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RiskyBusiness
21 Aug 15 19:02
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Date Joined: 08 Mar 12
| Topic/replies: 10,655 | Blogger: RiskyBusiness's blog
evening all, anyone about? gl if so
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Report tobahar October 2, 2015 7:54 PM BST
Evening.... Finger lakes race6 2# 3# good luck
Report Bsmith October 2, 2015 8:00 PM BST
only on for a few
FL
trying e/w #6 Sundae On Sunday @ 16/1
Report Thebas October 2, 2015 8:00 PM BST
all the best Toba ... yes the #2 to lead & top chance unpressured you'd think ... #3,8,9 to do the chasing
Report tobahar October 2, 2015 8:01 PM BST
Cheers GL Thebas
Report Thebas October 2, 2015 8:02 PM BST
all the best also BSm yours to driving home hard at them late ... where is the post .. should be a great race
Report Bsmith October 2, 2015 8:05 PM BST
Sad 4th
Report Bsmith October 2, 2015 8:05 PM BST
gl all
Report tobahar October 2, 2015 8:07 PM BST
Boooooooooom 2 wins @ FL Happy WD
Report tobahar October 2, 2015 8:08 PM BST
Belmont race5 5# 2#
Report Thebas October 2, 2015 8:09 PM BST
2-10-9

ran on from an awkward spot BSm .. honest effort

great result the #2

eased 4/5 to 3/2 to 2/1 on the US totes

gotta love BF ... they bet you anything between $4.0 to $4.5 here

here still the best place in town for value imo Grin

well done Toba too   (where is the post though lol a 50/1 chance almost blouses them all .. whew)
Report tobahar October 2, 2015 8:11 PM BST
Haw race1 1 GL
Report Thebas October 2, 2015 8:17 PM BST
nice work at Belm Toba gutsy win
Report tobahar October 2, 2015 8:25 PM BST
Finger lakes race7 1 place gl
Report tobahar October 2, 2015 8:26 PM BST
Woodbine race6 3# 7# GL
Report tobahar October 2, 2015 8:27 PM BST
Thanks Thebas GL
Report tobahar October 2, 2015 8:40 PM BST
Belmont race6 2 #
Report tobahar October 2, 2015 8:45 PM BST
Finger lakes race8 3# 2# GL
Report tobahar October 2, 2015 8:51 PM BST
Keenland race6 3# 5#
Report slip5 October 2, 2015 8:54 PM BST
paco lopez is strong jockey
Report slip5 October 2, 2015 8:55 PM BST
should make all on this 5 horse race 6 keenland
Report slip5 October 2, 2015 8:58 PM BST
ffs the 5 horse all over the place there, will there be a stewards
Report slip5 October 2, 2015 8:59 PM BST
toba what you think
Report Bsmith October 2, 2015 8:59 PM BST
Wood
betting #1 Sunspot Baby
Report slip5 October 2, 2015 9:01 PM BST
7 win bet woodbine
Report Bsmith October 2, 2015 9:03 PM BST
Sad
Report slip5 October 2, 2015 9:04 PM BST
which won smith
Report Bsmith October 2, 2015 9:06 PM BST
Dundail
punt on Elusive Award @ 16.5 :-s
Report Bsmith October 2, 2015 9:07 PM BST
Woodbine (TB) on Oct 2 2015
Race 7    1 1/16M   
Purse: $24100.00     Fast   
#     Name           Jockey/Driver      Win       Place       Show
7     Mobil App           Luis Contreras      6.50       3.80       3.40
9     Reliably Royal           Omar Moreno            4.20       3.30
6     Amber Brewski           Eurico R. Da Silva                  3.00
Report slip5 October 2, 2015 9:07 PM BST
thanks smithy
Report slip5 October 2, 2015 9:07 PM BST
i would not touch that dundalk race lol
Report Bsmith October 2, 2015 9:09 PM BST
Sad
Report slip5 October 2, 2015 9:12 PM BST
belmont which horse prefers sloppy track, non stop or box office
Report slip5 October 2, 2015 9:15 PM BST
shocking race that one
Report Bsmith October 2, 2015 9:15 PM BST
wolves
e/w Russian Radiance
bet Pressure
Report Bsmith October 2, 2015 9:19 PM BST
Sad
gn + gl
Report slip5 October 2, 2015 9:32 PM BST
patrick husbands wtf was he doing there
Report slip5 October 2, 2015 9:34 PM BST
cant believe that prat lost on that
Report treetop October 2, 2015 9:44 PM BST
9 for me at hawthorne, GLA
Report Thebas October 2, 2015 9:45 PM BST
yes PHusb is def a worry Slip ... I saw him kick out of his irons one day ffs ... hope I saw it wrong .. risky guy at times
Report tobahar October 2, 2015 9:47 PM BST
Belmont race8 8 place gl
Report slip5 October 2, 2015 10:20 PM BST
he was not even asking for a effort from the horse until the other entry went pass
Report henryluca October 2, 2015 11:26 PM BST
Penn race 2 ..laying the $1.6 fav Tsonga
Report Cooee October 2, 2015 11:31 PM BST
Wd Henry!
Report henryluca October 2, 2015 11:32 PM BST
lol.."they" know ..they most definitely know....

