/replies: 14,435 | Blogger: Regular Fries's blog
I presume the course is already watering but can you imagine the potential for carnage if we come round to the 14th with the weather as warm as it is now?
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Report proctor strikes April 3, 2012 9:13 PM BST
It did rain today, but was not persistant nor heavy enough to do anything more than give the ole rose bed a nice watering. that was the first rain in more than 2 weeks, possibly 3
Report Regular Fries April 4, 2012 10:21 AM BST
Agree it's not proper rain as my old mum would say. I'll be able to give a guestimation of what impact it may have had on top of the watering if any when I play golf later Tongue Out
Report Mully April 4, 2012 4:21 PM BST
Don't get your trainers wet.
Report Regular Fries April 6, 2012 7:31 AM BST
The rain this week if you can call it that did absolutely nothing to the ground so watering will continue I imagine.
Report eyeamgr8 April 8, 2012 6:23 PM BST
Rain Friday rain sat night none Sunday, plenty promised Monday, good all around at the moment
Report wellchief April 8, 2012 7:40 PM BST
Turftrax have the course as good, with a tiny bit of good to soft

http://maps.turftrax.co.uk/latestgoingreport.asp?course=aintree
Report proctor strikes April 9, 2012 9:53 AM BST
rain rain rain since early hours. ground changing at the moment, but Aintree drains so well, they wont be able to water now, so should be good to soft, with softer patches on national course near the canal turn - just what evryone wants and a green light for Syncronised gamble - although not mine.
Report apindy1 April 9, 2012 11:52 AM BST
Persistant light rain for most of the morning ...
Report Regular Fries April 9, 2012 12:13 PM BST
showers forecast all week. It's certainly not going to be too warm for the hosses on Saturday and should be some cut in the ground as well.
Report GoldCupWinner April 9, 2012 12:33 PM BST
Wouldn't mind a heavy national where you can rule out half the field :-)
Report eyeamgr8 April 9, 2012 3:30 PM BST
Has not stopped raining since 4am, and still coming down, must be good to soft all over the course, possibly worse by tomorrow morning, however, no rain to talk about tomorrow or we'd, so may be good to soft for the start of the meeting.
Report judorick April 9, 2012 4:14 PM BST
http://www.turftrax.co.uk/going_maps.html
Report dibble27 April 9, 2012 4:21 PM BST
Finally stopped raining, an the sun is out. Possibley miss the showers from wednesday
Report icantloose April 9, 2012 4:25 PM BST
this is exactly what i was expecting gilies cross price halved since i backed @ 50 RAIN RAIN RAIN
Report judorick April 9, 2012 4:27 PM BST
9-10 mm expected today then forecast dry til saturday

http://www.turftrax.co.uk/going_maps.html
Report johnhanmerappreciationsociety April 9, 2012 5:06 PM BST
BBC website totally contradicts this, stating organised rain or showers every day up to Friday with chance of snow in the area overnight tonight, including heavy bursts Wednesday afternoon .... makes betting harder than it already is, trying to second guess Saturday's going.
Report Regular Fries April 9, 2012 6:56 PM BST
RP reports the going has changed to soft today. Been raining most of the day, quite hard this afternoon.
Report Angel Gabrial April 9, 2012 7:01 PM BST
April showers to continue into the week. I would be amazed if the GN course was not soft come saturday.

Those burdened with high weights will find it hard to lumber it over these meaty fences. A dour stayer with less than 11st 2 will win.
Report traveltips April 9, 2012 7:07 PM BST
So something like Chicago Grey won 4 miler at Cheltenham and carrying < 11 stone?
Report eyeamgr8 April 9, 2012 7:57 PM BST
dont get caught out, aintree is a super drain course, just on the softer side of good at worst come saturday
Report judorick April 9, 2012 9:17 PM BST
yup, they have had all the rain, predicting 4 mm between now and the race, could be good to soft by thursday
Report RedAdair April 9, 2012 9:53 PM BST
9-10 mm expected today then forecast dry til saturday

http://www.turftrax.co.uk/going_maps.html


Web page not found Sad
Report Mully April 9, 2012 9:59 PM BST
The tweets I'm reading from girls attending on Friday are making me chuckle. Any sign of rain is a total disaster for them it appears. There will be rivers of orange! Laugh
Report eyeamgr8 April 9, 2012 10:05 PM BST
i'll say again, word heavy will not appear,,,,

saturday morning it will say...

good to soft, soft in places on the national course

good and good to soft in places on the mildmay and hurdle courses...
Report proctor strikes April 10, 2012 8:16 AM BST
drizzle overnight - wind is up, but is cold. 
I have been caught out before backing mudlarks when the weather has been like this earlier in the week, as the previous poster says, Aintree drains super quick.  Might ride a little softer on Thursday, but by Sat, unless there is another day like Sunday, it will be G/Soft with Soft patches down near canal turn.  Anything reliant on Good ground neeeds swerved imo.
Report proctor strikes April 10, 2012 12:17 PM BST
very breezy right now with some sunny patches. Ground will be drying up all the time, unless more rain later today, looks like could be in for some showers but nothing more.
Report worcesterwilly April 10, 2012 1:23 PM BST
Surely the bigger concern is the anticipated FROST - even light frosts with dew are like adding 000'000's of gallons of water to the track...

