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Baker32
27 Sep 10 15:13
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Date Joined: 04 Aug 10
| Topic/replies: 1,022 | Blogger: Baker32's blog
I'm doing a laying football team thread as the title will tell you. I think I may of found a way to increase the chances of picking a loser.
The matches I select will be in the following Leagues only:-
English Prem
English Campionship
English League 1
English league 2
Blue square Prem
Scottish prem
German 1. Bundesliga
Spain - Primera Division
Serie A -Italy
and the French 1st Div

My starting bank for this will be £1000 and I hope to have a strike rate of 75%-85% the highest odds I will lay is 5.5 unless there is a outstanding bet above that figure. Only lays for teams will happen in this thread nothing else I will record all wins/loses here. I will be running a different thread for laying 0-0 Half time scores as well hope you enjoy the thread. First selection will be written up very shortly :)

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Replies: 21
By:
Baker32
When: 27 Sep 10 15:35
York v Darlington

Blue Square Bet Premier
Venue: Bootham Crescent Date: Monday, 27 September Kick-off: 1945 BST
First selection is to Lay Darlington @ 3.45 to the for the  Liability of £122.50 to win £47.65. As you can see im using  more then 10% of my starting bank this is due to me believing I can get a high strike rate. Right York are under new management after  Martin Foyle which was a big blow. But York sit 10th in the league after a good 3-1 win over Tamworth. They are good at home with a record of 3-1-1 now they play a Darlington side that havent won away yet in the league but haven't lost either. Their away record stands at 0-5-0 away from home Darling don't tend to make alot of chances and to be honest haven't came up against anyone good away. I feel York are good enough to score against Darlington and that should be enough to get at least a draw.

Bank :- £877.50
With 1 bet on
By:
Baker32
When: 27 Sep 10 21:45
Bet 1
York v Darlington (Lay Darlington @ 3.45 to the for the  Liability of £122.50 to win £47.65)
Full Time Result
York 0 Darlington 0 (Winner)

Bank:- £1047.65
Profit:- £1047.65
Strike Rate 1/1
By:
Baker32
When: 27 Sep 10 22:33
Bet 2
Rotherham v Bradford (Laying Bradford @ 5.1 for the  Liability of £160 to win £38.14)

League 2 Action
Second Selection sees High flying Rotherham Vs lowly Bradford City on Tuesday night. Rotherham have started the season well and recorded an impressive home win against Chesterfield. they have scored 12 times already this season at home but have let in 8. Bradford on the other hand are a very poor side last time out seen them get beat by Northampton 2-0 they struggle to score goals (2) away from home and dont make many chances 1 shot at goal on saturday is all they could manage against a team that went to extra time on Wednesday. I except Rotherham not to lose I cant see how Bradford are going to score here so the lay seems a safe bet.

Bank:- £887.65
With one bet on
By:
Baker32
When: 27 Sep 10 22:41
Bet 3
Bristol Rovers v Tranmere (Laying Tranmere @ 4.7 for the Liability of £185 to win £47.65)

League 1 Action
Third selection see Bristol Rovers vs Tranmere, Rovers have finally started to get there act together winning 2-1 at home on the weekend. Tranmere struggle on the road and are still without a win getting thumped 3-1 at Colchester and sit bottom of the table again a side struggling to make chances and no doubt would settle for a 0-0. Rovers to score early and no way back for Tranmere.

Bank:- £702.65
By:
Baker32
When: 27 Sep 10 22:47
Bet 4
Portsmouth Vs Bristol City (laying Bristol City @ 4.5 for the Liability of £175 to win £47.65)

Championship action
Four selection and final one for the day is Portsmouth Vs Bristol City Portsmouth thumped Leicester 6-1 on Friday while Bristol City were getting a 0-0 draw away at Burnley. Now the 0-0 was a good result for City but yet again they were lucky Burnley had 26 shots missed a pen and hit the bar in the last min. City are poor travels and dont win often on there travels scoring goals is a problem and i expect Portsmouth to have to much for them to handle.

