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X Factor 2010

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Henry VIII
09 Dec 10 18:21
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Date Joined: 31 Jul 06
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Louis said at today's press conference that he wants Rebecca to win. The stakes are far too high to allow any judge with no singers left to be independent so what that means is Simon wants Rebecca to win. Although actually we have already been told this from everything Simon has said about Rebecca.

There’s been a surge for her since Saturday on most indicators. She’s equal with him in this new poll started since Saturday:
http://www.metro.co.uk/tv/849797-matt-cardle-set-for-x-factor-win-after-final-sing-off-rumours-scotched
Importantly it’s not from a fansite, and it does have a large vote although it’s not stated. I’ve been following it and people are constantly voting on it.

But anyway polls are often undermined by the “who deserves to win factor” – often a handsome young male will be kept in a competition till the end by the female voters, but then a change happens at the end when they think more about the final vote – less who enchants them and more who is the best singer, which according to virtually all musicians who have commented is Rebecca, and maybe more importantly (for those who can at least sing excellently) - who is the nicer person.

Her 3 songs are knockout and Matt has tonsillitis, just yesterday he wasn’t able to sing properly.

Expect Simon to slate Matt and ramp Rebecca, he needs her to be his ambassador, Matt is rebellious and just wants to sing the dirge he writes himself.

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Replies: 227
By:
RMB ©
When: 09 Dec 10 18:23
Post ya bets ta. If you were more than 50% sure of this, you'd have a monster bet on her.
By:
topgun123
When: 09 Dec 10 18:23
u like me henry u know
By:
Henry VIII
When: 09 Dec 10 18:26
Post ya bets ta. If you were more than 50% sure of this, you'd have a monster bet on her.

I already have.
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 09 Dec 10 18:27
Henry

All utter nonsense and a tad pro rebecca I'm guessing?



Thought you had a bit more class than that.  I can read I was wrong. 

Won't you feel silly afterwards if by some million to one chance Matt wins posting all this drivel?
By:
Henry VIII
When: 09 Dec 10 18:28
Won't you feel silly afterwards if by some million to one chance Matt wins posting all this drivel?

Matt is my 2nd best result. Atm, things change.
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 09 Dec 10 18:29
But you haven't answered my question?

Won't you feel silly afterwards if by some million to one chance Matt wins posting all this drivel?
By:
charliebigpotatoes
When: 09 Dec 10 18:29
think is, public are well aware Matt is sick. It is actually helping in a perverse way. The women aged 24 to 74 are full of sympathy. As long as Matt gives "110%" as they say on MOTD, its enough.. he does not need to outsing Rebecca with viral tonsilitis.
By:
charliebigpotatoes
When: 09 Dec 10 18:30
thing not think..
By:
squares
When: 09 Dec 10 18:30
It's well written and a point well made whatever your opinion.  I've also followed that poll.  Thought it was also of interest as I assume it will have mostly London/Southern readers.

And to think you have stuck up for this clown Henry . . .
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 09 Dec 10 18:31
Charlie

With half a voice he'd be a better singer than rebecca so there really is nothing to worry about.  Matt has a fantastic voice and his range is incredible.  I've met about 1000 Rebecca's over the years.  She's just 'quite good'.
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 09 Dec 10 18:33
Henry

I expect Simon to slate Rebecca and ramp Matt so what nakes you right?
By:
charliebigpotatoes
When: 09 Dec 10 18:34
[i]Pobitch mailout today...

>> Lack of direction
By:
melv
When: 09 Dec 10 18:34
You don't need musicians or other experts to find out wether Rebbecca is a good singer or not. Use your ears.

When people actually use there ears instead of being told what to hear you will find she is cheese.