If frost does come although it'll soon burn-out it will make it dead yielding ground which would be music to the ears of horses like West End Rocker; Giles Cross.....and if it goes really dead the very much over-looked Le Beau Bai!
Report spyker April 10, 2012 1:56 PM BST
Looking at met office fcast the nearest it will get to a frost is Thur and Fri night when it will be 2 with poss of lower but also poss of being much warmer! Other than that it will be nearer to 6 at night so not sure where these frosts are coming from.
Report judorick April 10, 2012 2:30 PM BST
I've got the TurfTrax going map for the courses on a short cut on my desk top LOL

No chance of frost and about another 5mm of rain predicted. Half the track described as soft and I expect it will be good to soft, good in places come saturday
Report johnhanmerappreciationsociety April 10, 2012 3:40 PM BST
BBC's Honest Frank reports lunchtime going as soft all-round on GN course and soft, g/s places on Mildmay
Report barry rico April 10, 2012 4:54 PM BST
so many different weather forecasts / predictions  . no one can be sure of the ground come saturday . all you can say for certain at moment is the ground on grand national course is soft  .  rain is certain wednesday then a chance of showers everyday till the grand national . the worst the ground will be is good to soft . perfect ground for all but the firm ground lovers
Report barry rico April 10, 2012 4:54 PM BST
so many different weather forecasts / predictions  . no one can be sure of the ground come saturday . all you can say for certain at moment is the ground on grand national course is soft  .  rain is certain wednesday then a chance of showers everyday till the grand national . the worst the ground will be is good to soft . perfect ground for all but the firm ground lovers
Report barry rico April 10, 2012 4:54 PM BST
so many different weather forecasts / predictions  . no one can be sure of the ground come saturday . all you can say for certain at moment is the ground on grand national course is soft  .  rain is certain wednesday then a chance of showers everyday till the grand national . the worst the ground will be is good to soft . perfect ground for all but the firm ground lovers
Report barry rico April 10, 2012 4:54 PM BST
so many different weather forecasts / predictions  . no one can be sure of the ground come saturday . all you can say for certain at moment is the ground on grand national course is soft  .  rain is certain wednesday then a chance of showers everyday till the grand national . the worst the ground will be is good to soft . perfect ground for all but the firm ground lovers
Report SOULDANCER April 10, 2012 7:56 PM BST
2 years ago that's all that was heard, soft ground..soft ground..gonna be soft ground..good ground lovers stay home...yet come the meeting they won nearly everything. It took some till the end of the 2nd day to realise it. Here we go again.
Report bazzar April 10, 2012 8:13 PM BST
Can you repeat that BARRY?
Report Mully April 10, 2012 8:28 PM BST
Barry has got the Met Office on speed dial Cool
Report icantloose April 10, 2012 8:35 PM BST
Thursday friday racing is sure to loosen the track up a fair bit im hoping for right muddy ground come sat come on the cross
Report icantloose April 10, 2012 8:35 PM BST
Thursday friday racing is sure to loosen the track up a fair bit im hoping for right muddy ground come sat come on the cross
Report icantloose April 10, 2012 8:35 PM BST
Thursday friday racing is sure to loosen the track up a fair bit im hoping for right muddy ground come sat come on the cross
Report eyeamgr8 April 10, 2012 8:38 PM BST
20 mins shower this evening after a sunny blowey day,,good/soft  on saturday no worse
Report Paddy Hair April 11, 2012 3:46 AM BST
Any news on the price of the Hotdogs from the burger vans.
Report traveltips April 11, 2012 8:08 AM BST
Good to soft with firm bits
Report proctor strikes April 11, 2012 10:26 AM BST
Overcast start to the day. No rain as yet, but looking ripe for some showers later, wind dropped too and generally colder than yesterday.

Looks like the Midlmay Chase course will be riding more good to soft with the outer hurdles track a bit softer.