Bank:- £527.65
with 3 bets on
By:
Baker32
When: 28 Sep 10 21:46
Bet 2
Rotherham Vs Bradford Lay Bradford
Full time 0-0 Winner

Bet 3
Bristol Rovers Vs Tranmere
Full time 0-1 Loser

Bet 4
Portsmouth Vs Bristol City
Full Time 3-1 Winner

Bank:- £948.70
Loss:- 51.30
Strike Rate 3/4 75%
By:
Baker32
When: 29 Sep 10 09:21
Bet 5
Tottenham Vs FC Twente (Lay FC Twente @ 5.0 for the Liability of £200 to win £47.65)

Champions League
I know Spurs are not in get form at the moment but Ive watched Fc Twente a couple of times this season and have not been impressed with them. They look very poor at the back and going forward the forward always seem to run offside. Spur need a win with inter Milan games coming up and i just cant see them losing this one.

Bank:- £748.70
With one bet on
By:
Baker32
When: 29 Sep 10 17:00
Bet 6

AFC Wimbledon v Cambridge Utd (Lay Cambridge Utd @ 4.9 for the Liability of £195 to win £47.65)

Blue Square
Afc Wimbledon are a strong team at home who create lots of chances Cambridge Utd on the other hand struggle away from home and I can't see anything changing tonight.

Bank:- £553.70
With two bets on;)
By:
Baker32
When: 29 Sep 10 22:13
Bet 5
Tottenham Vs FC Twente (Lay FC Twente @ 5.0 for the Liability of £200 to win £47.65)
Full time
4-1 Winner

Bet 6

AFC Wimbledon v Cambridge Utd (Lay Cambridge Utd @ 4.9 for the Liability of £195 to win £47.65)
Full Time
3-0 WINNER

Bank :- £1044
Profit:- £44
Strike Rate 5/6 (83%)
By:
Baker32
When: 30 Sep 10 11:00
Bet 7
Gent v Lille (Lay Gent @ 3.65 for the Liability of £132.50 to win £47.65)

Gent Vs Lille
Lille should be to strong for Gent tonight Belgium football is to be fair is a poor standard. Lille away are a good side in france which is a strong league then Belgium for a start they keep the ball well and create a good few chances but not only this they keep it nice and tight at the back. Lille should be to good and come away from this game with at least a draw ;).

Bank:- £911.50
With one bet on
By:
Baker32
When: 30 Sep 10 22:30
Bet 7
Gent v Lille (Lay Gent @ 3.65 for the Liability of £132.50 to win £47.65)
Full Time result
1-1 (winner)

Bank £1091.65
Profit: £91.65
Strike Rate:- 6/7 (85%)
By:
Baker32
When: 01 Oct 10 14:49
Bet 8
Southampton Vs Bornemouth (lay Bournemouth @ 5.4 for the Liability of £220 to win £47.65)

Southampton Vs Bournemouth
Southampton have had a poor start to the season and have not won at home in 4. Now though that doesn't look good in each game they have created between 15-18 chances with the other teams they have been playing only having 4-6 chances a game. Surely its only a matter of time before there luck changes. Bournemouth sit in 2nd after a great start they only away win came at Tranmere 3-0 but the score line was harsh on the home side. Bournemouth struggle to create chances away from home but to be fair give little away. I feel Southampton will be to strong for them and should at least come away with a draw.

Bank:-£871.75
with one bet on ;)
By:
Baker32
When: 01 Oct 10 15:03
Bet 9
Hull Vs Coventry City (lay Coventry @ 4.1 for the Liability of £155 to win £47.65)

Hull Vs Coventry
Even though Hull got thumped in the week at 4-0 at Burnley in midweek at home Hull are a hard team to beat. Coventry are a poor side IMO and when i watched them against Bristol City ok they won but the second half belonged to City and a draw would of been a fair result. Hull haven't let in a goal at home this season i dont know if they can keep another clean sheet but i feel they will score past Coventry and that should be enough to get at least a draw.

