U.S. Horse Racing
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TAM R4
10 at 1.9. The class drop is obviously dodgy, but this field is very weak and should win even if it's only half the horse it was the last time it ran on turf at Churchill Downs.
10 at 1.9. The class drop is obviously dodgy, but this field is very weak and should win even if it's only half the horse it was the last time it ran on turf at Churchill Downs.
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TAM R2
4 at 2.6. Solid last two races. Could go wire to wire.
4 at 2.6. Solid last two races. Could go wire to wire.
TAM R6
10 at 5.0 to win at 1.6 to finish top 3. Impressive maiden special weights win at Keenland Park last time out and expect this to be fit and ready today.
10 at 5.0 to win at 1.6 to finish top 3. Impressive maiden special weights win at Keenland Park last time out and expect this to be fit and ready today.
Also, layed 6 at 2.6. New York shippers at Tampa have a habit of being disappointing.
TUP R2
4 at 9.0. Strong closer. Two good wins over course and distance last two times out.
4 at 9.0. Strong closer. Two good wins over course and distance last two times out.
TAM R8
Layed the 7 big at 2.0. Dodgy New York shipper IMO.
Layed the 7 big at 2.0. Dodgy New York shipper IMO.
watching #11 Persisting, could put its head in front at the finish line
TAM
4 at 6.0. Fancy this to improve on the cutback in trip and on second start since layoff.
4 at 6.0. Fancy this to improve on the cutback in trip and on second start since layoff.
TUP
1 at 16.0. Seems to have improved significantly since barn change.
5 at 9.8. Think this suits the cutback in trip.
1 at 16.0. Seems to have improved significantly since barn change.
5 at 9.8. Think this suits the cutback in trip.
BSmith. Fantastic effort by you with the 10! Thought you were going to get that.
TAM
1 at 1.8. Big class drop, but an innocent class drop IMO. Think this is cutting back to its ideal distance and could very easily be different class to this field.
7 at 15.5. Has run well in turf sprints at Hawthorne.
1 at 1.8. Big class drop, but an innocent class drop IMO. Think this is cutting back to its ideal distance and could very easily be different class to this field.
7 at 15.5. Has run well in turf sprints at Hawthorne.
TUP
5 at 6.0. Unexposed on dirt. Class dropper.
11 at 7.0. Likely to improve second time back off layoff.
5 at 6.0. Unexposed on dirt. Class dropper.
11 at 7.0. Likely to improve second time back off layoff.
TUP
Backed 6 at 14.5 as well. Could suit the cutback in trip.
Backed 6 at 14.5 as well. Could suit the cutback in trip.
PEN R1
Layed 1 at 2.7.
Backed 2 at 5.9.
Backed 5 at 5.1.
Backed 6 at 19.5.
Layed 1 at 2.7.
Backed 2 at 5.9.
Backed 5 at 5.1.
Backed 6 at 19.5.
TUP
Layed 2 at 4.1. Negative barn change.
Backed 7 at 4.2. Positive barn change. Class drop.
Backed 8 at 24.0. Might have improved since barn change and might suit cutback in trip.
Layed 2 at 4.1. Negative barn change.
Backed 7 at 4.2. Positive barn change. Class drop.
Backed 8 at 24.0. Might have improved since barn change and might suit cutback in trip.
split me loose change between
#4 Confisio
#11 Spectacular Cat
gn + gl
#4 Confisio
#11 Spectacular Cat
gn + gl
PEN R2
3 at 3.0. Can't believe this isn't shorter. Wouldn't have been surprised if it was an odds on favourite.
3 at 3.0. Can't believe this isn't shorter. Wouldn't have been surprised if it was an odds on favourite.
ty,
i am going now
keep getting small change
trying me luck on #1 Texas Tex but think #3 Lee's South has a favs chance
i am going now
keep getting small change
trying me luck on #1 Texas Tex but think #3 Lee's South has a favs chance
That was just weird. Cannot understand the 3 there at all. It's as if they knew.
Maybe it just didn't take to the new barn or the track change? Always a risk when a horse has made a switch. Still annoying though.
Could be what it was Cooee. More likely the track change, because althought the barn change was neagtive in terms of percentages, it was moving to a quality barn.
First-Claim Figs were good on the barn, so there shouldn't have been too many problems. Can never tell though. Sometimes horses move into a barn and simply find themselves in a different part of the pecking order, so even a good-quality barn won't always be able to keep the horse at the same confidence levels as before.
As you say, though, the track change is the most likely factor. The US tracks are much more standard than they are over here, but I still find the results much more consistent when the horse's last run was over the same track.
As you say, though, the track change is the most likely factor. The US tracks are much more standard than they are over here, but I still find the results much more consistent when the horse's last run was over the same track.
I completely agree with everything you've said. The first-claim figs are what make me think it's less likely to be the barn change, but as you say, you never know.
DED
6 at 6.0+. Class drop of the 5 looks very suspicious.
6 at 6.0+. Class drop of the 5 looks very suspicious.
DED
Also backed 1 at 17.0. The return to a fast track and cutback in trip could suit this.
Also backed 1 at 17.0. The return to a fast track and cutback in trip could suit this.
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