By Saturday the only soft bit on the National course will be the far side section from Canal Turn for about 4 fences.Rest will be good or good to soft.
Report Dr Gonzo April 11, 2012 11:26 AM BST
What's it like there at the mo? I'm between Manchester and Liverpool - just had a major downpour here (including hail) for an hour or so, and looks like it might be heading that way.
Report judorick April 11, 2012 11:29 AM BST
course has definitely dried a fair bit according to the Turftrax map

http://www.turftrax.co.uk/going_maps.html

more than 50% good to soft now on the going stick

sunshine and showers forecast
Report Regular Fries April 11, 2012 11:50 AM BST
Yes, been pissing it down in Warrington.
Report proctor strikes April 11, 2012 1:16 PM BST
no rain as yet, sun is breaking out, possibly showers later if i was a beting man :-)
Report GoldCupWinner April 11, 2012 2:17 PM BST
Richard Lee's daughter walked the National Course this morning and she reckons it's good to soft already. They are praying for rain!
Report Regular Fries April 11, 2012 2:50 PM BST
It'll need to be heavy to get a run imo
Report judorick April 11, 2012 2:50 PM BST
that's coz their horse needs it hock deep, ain't happening as much as I like LBB (put it up as max bet on the Ante Post Big races thread) he won't be getting the mud he needs unless something unexpected happens
Report proctor strikes April 11, 2012 6:04 PM BST
no showers materialised. The sun been out in patches - so in short, another drying day. Mudlarks need not apply imo.  Gambles on GC and WER seem a little premature.
Report judorick April 11, 2012 6:34 PM BST
yup they look short now don't they? with 70 hours of drying to come?
Report zilzal1 April 11, 2012 6:37 PM BST
Latest reading around 6.2 on the BHA website, not updated on turftrax yet

Was around the 7.3 mark last year
Report proctor strikes April 11, 2012 6:37 PM BST
Some showers forecast tomorow and Friday, but more drying conditions as well. Will be nice natural ground on the easy side of good. Only horses who want extremes will be inconvenienced.
Report zilzal1 April 11, 2012 6:38 PM BST
This was weds 14.00 btw
Report judorick April 12, 2012 12:45 AM BST
going changed


A 48-HOUR absence of rain on Merseyside prompted a change in the ground at Aintree on Wednesday afternoon, although the weather forecast for the three-day meeting remains unsettled.

The going on the Grand National course is now good to soft, soft in places (from soft, good to soft in places), while both the chase and hurdle tracks on the Mildmay course are good to soft (from good to soft, soft in places).
Report apindy1 April 12, 2012 8:50 AM BST
Nice Fresh Sunny Morning at The Mo !!!
Report marychain1 April 12, 2012 8:59 AM BST
Real drying weather today in Liverpool. Good ground horses are in clover come Saturday imo.
Report judorick April 12, 2012 10:39 AM BST
http://maps.turftrax.co.uk/courseservices/AINTREE/maps/12-04-2012/751.jpg
Report proctor strikes April 12, 2012 11:10 AM BST
similar to yesterday, white clouds around, about 10degress. Few showers expected later and tomorrow.
Report judorick April 12, 2012 2:34 PM BST
they are talking about watering the course because it is already good ground

massive over reaction by the mudlark backers
Report bestmate April 12, 2012 2:55 PM BST
Looks proper summer groundShocked
Report roobuck April 12, 2012 2:56 PM BST
Guilty as charged, weather forecast at the weekend couldn't have been more wrong - I should know better. At least I've got the LBB money to come back.

They've had a fatality Cry and four fallers in 2 hurdle races - odds on they will water
Report spyker April 12, 2012 3:22 PM BST
At least I've got the LBB money to come back.

I thought the trainer took it out, i.e not balloted out, in which case you don't get money back?
Report Regular Fries April 12, 2012 3:35 PM BST
If you're on NRNB I think you get your money back regardless.
Report spyker April 12, 2012 3:41 PM BST
I s'pose if the bet was placed in the last day or 2 - not sure when all bookies went nrnb but don't think many were before tuesday. Anyway, groud has turned out as i thought as I backed good ground horses at bigger odds - i just hope there isn't much rain from now on!
Report Regular Fries April 12, 2012 3:42 PM BST
looks very quick to me. Think they'll be watering before Saturday but isn't going to be any softer than it is today.
Report roobuck April 12, 2012 4:00 PM BST
For clarification was placed NRNB with Lads
Report zilzal1 April 12, 2012 4:03 PM BST
4yo Hurdle less than a second slower than last year
Report spyker April 12, 2012 9:49 PM BST
Selective watering on both courses taking place - seems a tad premature to me but heyho!
Report Dr Gonzo April 12, 2012 10:03 PM BST
Walked around the National Course this morning, and the ground wasn't especially soft then, let alone with the sun on it all afternoon.