Bank:- £716.65
with 2 bets on;)
By:
Baker32
When: 01 Oct 10 15:26
Bet 10
Leicester City Vs Scunthorpe (Lay Scunthorpe @ 5.4 for the Liability of £220 to win £47.65)

Leicester City Vs Scunthorpe
Now i know Leicester are bottom and have just shipped 10 goals in two games and not only this have already lost 2 at home already but i feel they will be good enough not to lose tomorrow. Now they sacked there manager today (Leicester) i dont know if this is a good thing or not to be honest. They have being creating a hello of alot of chances at home but have been failing to take them. Scunthorpe on the other hand don't create enough away from home but not only this they give you alot of chances at the back. Leicester did a win i dont know if they will get it but cant see them losing.

Bank:- £496.65
with 3 bets on
By:
Baker32
When: 02 Oct 10 17:01
Bet 8
Southampton Vs Bornemouth (lay Bournemouth @ 5.4 for the Liability of £220 to win £47.65)
Full time score
2-0 Winner

Bet 9
Hull Vs Coventry City (lay Coventry @ 4.1 for the Liability of £155 to win £47.65)
Full time result 0-0 Winner

Bet 10
Leicester City Vs Scunthorpe (Lay Scunthorpe @ 5.4 for the Liability of £220 to win £47.65)
Full time
3-1 Winner

Bank:- £1234.60
Profit:- £234.60
Strike rate:- 90%
By:
Baker32
When: 02 Oct 10 22:32
Bet 11
Osasuna v Levante (lay Levante @ 5.4 for the Liability of £220 to win £47.65)

Osasuna Vs Levante
Osasuna are not the greatest side but can be a hard team to play against at home they are hard to score against and with the way Levante play away from home i cant see Levante beating Osasuna. Levante create very little and not only that give you lots of chances. I cant see Levante scoring and if they do i cant see them scoring more then one Osasuna should be to strong for them and score at least one which should be enough for at least a draw ;).

Bank:-
£1014.60
with one bet on
By:
The Dragon
When: 03 Oct 10 10:07
good luck i dont bet on overseas footie as i know absolutley  nothing about it
By:
Baker32
When: 03 Oct 10 17:52
Bet 11
Osasuna v Levante (lay Levante @ 5.4 for the Liability of £220 to win £47.65)
Full time result
1-1 Winner

Bank:-
£1282.25
Profit:- £282.25
Strike Rate :- 11/12 91%
By:
Baker32
When: 05 Oct 10 08:30
Bet 12
Colchester v Wycombe (lay Wycombe @ 5.0 for the Liability of £200 to win

Colchester v Wycombe
This Match see's two teams from different leagues playing each other in the JPT Colchester come into this game with unbeaten home record. But they do struggle to create chances but the good think about the side is they give very little away. Wycombe on the other hand come into this game with an impressive away win at Stevenage but this was the only bright moment away from home. They always struggle to create alot away from home and can see that run carrying on tonight. In what could be a tight game I can see a 0-0 or a easy win for Colchester whatever the result i cant see Colchester losing.

Bank:-
£1082.25
with one bet on
By:
Baker32
When: 05 Oct 10 08:33
sorry last post should read
Bet 12
Colchester v Wycombe (lay Wycombe @ 5.0 for the Liability of £200 to win £47.65)
By:
Baker32
When: 05 Oct 10 08:45
Bet 13
York City v Kettering (Lay Kettering @ 5.1 for the Liability of £205 to win £47.65)

York City v Kettering
Kettering Town this season have won 2 away from home out of 5 which doesn't look to bad. But they are a very poor outfit. They come off the back of a 2-1 home win against Hayes but again were very lucky to win this game there problem is they have problem creating chances and against the better team struggle to keep clean sheets. York on the other hand have only lost 1 game at home this was the first game of the season against Kiddermister. Even though they do give you a chance in games they should be to strong for a poor Kettering side they should score at least 1 and that should be enough to get a draw.

Bank:-
£877.25
with two bets on
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