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Grand National

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fivebagken
05 Apr 11 11:35
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Date Joined: 06 May 10
| Topic/replies: 251 | Blogger: fivebagken's blog
Can someone point out any value with this lot please?

The Midnight Club - Not experienced enough, 8-1 shocking value
Backstage - running in PTPs, bit of a step into the unknown and cant have it at 12-1
WAF - bit too quirky and value has sailed
SBN - looks like it needs heavy, and what did it really beat at Haydock anyway?
Oscar Time - if you're backing this one then you should be backing Arbor Supreme
Niche Market - tried and failed last year and rejected by Walsh
BFT - hasnt seen it out the last twice
DPI - top weight, can't see it winning again (although best so far)
Quinz - 7 year old (6 in reality)

The only one I could have out of those at the top of the market is Balabriggs, and he hasn't had any experience over the fences.

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Replies: 5
By:
charwell.
When: 05 Apr 11 11:39
Completely agree-  the value lies with the 25 - 50/1 shots IMHO
By:
sintonian
When: 05 Apr 11 12:29
WEST END ROCKER IS STONKING VALUE
By:
gazovic
When: 06 Apr 11 07:57
decent post fella. I agree generally.

But if you only fancied say 8 or 9 in the race then I would argue that 12s or 14s is an ok price.

my logic may be fuzzy of course. [smiley:crazy]
By:
IanD83
When: 06 Apr 11 12:46
Couldn't back any of them at the current prices. On BFT @ 27 on here though. Midnight club can't help but look at the price of arbor supreme and think it's purely the ruby factor.
By:
revedesivola
When: 06 Apr 11 12:48
good post, which points out one thing, youve missed the boat. no point backin a horse at 10/1 on the day, why not back him 33/1 a couple f months before
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