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Rowan86
29 Dec 15 18:34
Joined:
Date Joined: 13 Jan 05
| Topic/replies: 4,169 | Blogger: Rowan86's blog
HAW R1

Layed 4 at 1.77. Class dropper that has never been particularly impressive on dirt. Possibly a worth favourite, but think this is underpriced.
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Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 9:00 PM GMT
TUP R4

3 at 13.0. The 4 certainly has wire to wire potential, but think the 3 is dangerous second time out off lay-off and likely to have improved since barn change.
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 9:02 PM GMT
TUP R4

6 at 9.4. Have to back this as well on basis of its barn change.
Report Bsmith December 29, 2015 9:03 PM GMT
tp
betting #5 Shared Life @ 2.5
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 9:04 PM GMT
laid the 4 at tup, gl
Report Bsmith December 29, 2015 9:06 PM GMT
on the theory scott stevens only wins if gambled on or there is a huge drift, small bet at 50/1 +
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 9:08 PM GMT
Well done BSmith!
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 9:09 PM GMT
wd rowan at tup
Report Bsmith December 29, 2015 9:09 PM GMT
Happy 5 wins
only taken 2 hours to be up lol
Report Bsmith December 29, 2015 9:10 PM GMT
3 more or a win and im out Happy
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 9:11 PM GMT
HAW R6

8 at 3.7. Slop conditions are perfect for this. Distance is just right too IMO.
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 9:12 PM GMT
yeah, planning to lay the 1 at haw, if no major price shifts, gl
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 9:13 PM GMT
Backed the 8 again at 4.5.
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 9:15 PM GMT
HAW

I've layed the 1 at 4.6. I agree with you. Had a very poor slop performance. That doesn't guarantee it isn't going to be better today, but I'm not even convinced by its fast track form. Good draw for the 1 however.
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 9:17 PM GMT
normally yes but the draw doesn't seem to be favouring the inside as much as usual tonight i think (and hope)
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 9:17 PM GMT
I didn't win in the last at TUP. BSmith did with the 5. I backed the 6.
Report Bsmith December 29, 2015 9:17 PM GMT
betfair cookies stink!
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 9:18 PM GMT
Oh right, well I hope you're right. Hopefully slop makes it disadvantageous.
Report Bsmith December 29, 2015 9:19 PM GMT
Haw
m bet #8 Kodiak's Pride
Report Bsmith December 29, 2015 9:21 PM GMT
Sad
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 9:21 PM GMT
Well done with the lay Risky. I made a loss overall, but glad lay came in. Think the 8 draw is horrible at HAW.
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 9:28 PM GMT
TUP

1 at 5.5. Should be favourite IMO. Could possibly go wire to wire. 8 is a class dropper that might improve second time, but I'm unconvinced by its form at higher grades.
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 9:29 PM GMT
8 might improve second time out off layoff I meant.
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 9:30 PM GMT
laid the 1, our first conflict of opinion, probably my downfall.. glGrin
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 9:33 PM GMT
You've definitely got a great chance of winning your bet. 1 can easily be one of those horses that can only win wire-to-wire and as soon as it gets hassled, it's not interested. Stepping up in class slightly, it might be hassled more than usual, so it was a borderline decision for me. Good luck.
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 9:34 PM GMT
TUP

Backed 6 at 7.4 as well. Can't resist it at that price. Think this is its ideal distance.
Report Bsmith December 29, 2015 9:34 PM GMT
tp
trying me luck
e/w #2 Summa Graduate
Report Bsmith December 29, 2015 9:36 PM GMT
Sad
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 9:37 PM GMT
Well done Risky! Glad my 6 won too!

1 couldn't handle the duel. If it got a soft lead, you never know what it could have done.
Report Bsmith December 29, 2015 9:39 PM GMT
last for me
Haw
betting #3 Realta Ean
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 9:46 PM GMT
HAW R7

2 at 12.5.

Had a shocker last time out, 1st time off the claim, but hopefully that was just an abberation. Think this could relish the slop.
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 9:48 PM GMT
laid the 5, not really a layers race this but felt rude to not join in
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 9:50 PM GMT
6 wins
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 9:50 PM GMT
Well done Risky. :)
Report Bsmith December 29, 2015 9:53 PM GMT
gn + gl
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 9:55 PM GMT
TUP

1 at 9.8. Think this improves second time back off layoff. Was disappointing last time out, but was blocked and went off slowly for some reason. Positive step up in class.
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 9:56 PM GMT
Good night BSmith.

TUP

Backed 6 at 5.1 as well. Think this is ready on return from short layoff.
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 9:58 PM GMT
laid 2 at tup, gl
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 10:01 PM GMT
I've layed 2 as well at 9.6. Step up in class and negative barn change.
Report slip5 December 29, 2015 10:05 PM GMT
the 5 horse Plain
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 10:05 PM GMT
wd on the 6
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 10:05 PM GMT
BOOOOOOM

Have you had a clean sheet tonight Risky?
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 10:06 PM GMT
Thanks. :)
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 10:06 PM GMT
the 5 was obviously not well there
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 10:07 PM GMT
yeah rowan 20/20 lays, doesn't happen very often, if it did i would give up the day job!
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 10:08 PM GMT
Hope it continues. Been an awesome performance.
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 10:08 PM GMT
Hi Slip! Glad you've joined us. Good luck.
Report slip5 December 29, 2015 10:12 PM GMT
hawthorne 7 looks value bet race 8
Report slip5 December 29, 2015 10:13 PM GMT
what you think rowan
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 10:14 PM GMT
HAW R8

7 at 6.8. 9's pace might be lethal on the slop, but the trip might just be a little too far for it. Fancy the 7 to pip it at the post having performed over course and distance on the mud.
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 10:15 PM GMT
Just noticed you tipped the 7 too Slip. Encouraging. I've backed it again at 7.4.
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 10:17 PM GMT
went to lay 9 but missed the off
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 10:19 PM GMT
9 won, bullet dodged by dilly dallying but will there be an objection there?
Report slip5 December 29, 2015 10:20 PM GMT
the jockey on the 7 was useless there
Report slip5 December 29, 2015 10:21 PM GMT
it definitely block the 7 the 9 there
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 10:23 PM GMT
i thought so, was waiting for the 'hold all tickets' but it never came
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 10:27 PM GMT
TUP

9 at 3.95. Decent performance over course and distance last time out.

