X Factor 2010
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There is a chance of 1D B3, it would be a shock but FLL's twitter stats shows a huge drop for them. As twitter doesn't map well onto the XF voting demographic momentum is important. Big price changes if that happens - they drift, Matt & Rebecca shorten.
I put £90 on average 106 for 1D to be 10th Elim, a real "gamble" that I'm prepared to lose (and probably will) but so little differentiates the bottom 5 according to YouGov.
Although maybe Cher's safe, I thought she was great last night. I haven't seen it a second time though, I always miss things first time whilst looking at prices etc, but the GBP just see it once whilst chatting etc before they vote.
Mary must be in danger, she does better than twitter suggests because of oldie support but it's not good going on momentum.
I put £90 on average 106 for 1D to be 10th Elim, a real "gamble" that I'm prepared to lose (and probably will) but so little differentiates the bottom 5 according to YouGov.
Although maybe Cher's safe, I thought she was great last night. I haven't seen it a second time though, I always miss things first time whilst looking at prices etc, but the GBP just see it once whilst chatting etc before they vote.
Mary must be in danger, she does better than twitter suggests because of oldie support but it's not good going on momentum.
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One of the over 28s will probably be in there. I'd have said Mary but could easily be Wagner.
I've been watching Cher's performances again and 'Girlfriend' was better and should maybe have been the show closer. The singing was strong and the Lil Mama rapping was delivered very well on the beats. (Old people, trust me on this) Matt nailed Nights in White satin. really enjoyed that actually. So that leaves rebecca Is it really impossible that she ends up B3? I find her very dull and surely she's vulnerable in a week like this. |
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Agree Journeyman. Except Rebecca B3? No, no, no, that would be blasphemy.
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I can trust you on Cher but, young man, trust me on Rebecca, she has a lot more support than her worried backers on this forum would believe.
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Henry
Was just talking to the missus about this. I think apart from Matt you could make a case for all of them for bottom 3 as I'm sure many will on here as it's very open. Gun at my head though. Katie and Cher go. |
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Mary is the most likely to fall into the bottom three, surely?
Even if 1D do find themselves in trouble, there's no way they're going home. Katie will probably be bottom and 1D would be saved in a sing off against anyone bar Matt and Rebecca. |
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Rather than your 10th elimination on One D Henry I've taken a punt on 11th elimination at 60 with a view of laying off at the point of potential sing-off. Other than Matt and Rebecca the 3 least voted for acts is pretty much up in the air and in my view the Wagner support could possible be stronger than expected and Mary could be lifted out of the bottom 3 with the Irish vote plus her first song was damn good, Cher had the closing spot which historically keeps them out of the bottom 3 and its possible Katie could be getting genuine sympathy votes. One D and Matt were the only acts to not have a slot just before an ad break and preforming close to Mary has not done acts any favours this series (which may be an indicator of more Mary support than people expect).
All in all I find it unlikely they will poll least of all but its not a 105/1 shot and good luck with your punt. |