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apart from the obvious, ie it needs a miracle to win, if they win the first two games id say theres a 90% chance ronaldo wont even play in the 3rd game.
a treble on portugal winning all three games pays about 14/1. so youre getting less than evens on ronaldo scoring in all 3 games. or to put it another way, about 1/4 on him scoring in each game. |