12 at 16.0. Wire to wire. Could exploit this paceless field.
Report slip5 December 29, 2015 10:28 PM GMT
10 is win bet turf para race 7
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 10:29 PM GMT
That's exactly what I was thinking actually, but didn't say it in case I was making a petty complaint. ha
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 10:31 PM GMT
the 4 is getting the lay at tup, i'm due a hit though, gl
Report slip5 December 29, 2015 10:36 PM GMT
which won
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 10:36 PM GMT
BOOOOM
Report slip5 December 29, 2015 10:36 PM GMT
did you back the 12 well done
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 10:37 PM GMT
12 won.
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 10:37 PM GMT
vwd rowan
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 10:37 PM GMT
Yes, backed 12 at 16.0.
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 10:39 PM GMT
Thanks Risky. :)
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 10:41 PM GMT
the 1 at haw, no jockey.. not seen that before, will lay it, as a surprise package
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 10:44 PM GMT
they scratched it, as it had no rider Grin
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 10:44 PM GMT
HAW R9

4 at 3.45 (before removal of the 1). Very tempted by the 3 and the 10, but think the 4 has a strong edge over the distance. 4 should suit the cutback in trip and handle the slop well.
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 10:45 PM GMT
ahhaha
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 10:49 PM GMT
BOOOOOM
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 10:53 PM GMT
well done, didn't get on it, was tempted to lay the 4 at the price so now feeling like someone is looking down and smiling on me today, as that's 2 i've been too slow with at haw Grin
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 10:54 PM GMT
TUP R8

4 at 13.5. Well overpriced IMO. Never know what this can do with its barn change and shipment to Turf Paradise.
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 10:55 PM GMT
mind you my read of dashing derek was good Grin
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 10:55 PM GMT
hahaha, it takes divine intervention to achieve a clean sheet over that many races!
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 10:56 PM GMT
hahaha yes, that was very astute!
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 10:57 PM GMT
TUP

8 at 6.8. Workouts suggests this Santa Anita shipper could hit the ground running at TUP.
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 10:57 PM GMT
and for the finale, laid the 12 at tup, gn & gl
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 11:00 PM GMT
TUP

Backed at 8 against 7.6.

So my bets are:

8 at 7.2.
4 at 14.13 (I backed it again at 17).

These prices are the average odds at which I backed them.
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 11:00 PM GMT
Can he complete the clean sheet????
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 11:01 PM GMT
Backed 4 again at 21.0.
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 11:03 PM GMT
hope so Laugh done it before but not with an audience and so many tracks. it could be like the first televised 147 in snooker lol
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 11:04 PM GMT
Gutted by that. Hated the 12 on paper. It's as if they knew. 8 Went so bloody wide at the turn. :(
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 11:04 PM GMT
nah, that's the 12 winning oh well, it was still a good run
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 11:04 PM GMT
Missed the black. FFS
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 11:05 PM GMT
Still a fantastic performance.
Report RiskyBusiness December 29, 2015 11:07 PM GMT
thanks, you helped tbh, some of your picks helped steer me in the right direction. that's what this forum should be about, hopefully we can encourage some more posters, gn
Report Rowan86 December 29, 2015 11:09 PM GMT
I'm really glad I helped. I joined you on a couple of lays that I would have otherwise overlooked. Would deffo be good to see some more posters. Hope to see you again soon.
Report Bsmith January 5, 2016 9:03 PM GMT
in for one
sun
b bet #5      Baloney Mike @ 10/1
Report Bsmith January 5, 2016 9:05 PM GMT
great 4th Sad
Report Bsmith January 5, 2016 9:05 PM GMT
gn + gl
Report Bsmith January 13, 2016 9:50 PM GMT
in and out for 1
Turf Paradise
having a punt on #1 O M G It's Gone
Report Bsmith January 13, 2016 9:51 PM GMT
oh well, ran as the odds suggested Sad
Report Bsmith January 13, 2016 9:52 PM GMT
gn + gl
Report henryluca January 13, 2016 9:54 PM GMT
Turf Paradise Race 5 number 8 Balaika...clear example of Cobalt/ cobalt like substance at work.... a must watch replay.....

Cobalt need initially mild like exercise to get metabolised then it kicks in,,,which is why so many freak performances the horse comes from a long way back....
Report RothmanMike January 14, 2016 12:25 AM GMT
Need a few results @ Penn to get my losses on Man City back - layed the 0-0
Report RothmanMike January 14, 2016 12:25 AM GMT
Need a few results @ Penn to get my losses on Man City back - layed the 0-0
Report RothmanMike January 14, 2016 12:25 AM GMT
Need a few results @ Penn to get my losses on Man City back - layed the 0-0
Report RothmanMike January 14, 2016 12:26 AM GMT
Oh,I need 3 good results !
Report henryluca January 14, 2016 2:25 AM GMT
RMike

Sports imo is more profitable in mid-long trade when act as a trader rather than a punter....

Edge of seat for you in the MC game.

Would have been  juicy odds for the lay off for a draw when MC 2-0 up

GL
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