World Cup 2014
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At first glance, it's tempting to say that the winner will come from the four favourites, and that's why they take up around two-thirds of the book. But all have their flaws. Argentina seem rather average without their out-of-form forward line-up, Brazil haven't put on an impressive performance in ages, Spain are classy but aging, and Germany lack teeth.
Yet there is a huge gulf in prices between Spain at 7.9 and Belgium at 23. Is this really merited? What's happened to all the 10-1 and 12-1 shots that are normally available. OK, England have historically been hugely overrated at around 12-1, but is there really no other team with a decent chance outside the Big Four? Effectively you can get 2-1 on the Small Twenty-Eight. They might not be as good, but there are 28 of them!
Thoughts?
Yet there is a huge gulf in prices between Spain at 7.9 and Belgium at 23. Is this really merited? What's happened to all the 10-1 and 12-1 shots that are normally available. OK, England have historically been hugely overrated at around 12-1, but is there really no other team with a decent chance outside the Big Four? Effectively you can get 2-1 on the Small Twenty-Eight. They might not be as good, but there are 28 of them!
Thoughts?
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I like your thinking. (Fwiw England were 6/1 for WC 2010)
Shocks in WC2010 France lost to South Africa. Germany lost to Serbia. Italy drew with New Zealand, and lost to Slovakia. Spain lost to Switzerland. Germany beat Argentina 4-0. Most World Cup have local conditions that might not suit teams. I have win bets on Ghana, who are in a tough group. |