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I am a little confused between the big discrepency between players' FGS price and "to score" price (for ease I will use available "back" price and only look at certain starters):
FGS / To Score
Villa - 5.3 (18.9%) / 2.34 (42.8%)
RVP - 10 (10%) / 4 (25%)
Robben - 14 (7.1%) / 4.6 (21.8%)
Sneijder - 13 (7.7%) / 4.5 (22.2%)
Kuyt - 22 (4.5%) / 7.2 (13.9%)
Iniesta - 17.5 (5.7%) / 6.4 (15.6%)
Xavi - 23 (4.3%) / 7.8 (12.8%)
Xabi - 21 (4.8%) / 8.2 (12.1%)
The ratios range massively between 2.26 (Villa) to 3.07 (Robben). Anyone know why?
Also see Xabi vs Kuyt for strangeness
FGS / To Score
Villa - 5.3 (18.9%) / 2.34 (42.8%)
RVP - 10 (10%) / 4 (25%)
Robben - 14 (7.1%) / 4.6 (21.8%)
Sneijder - 13 (7.7%) / 4.5 (22.2%)
Kuyt - 22 (4.5%) / 7.2 (13.9%)
Iniesta - 17.5 (5.7%) / 6.4 (15.6%)
Xavi - 23 (4.3%) / 7.8 (12.8%)
Xabi - 21 (4.8%) / 8.2 (12.1%)
The ratios range massively between 2.26 (Villa) to 3.07 (Robben). Anyone know why?
Also see Xabi vs Kuyt for strangeness
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I would suggest it is related to the top goalscorer market where Villa is significantly under-priced imo. Some people are laying Villa on the TGS market and backing him to score any time on the "to score" market, thus pushing his price down in that particular market.
And if he scores in extra time, those people may end up losing both bets.
To Score is only 90 minutes and injury time not extra time where as top goal scorer does include extra time.
Am i right?
To Score is only 90 minutes and injury time not extra time where as top goal scorer does include extra time.
Am i right?
you are right, but his price in the top goal scorer mkt will drift significantly as the game progresses and a 4 way tie looms
Yes matrix. The flip side of that is that if he scores a goal in normal time and Sneijder also scores, then both bets show a profit.
I would suggest that the chance of Sneijder scoring any time is much greater than the match going to extra time and Villa then scoring during the extra 30 minutes.
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