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World Cup 2014

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starfish
16 May 14 16:32
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Date Joined: 30 May 01
| Topic/replies: 175 | Blogger: starfish's blog
Just putting this up now as we've had some success at the last couple of World Cups digging out some over-priced candidates, especially among the weaker nations.

Free-kick & penalty takers, defenders who are dangerous at set pieces, especially for teams who may only score one or two goals before being eliminated are of particular interest, there's usually a few ricks.

Not many firms have priced up yet, obviously waiting for the final squad announcements, but all early suggestions, especially from experts on Costa Rica, Honduras, Iran etc are most welcome.

I'll bump this fred when necessary.

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Replies: 23
By:
Super Hans
When: 16 May 14 19:42
No goalscorer is always worth a look.
By:
LB1982
When: 16 May 14 20:06
Good thread as more bookies price up.Already got Fred 8/1 top scorer for Brazil.
By:
iprefertolay
When: 16 May 14 21:38
top scorer for England.... L. Baines 1..... a free kick
By:
Rory B. Bellows
When: 17 May 14 00:17
K. Honda for Japan 11/2 at 365, great price. He was their top scorer during the qualifiers.

Cheers for starting this thread- wouldnt have thought to look otherwise!
By:
The G-man
When: 20 May 14 22:39
If Ronaldo gets injured/suspended for Portugal then anyone could be their top scorer.

Raul Meireles plays regularly in central midfield for them so 100/1 worth a tenner....

I also had a big wager on Jack Wilshire at 66/1 to be top England scorer a few months ago just before he got injured!
However he made the squad and is 5/4 against to make the starting eleven in the opening game, if he does then the price looks good to me, I backed him earlier in the season at 50/1 to score two in a game v Marseille ,one of my luckiest bets of the season admittedly !
By:
iprefertolay
When: 20 May 14 23:33
What price is Baines top scorer for England plz?
By:
Sergei_Rebrofl
When: 28 May 14 12:01
Does anyone know who the most likely starter up front will be for Portugal?

I see Postiga was the top scorer in qualifying, you can get 11/1 on him being Portugals top scorer. Might be tempting considering Ronaldos only previous world cup goals have been a penalty against Iran and a ridiculous fluke against North Korea.
By:
webboncfc
When: 28 May 14 12:41
Toss up between him and Hugo Almeida isn't it. I thought they might opt with Almeida but 11/1 seems a good price for Postiga if he is first choice.
By:
starfish
When: 09 Jun 14 14:40
OK a few speculative lobs I've gone for listed below, all for teams who I doubt will score very many.

Think there must also be some some value among the more fancied countries who are in tricky groups & have a very short-priced fav: Portugal, Italy & France the most obvious examples where Ronaldo 1/2, Balotelli & Benzema both 13/8 look very short to me. Any ideas?

Australia: Tommy Oar @ 20/1
Japan: Yuyu Osako @ 8/1
Ivory Coast: Gervinho @ 10/1
Iran: Jalal Hosseini @ 50/1
Russia: Andrey Samedov @ 20/1
Chile: Charles Aranguiz @ 40/1
Croatia: Mateo Kovacic @ 40/1
Algeria: Madjid Bougherra @ 33/1
By:
Mike-lfc
When: 09 Jun 14 19:51
£4 on Eduardo Vargas @ 119/1 and £6 on Edin Dzeko @ 59/1
By:
Mike-lfc
When: 09 Jun 14 19:52
Thats all my bets for the world cup other than little accys
By:
dazmacccccc
When: 09 Jun 14 22:24
is it correct to think that the best chance of backing big priced winners in this market is from the teams which i expect to only get a few goals at most and that the short priced favourites have better chances for the teams which will go further in the tournament?if so has anyone noticed a set piece/penalty taker from the lesser teams who doesnt play as an attacker?
By:
shinedog
When: 09 Jun 14 22:26
looking to pick out a wee treble on this market. lukaku, kerzakhov, mandzukic and dzeko a few that catch the eye
By:
dazmacccccc
When: 09 Jun 14 22:28
a treble sounds impossible.isnt lukaku doubtful?who wud start up front if he was,be bryne?really fancy hazard as top scorer for belguim
By:
shinedog
When: 09 Jun 14 22:46
A tough bet no doubt but far from impossible. Aye, he's touch and go for the opener. Reckon he'll make it with them not playing til' Tuesday tho. Not too sure who would start otherwise tbh
By:
starfish
When: 10 Jun 14 17:33
Daz, that was my original approach but the prices generally suggest the firms know the likely pen & fk takers. So I've gone for some defenders who might score from set pieces & midfielders for teams where the strikers aren't that dangerous.

The Tommy Oar bet is my best as he's certain to start on the wing and I don't think Oz will score more than 2 goals. Should be no bigger than 8/1 IMO.
By:
shinedog
When: 10 Jun 14 18:56
After much deliberating, finally settled for Benzema, Dzeko and Cavani. Treble pays around 18/1. Hopefully give me a decent run !
By:
lindentree
When: 10 Jun 14 22:55
someones been very keen to keep their ronaldo lay at the front of the queue today.
i wonder what betfred will be boosting to evens tomorrow...
By:
AFTERTHOUGHT
When: 10 Jun 14 23:42
10p superheinz on starfish picks a mere £134,382,374.40 - that would be something !
By:
AFTERTHOUGHT
When: 10 Jun 14 23:42
10p superheinz on starfish picks a mere £134,382,374.40 - that would be something !
By:
starfish
When: 13 Jun 14 09:17
Now wondering what the rules are on own goals in these markets (guessing I should have checked first). Hopefully they will be ignored!
By:
starfish
When: 15 Jun 14 12:12
Gervinho's goal very welcome after a slow start. Not impressed with Osako.
By:
starfish
When: 21 Jun 14 17:46
Hosseini misses an absolute sitter for Iran's 1st goal Cry
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