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X Factor 2010

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George Bailey
17 Oct 10 23:08
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Date Joined: 04 Apr 10
| Topic/replies: 62,054 | Blogger: George Bailey's blog
Much is made on here by some of the power of the regional vote e.g. mcmanus, rhyddian etc etc.  Now that Ireland have the vote and given twitter shows Irish people of all ages seem to adore Mary what difference, if any, will this make to the final outcome?

Discuss.

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Replies: 68
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Oct 10 23:09
Makes her a 1.8 shot
By:
GymTanLaundry
When: 17 Oct 10 23:10
irish vote seems to be overrated on here imo, in the early stages anyway.
By:
LOU MACARIS TARTAN B
When: 17 Oct 10 23:11
Big big plus for her obviously. Irish very patriotic and she's pretty good too!
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 17 Oct 10 23:11
As many voters as Scotland, with a new novelty of being able to vote, plus a decent person to vote for

It has to help
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 17 Oct 10 23:12
Will get a lot of support from the Scots too
By:
George Bailey
When: 17 Oct 10 23:12
You jesting fll?

Underrated I'd say Gym.  I really can see entire nation getting behind her and if so game over.
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Oct 10 23:12
Lou has the more sensible answer.

The Irish kid in One Direction will also help their vote.
By:
Dizzy42
When: 17 Oct 10 23:12
Irish vote very crucial to Mary's chances I'd have thought...

Though not quite sure how some posters on here thought that Storm's apparent Scottish heritage would help him at all!
By:
GymTanLaundry
When: 17 Oct 10 23:15
irish vote will without doubt help, but like i've said, i do think it's being overstated.
By:
George Bailey
When: 17 Oct 10 23:16
Scots seemed embarrassed by Storm according to twitter as some of his worst critics were from there. Mary is striking a chord. Lots of tweets about trouble voting on 02 etc but they are all perservering.

Vote early vote often [;)]
By:
GymTanLaundry
When: 17 Oct 10 23:16
Irish vote very crucial to Mary's chances I'd have thought...

there may be something in this....
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 17 Oct 10 23:16
I think they we're only hoping it would keep him out of the bottom 1 dizzy. lol

The regions are stupid enough to vote for duffers, but they love to get behind good candidates
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 17 Oct 10 23:17
aren't*
By:
irishone
When: 17 Oct 10 23:17
No chance whatsoever.
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Oct 10 23:18
Has anyone stated it?

I guess we could try some maths, but it's rather late.

We'd need the number who voted in last years final.
The number of people in Ireland who watch.
The number who vote.
And the number who would vote patriotically
By:
George Bailey
When: 17 Oct 10 23:20
Without the Irish angle I would agree unlikely to win irishone but its a variable that's new so difficult to read.
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Oct 10 23:20
TV3 did report the lines were jammed  and also lots of reports of people phoning up to unblock premium rate numbers so they can vote on XF.
Well that's what they tell the wife anyway.
By:
George Bailey
When: 17 Oct 10 23:23
And there are pictures of radio staion staff with vote Mary t shirts and banners.  As above she's an underdog with some talent..Ireland love that.

If you want to see for yourself go to twitter advanced search and type in Mary 150 miles from Dublin.
By:
GymTanLaundry
When: 17 Oct 10 23:23
fll - spot on.  for what it's worth, here's my view:

number of people in ireland who watch = about same relative percentage-wise to uk, ish....

number who vote = nobody knows, but i don't see how this would be significantly higher than the uk.

number who vote patriotically = very very interesting here.  i know people who would vote for mary in the final for being irish, i also know people who would vote for their fav ahead of mary in the final, and i know also know people who wouldn't vote.  i think the patriotic vote would get bigger as the series goes on.
By:
George Bailey
When: 17 Oct 10 23:25
Novelty factor of voting plus a live runner means a higher % of voters than here methinks. 

Bejesus it'll be Dana and Johnny Logan all over again
By:
GymTanLaundry
When: 17 Oct 10 23:28
Bejesus it'll be Dana and Johnny Logan all over again

hahahahaha!!!!

hold me now, don't cry....
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Oct 10 23:28
Yep, if she makes the final and is in with a shout the thought of an Irish win in the one of the biggest British TV shows, would surely be a compelling notion to many Irish.
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Oct 10 23:29
..and as others have said, she's very good at what she does and very likeable. So a winner they'd be proud of.
By:
George Bailey
When: 17 Oct 10 23:32
Can anyone get the final voting figures from last year or was it all just %'s? Don't recall hard data unless leaked in Star.

Ah Eurovision; remember as a kid with my cassette taping the songs and playing till my ears bled to have a bet.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 17 Oct 10 23:33
Getting very backable on here again too.

So many doubters around it seems
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Oct 10 23:34
The number of votes over the series was definitely released.

1.5 - 2M votes in the final, rings a bell, but I could be way off.
By:
GymTanLaundry
When: 17 Oct 10 23:35
fll - she doesn't need to be a winner to be proud of to win votes, she'll get irish votes anyway. being a nice woman helps of course.

the oul ones will like her anyway, whether they vote pre-final or not, i'm unsure.

the young girls will vote for one direction, HOWEVER if if it gets to the final, some of them will vote for mary in a patriotic vote.  not all though.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 17 Oct 10 23:36
Has been 10m in final, so very much doubt it has dipped that low?
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 17 Oct 10 23:36
regular 500k in early rounds
By:
attitude adjuster
When: 17 Oct 10 23:36
My memory is that it was quite a bit more than that.
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Oct 10 23:36
Oh, more than that.

16M over the entire series in 2008, so 4-5M in the final.
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Oct 10 23:39
Half a million watched the final in 2008, in Ireland and they couldn't vote then

TV3 ends the year with three consecutive days of record ratings.  On Saturday 13th December 2008, TV3 was the most watched station in Ireland with thousands of viewers tuning in to watch the final of The X Factor.  This major event was watched by 523,000 viewers with over 40% of Adults15-34 tuning in.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 17 Oct 10 23:42
All glumly watching Cowell shaft Eggy Laugh
By:
George Bailey
When: 17 Oct 10 23:42
10m in last year's final according to wiki.  That means 6.1m for Joe.  Now I need to factor in Irish vote!

By the way who had 5/6 15m or more viewers? 20m last years final or is 5/6 only the heats?
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Oct 10 23:42
If they could ahve Eggnog may have won Sad
By:
GymTanLaundry
When: 17 Oct 10 23:42
523,000 is a smaller proportion than the uk for the final.

i don't see why that would increase significantly for there being a live irish runner - you either like this sh!te or not.
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 17 Oct 10 23:43
rubbish Papa imho
By:
five leaves left
When: 17 Oct 10 23:45
yep, surely not being able to vote in a show like this is a big turn off for many.

We could see the revenge of the eggnog!
By:
GeorgeBrush
When: 17 Oct 10 23:47
Laugh

forsooth Lord Cowell, thy Eggnog encompasses your doom  muhahahaha

Laugh
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