Some love her. Some can take her or leave and some cannot stand her.
By:
charliebigpotatoes
When: 09 Dec 10 18:34
Lack of direction
      It's not easy being the X Factor boyband

  So finally this hysterical and largely
  talent-free series of X Factor comes to a
  close. It's taught us one thing though:
  never tip a group to win. Groups can't
  compete with individuals. Obviously it's
  not about talent or commercial possibility,
  it's about connecting. And with five of
  them, there's no personal narrative, no
  ups and down, no "journey". Of course,
  the little girl vote might come out
  hard for One Direction, but show insiders
  tell us Matt's been walking it
By:
Henry VIII
When: 09 Dec 10 18:36
I expect Simon to slate Rebecca and ramp Matt so what nakes you right?

He started to be unreasonable with Matt last Saturday, saying that he himself also had flu and didn't whine about it like some.
By:
stroodle
When: 09 Dec 10 18:36
Henry I agree with your post, everything for a while has been pointing to Rebecca I just couldnt understand her price last week.
By:
Henry VIII
When: 09 Dec 10 18:37
I've also followed that poll.

Yes thank Squares, I hadn't seen it until you posted about it.
By:
RMB ©
When: 09 Dec 10 18:48
Post ya book ta or are you just ramping?
By:
five leaves left
When: 09 Dec 10 18:48
Charlie, is there anymore to that popb1tch piece, or is that it?
By:
charliebigpotatoes
When: 09 Dec 10 18:51
its the whole mailout. Some guff about Wagner & Mary and comparing Leona & Alexandra to Cardle. Think the person that wrote is is an idiot but the info's good..
By:
five leaves left
When: 09 Dec 10 18:52
ok ta
By:
Henry VIII
When: 09 Dec 10 18:54
Post ya book ta or are you just ramping?

I'm half as green on Rebecca as you are on Matt, and my Matt green is half again. I believe what I said in the OP and I think she's still big value.
By:
RMB ©
When: 09 Dec 10 18:57
Why have you got any green on Matt? You're making it sound like the prices should be the other way round, so you can't truly believe what you're typing. IF you are right though, and they deramp Matt and give Becca the VIP then course, she'll hack up, in a fair fight I'd be amazed if she won, and if Matt is given any preference it's curtains. GL all the same.
By:
stroodle
When: 09 Dec 10 18:58
They were just on about press conference on itv news, and put up a clip of Rebecca doing that dance number last weekend, they are definately pushing her to the fore.
By:
ajchrisbro
When: 09 Dec 10 19:02
Poll taken after last week's sat performances (might not format well, fingers crossed)
poss suggesting tide is slowly turning??
     
Who gave the best performances during the semi-final? 
Mary Bryne 3% ██
Cher Lloyd 4% ██
Matt Cardle 22% ██████████████
One Direction 19% ████████████
Rebecca Ferguson 52% ██████████████████████████████████
100%   
     
     
Who do you want to win The X Factor?
Mary Bryne 3% ██
Cher Lloyd 8% █████
Matt Cardle 40% ██████████████████████████
One Direction 9% █████
Rebecca Ferguson 40% ██████████████████████████
  100%   
     
Who's your 2nd Favourite?   
Mary Bryne 12% ████████
Cher Lloyd 5% ███
Matt Cardle 35% ███████████████████████
One Direction 30% ████████████████████
Rebecca Ferguson 17% ███████████
100%   
     
Who's personality do you DISLIKE the most? 
Mary Bryne 10% ██████
Cher Lloyd 73% ████████████████████████████████████████████████
Matt Cardle 5% ███
One Direction 7% ████
Rebecca Ferguson 5% ███
  100%   
     
How much danger is each act in of being in bottom 2?
0=Probably Safe,1=Might be Bottom 2=Probably Bottom 2
Mary Bryne 1.58 ███████████████
Cher Lloyd 1.51 ███████████████
Matt Cardle 0.22 ██
One Direction 0.32 ███
Rebecca Ferguson 0.15 █
NB. I've added above poll because it's probable that fans are more likely to vote for their fav if 
they believe their fav is is danger.
     