It didn't particularly feel like it with the wind, but it was pretty warm on course.
Report GoldCupWinner April 12, 2012 10:04 PM BST
Looked to be dark clouds about before but no rain has yet materialised.
Report VillaBoy April 12, 2012 10:06 PM BST
Never trust course conditions until the day. I backed some of the good ground horses earlier in the week when they said it'd be soft and the market altered too much in favour of the soft ground horses, but there has been a big overreaction today to the horses preferring softer conditions with fear of fast ground. Water now going on and it could still rain as well. There is no way the ground will be good. I'm now backing the likes of Giles Cross on the basis that tomorrow you can probably trade out much shorter when the market corrects back in line again following optimism over watering.
Report proctor strikes April 12, 2012 10:16 PM BST
villaboy - each to their own, but thats a crazy strategy.  The course is bone dry - end of. We are in Spring and the ground just eat up any showers if they materialise, good ground horses all the way.
Report marychain1 April 12, 2012 10:21 PM BST
The day just got warmer today in Liverpool. Took the kids to the park between 5-6 and it was still lovely and warm, with a slight breeze. Proper drying weather. The missus said she did 5 loads of washing today!

Will be on the firm side of good by Saturday unless they water.
Report VillaBoy April 12, 2012 10:31 PM BST
Proctor I'm not saying I'm favouring the soft ground horses. I'm firmly in the camp of the decent ground horses. I'm just saying I think there is a trading opportunity now because I think someone like Giles Cross will hit say 22/23 tomorrow at some stage.

mary there is no way they will allow the course to be on the firm side of good for the national. The race is too high profile. I got stung at dry as a bone Cheltenham when Cape Tribulation etc came in mud splattered!!!!
Report proctor strikes April 13, 2012 7:05 AM BST
fairs do's villaboy.
Interesting they didnt water the National Course last night too, as it was a proper drying day yesterday.
Frosty morning, ice on the cars at the moment. Looks bright though and the threat of showers has gone. Hate it when they ruin the ground. Although I think we just have to accept thats the way it is now and we cant change it.
Report Regular Fries April 13, 2012 10:40 AM BST
A drying day again today I dare say. Watering this morning I believe.
Report theunrealbandit April 13, 2012 6:56 PM BST
So what y'all think now, given the rain that was in evidence during the 2 races I watched today? Anybody got any interesting findings based on today's race times?
Report marychain1 April 13, 2012 7:08 PM BST
The showers we've had today wont have made the going any softer for Saturday as it was a drying day again on the whole. However, there are some serious 'orrible looking clouds and there's every chance of a thunder storm in the next hour or two.
Report Leonardo April 13, 2012 7:13 PM BST
Watering National course right now according to Claire Balding on twitter!
Report zilzal1 April 13, 2012 7:19 PM BST
WHAT !!!!
Report GoldCupWinner April 13, 2012 7:24 PM BST
Looking very dark and grey here I can't believe they're watering.
Report NonShy.. April 13, 2012 7:41 PM BST
RAIN PLEASE OR LEAVE THE SPRINKLERS ON
Report breadnbutter April 13, 2012 8:58 PM BST
aintree should just lay an all weather or move the race to france .
Report icantloose April 13, 2012 10:05 PM BST
whats the weather down there looking now any sign of that thunder storm
Report GoldCupWinner April 13, 2012 10:18 PM BST
Amazingly no rain has fell up to now. Thought for sure was gonna be a thunder storm.
Report zilzal1 April 13, 2012 10:35 PM BST
Theyve stuck 3-5 mm on tonightCry
Report icantloose April 13, 2012 10:48 PM BST
apparently there's showers all day tomorrow as well
Report lucylucky April 13, 2012 10:54 PM BST
how significant is 3-5mm of watering? weather is expected bright morning then rainy afternoon i think. chance of soft ground anyone?
Report KipperRSA April 13, 2012 11:30 PM BST

Apr 13, 2012 -- 10:48PM, icantloose wrote:


apparently there's showers all day tomorrow as well


no chance, maybe light showers early doors and light showers at race time but mostly sunny again

Report icantloose April 14, 2012 12:50 AM BST
were all watching different weather reports,but i still think there will be enough rain come 415 for the goig to be soft throughout
Report icantloose April 14, 2012 12:50 AM BST
were all watching different weather reports,but i still think there will be enough rain come 415 for the goig to be soft throughout
Report KipperRSA April 14, 2012 7:37 AM BST
my weather forecast is always right !  more cloudy than last few days but a dry sunny day, only chance of a shower late afternoon
Report GoldCupWinner April 14, 2012 7:55 AM BST
Nice and bright early this morning :-) Doesn't look like it rained last night!
Report jasey April 14, 2012 9:44 AM BST
no chance of soft,its only good to soft in places,and they watered last night
Report marychain1 April 14, 2012 10:21 AM BST
lovely day today, sunny and warm with a slight breeze. Very little if any overnight rain despite the 'orrible looking clouds.
Report icantloose April 14, 2012 1:56 PM BST
looking very dark and grey down there its gona chuck down for the next 2 hours
Report NonShy.. April 14, 2012 2:16 PM BST
raining yet?
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