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X Factor 2010

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LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
23 Nov 10 20:07
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Date Joined: 06 Aug 02
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Just putting a thought to you ........ no more. no less let's make that clear through fear of being shot down in flames.

If we think that perhaps Matt, One D and Rebecca could win this and we'll allow say a collective half a point for a possible Cher/Mary/Wagner win then it means thay are each an AVEARGE of about a 5/2 chance agreed?  I then think Matt is an excellant price at about 80 odd percent of that price.  Not deliberately ramping, not goading anyone but I think he's realistically nearer an even money shot so very good value to be had.

You may not agree but civil answer pleae is all I ask.

Thanks

Lou

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Replies: 12
By:
captainnumber9
When: 23 Nov 10 20:14
Evens would be a great price. 3s is a gift at this stage
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 23 Nov 10 20:16
He's not 3's though Captain ........ he's about 2/1 which I'm saying does seem a very good bet.
By:
captainnumber9
When: 23 Nov 10 20:18
sorry i meant 3s in decimals. 2/1 is a very good bet, a gift!
By:
GymTanLaundry
When: 23 Nov 10 20:19
we'll allow say a collective half a point for a possible Cher/Mary/Wagner win

what does this mean?
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 23 Nov 10 20:20
Captain

Fair enough i see what you were getting at.  Yes 2/1 is a gift IMO.
By:
five leaves left
When: 23 Nov 10 20:20
Who should be 2nd favourite do you reckon captain?
By:
captainnumber9
When: 23 Nov 10 20:24
I think it should be closer between Becca and 1D. Simon clearly wants 1D in the final so he will ramp them massively over the next 2 weeks but I don't think Becca needs the ramping to get to the final.
On reflection, think Rebecca should be 2nd fav but they are the final 3 i reckon (like everyone else I guess).
By:
five leaves left
When: 23 Nov 10 20:33
ok cheers.
THat's how I see it. With an outside chance that 1D get the chop before the final if Cowell doesn't keep his eye on the ball.
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 23 Nov 10 22:01
Anyone else?  A fair point I feel.
By:
A1 Bionic
When: 23 Nov 10 22:19
You have us all on block Lou Cry
By:
Mikeeey
When: 24 Nov 10 06:38
5/2 is about right for Matt.  I don't see him as an evens shot yet, but it's all about opinions I suppose. 

Rebecca, Matt and Mary are all capable of putting in a great performance that could clinch it for them.  All are equally capable of putting in an average performance.  One D are relentlessly being ramped by Cowell, so they have a shout too.  I wouldn't be confident enough in any one contestant to back them at evens at this stage.  It's still quite open as far as I can see.
By:
topgun123
When: 24 Nov 10 09:05
ill make it clear for you all;one direction lead by the cowell machine is the only danger to rebecca;cant visualise cowell getting it so badly wrong tho cos the lads can not sing its that simple;ITS ALL BACKING AND PRODUCTION BEHIND THEM IM MAKING THEM SOUND OK
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