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A Reasoned View
08 Apr 11 14:35
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Date Joined: 13 Sep 03
| Topic/replies: 158 | Blogger: A Reasoned View's blog
Now 10's from 15's this am - a massive fall in price...overdone?
Pause Switch to Standard View DON'T PUSH IT!!!!!!!!!
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Report Try My Best April 8, 2011 2:59 PM BST
Can't believe that they think this will go off at single figure odds.All the stats against it.Way too short
Report Mooono April 8, 2011 3:00 PM BST
Its the grannys and the mums of the nation..£1 e/w Tony McCoy £2 win Tony McCoy thank you..I looked at the to start fav market with 365 and this was 5/1 and thought hmmmmmm..That now looks massive..
Report Rondetto April 8, 2011 7:32 PM BST
I've always said 5lbs won't stop him and backed him at 22/1 weeks ago, plus he's in better form now than he was last year according to Jonjo.

That seemed to be the case at Cheltenham when he cruised up and seemed blow up in the Pertempts.

No way were they ever going to make him a price on the day where a good profit could be had from him being in the first 5.

He stands up he gets placed at least.  Should go off about 6 or 7/1
Report OnOffer April 8, 2011 7:41 PM BST
Should be favourite. Been nailing at his price for weeks. A very real chance.
Report Far From Trouble April 8, 2011 7:44 PM BST
Giving weight all round in the best National for years, can't have him tbh
Report OnOffer April 8, 2011 7:53 PM BST
So there will be more than 1 horse within 25 lengths of him this time then [;)]
Report Rondetto April 8, 2011 7:54 PM BST
The best national for years? nota bad one but hardly great, the next horse in the weights is a nutcase and below him you have a horse who has been sidestepped by the stable jockey. Both of them are reknowned for spitting the dummy out.

No better than last years race mate and after halfway when they've thinned out it will become just another handicap.
Report buddeliea April 8, 2011 7:57 PM BST
Big chance,but he wont beat Backstage[;)]
Report MJT72 April 8, 2011 8:03 PM BST
Traders dream IMO

Back him (at a price dictated by sane punters), lay him (at a price crucified by the grannies £1 EW bets), pocket the cash and stick it on a horse given half a hope by the handicapper.

Always liked the horse, but to win off 11-10 as an 11 y/o against a very respectable field like this would need a red rum esque performance. He's good but surely not that good!!!???
Report glitch April 8, 2011 8:09 PM BST
THE GROUND IS RIGHT WE HAVE OUR HORSE
Report jasey April 8, 2011 8:10 PM BST
place bet only
Report Rondetto April 8, 2011 8:18 PM BST
I backed him at 22 and will lay half off so don't need to worry but you don't have to be Red Rum.

Red Rum carried 10stone and ended up giving weight to L'Escagot not going up 5lbs and giving a few pounds to What A Friend who wouldn't even come close to winning a Gold Cup.

Handicapping has changed dramatically since those days and the opportunity for a horse with a touch of class like Don't Push It is much greater.

I certaily wouldn't want to be leading with him and AP up my backside at the 2nd last tomorrow. Got a great chance if he can steer clear of trouble
Report N.D April 8, 2011 9:31 PM BST
Would LOVE to see him win again, fingers crossed for a safe trip round.  Go on McCoy!!!
Report duffy April 8, 2011 11:07 PM BST
yep i've ginally come round to realizing that he will win again....and the story of course is that you wait 15 years for one and then 2 come along one after another.
Report Try My Best April 9, 2011 3:24 AM BST
I'm absolutely amazed he's favourite on here.
Report OnOffer April 9, 2011 3:38 AM BST
Class horse.

Goes on the ground.

Jumped the fences like a stag lto.

Only one horse came near last time.

Ran Denman close and ran Big Bucks as close as any.

His negatives are:

"He's carrying a lot of weight"...

Struggling for any others. Still think he would have won off 11 10 last year and see no reason why he can't be there or therabouts this time

I'm open to be convinced otherwise.
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