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Winter Olympics 2010

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seanvice
17 Feb 10 01:15
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Date Joined: 06 Aug 06
| Topic/replies: 2,443 | Blogger: seanvice's blog
Canada big price for this imo.

4 or 5/1 about a 3 way toss up is good value.

Nate Silver the brilliant political/sporting analyist on his site fivethirtyeight.com has done medal projections.

He has
USA at 32.9 medals
Canada at 32.8 medals
Germany at 31.7 medals
Norway a distant 4th on 21.9

So why Germany are are odds on in the market??? People looking too much at 2006 and the current table.

If anything history from prevoius games tell us that the home nation are likely to exceed their projections which makes the 4/1+ even more tempting
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Report DickyM February 17, 2010 12:41 PM GMT
Latest update projections from same source :
Can 32.4
US 31.2
Ger 30.4
I've had a dabble at Freds @4/1
Report FordPerfect February 17, 2010 1:30 PM GMT
i dont understand the price on the gold market either. Germany before the games 2.9 now 2.4

calculation before the games: Ger 11.1, USA 10.2 and CAN 10.9

Germany has 3 golds now but prediction was 3.7 up to this point.
Report jacob_TA February 17, 2010 1:58 PM GMT
maybe because a lot of the alpine events should have already been completed by now, but we've only had 1
Report DickyM February 17, 2010 9:44 PM GMT
Why suspended ?
Report DickyM February 18, 2010 12:03 AM GMT
Freds gone 7
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