     
Who has the best voice?   
Mary Bryne 5% ███
Cher Lloyd 4% ██
Matt Cardle 41% ███████████████████████████
One Direction 3% ██
Rebecca Ferguson 46% ██████████████████████████████
  100%   
     
     
     
Ignoring the fact Simon is One Direction's manager, who do 
you think Simon Cowell wants to win The X Factor? 
Mary Bryne 2% █
Cher Lloyd 21% █████████████
Matt Cardle 9% █████
One Direction 29% ███████████████████
Rebecca Ferguson 39% ██████████████████████████
  100%   
     
     
     
Just for curiousity sake I've combind the "Want to Win" and "Simon Cowell" poll
results giving 50% weighting to each. This might  be relevant because Simon
might be able to sway  public opinion with his comments and decide the order the acts
sing in (which usually favours the acts that perform later).
     
Combined "Want To Win" & "Simon Cowell" Polls
Mary Bryne 3% █
Cher Lloyd 14% █████████
Matt Cardle 24% ████████████████
One Direction 19% ████████████
Rebecca Ferguson 40% ██████████████████████████
100%   
     
     
Experimental: Estimated Actual Phone Vote (Using  "Want to Win"  poll,
above "Danger of Bottom 2" poll & a few other factors)
Mary Bryne 5% ███
Cher Lloyd 11% ███████
Matt Cardle 35% ███████████████████████
One Direction 11% ███████
Rebecca Ferguson 38% █████████████████████████
  100%
By:
stroodle
When: 09 Dec 10 19:06
Thats some info AJ cheers for that.
By:
ajchrisbro
When: 09 Dec 10 19:18
as a negative for rebecca fans it might also suggest where the 'floating' or transfer votes
will go, i.e. u would expect a lot of mary's to go to her but if (as is looking more likely imo)
one direction go before her theirs would more than likely go to matt
By:
stroodle
When: 09 Dec 10 19:23
AJ do you mean chers votes rather than mary
By:
ajchrisbro
When: 09 Dec 10 19:30
no what I said,
just feel that those who liked mary would most likely prefer rebecca
ditto 1D and matt
By:
attitude adjuster
When: 09 Dec 10 19:34
What are rebecca's 3 songs Henry?
By:
stroodle
When: 09 Dec 10 19:35
with Cher looking the likeliest to be out saturday, would you think these votes would also transfer more to Rebecca, with Cheryl being the mentor of both, or would you think more chance of going to one direction
By:
ajchrisbro
When: 09 Dec 10 19:44
cant see how cher's fans would relate to any others as she is so different from rest
but the obvious link is rebecca thru cheryl being her mentor so poss pleading with fans
to vote for the last remaining girl
By:
Denman The Destroyer
When: 09 Dec 10 19:47
Where was that poll taken AJ and do you know how many voted?
By:
ajchrisbro
When: 09 Dec 10 19:56
logged it last week den, not many if I remember(a few hundred?)
will try and find out and get back
By:
George Bailey
When: 09 Dec 10 19:59
AJ sorry if this is a stupid question but where is that poll(s) from?

Also this is the metro poll. There are maths whizz kids on here who can tell the number of respondents from the poll percentages...anyone know how many have polled? Brilliant vote for Rebecca and only one vote per person so should be reliable.

Thank you, we have already counted your vote.
Cher Lloyd 15.16%

Matt Cardle 33.2%

One Direction 19.9%

Rebecca Ferguson 31.74%
By:
GymTanLaundry
When: 09 Dec 10 20:05
george, no idea how many voted as you need to know the total votes for one of the contestants.

could be millions, could be 100s....
By:
A1 Bionic
When: 09 Dec 10 20:10
Good points well made Henry
By:
George Bailey
When: 09 Dec 10 20:10
Ah I thought before someone siad a poll was under 100 because of the percentages...having gone bog eyed looking at polls over the past few months 31.74% sounds like a lot Laugh
By:
Cider
When: 09 Dec 10 20:11
I think it's a weak argument personally, the one solid aspect is the bit about Matt's illness, that's a real concern.

The rest of it is mostly supposition.

I've been reading about Matt being nobbled since the lives began. Still yet to see any real evidence of it happening.
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