so who goes tonight

cher 4 me

I think Cher.  It's basically a 2-horse race with Mary who has the bounce factor, the sympathy vote and her performances (especially the 2nd one) last night will have appealed more to the x factor audience than Cher.  Also, Cher didn't do herself any favours with the way she screwed her face up at Dannii's comments.  I think personality can be such a big factor in these shows and it really doesn't take a genius to work out who the British public are more likely to warm to.

having read the other forums and looked at various pools...mary is by far the least popular left.

look at it this way..

Matt V Mary.. Matt wins easily

Rebecca V Mary .. ditto

One D and Cher V mary... millions of teens multi voting will ensure One D and Cher survive

all mary has is the irish vote.. i dont think thats enough to save her

Probably Mary but backing her 'in the dark' at odds on isn't sane.

So I'm dutching two huge price outsiders:
Matt at 110s (untested support and suffering the ailment of being unwell)
One-D at 65s (untested support and suffering the ailment of being utter cr@p)

I think Cher to go is good value at 3.7ish.

Was the bottom of the 5 left 2 weeks ago, had closing spot and the surviving previous weeks sing-off in her favour last week, had 2 performances yesterday with an act on after her before an ad break and Mary her main danger although not very good has last weeks surviving sing-off in her favour and pulled the nations heart strings about her late mothers favourite song (i.e. a Daniel Evans moment)

and is it definitely 2 that go out tonight?

just one goes