HappyLove
Report henryluca October 2, 2015 11:33 PM BST
Thx Cooee
Report Thebas October 2, 2015 11:42 PM BST
pen on the slop ... very nice lay the shortie henry

there was a guy on 3 weeks ago nabging out winners at 25/1 & 48/1

I missed the race .. placings anyone ?
Report Thebas October 2, 2015 11:52 PM BST
got em

4-7-2  fave ran 2nd

http://espn.go.com/sports/horse/results
Report Thebas October 2, 2015 11:54 PM BST
another shortie coming up Pen2 on the slop

any thoughts henry ?
Report Thebas October 2, 2015 11:59 PM BST
PEN 2 fave last .. henry probably cleaned em up again

unlike Tsonga previously who had never seen the sloppy (and ran 2nd) ... that last one had already failed at its only 2 tries on it

I prefer place betting to laying .. so no interest by me .. but a layers paradise the first 2 at pen today
Report toilettennisplayer October 3, 2015 12:00 AM BST
wow - last price matched on the shocking evens favourite was 1.07 to decent money ... and 8/1 winner's last price here was 30 ....
Report Thebas October 3, 2015 12:05 AM BST
crazy stuff for sure TTP .. throwin money away on a sloppy trk where the horse had already failed twice previously

sloppy at CharlesT today also .. the short priced fave there has never seen a wet track and will get back a bit .. its fresh and has been working well but 4½ and running on .. id be watching it rather than backing it

the #1 has something going for it .. but will not lead from the 1 gate and will have to come around 2 leaders

interesting race
Report Thebas October 3, 2015 12:11 AM BST
CT1   1-2-5

bang .. beautiful .. jock rode it a treat .. the #1 held its running along the rail without leading .. which won it the race ... #2 wins if the #1 has to come around 1 other horse

shortie ... well you guessed it .. 3rd .. henry on a laying roll hopefully
Report Thebas October 3, 2015 12:19 AM BST
PEN 4 coming up

fave out in #11 .. a leader & never seen a sloppy track before (ie unknown stuff they may or may not)

has 3 inside it though (#1,3,10) ... also leaders .. and each has run a placing on the wet

tricky affair ... #2 is the value .. fresh is a risk on the slop but gets the cart in on the front crew

dunno .. watch prob
Report Thebas October 3, 2015 12:24 AM BST
ive ended up with a small place back on the #2  .. dunno tho .. wary stuff
Report henryluca October 3, 2015 12:24 AM BST
Hve laid the 11 Search n and also the 8 My Blake

(
Report henryluca October 3, 2015 12:29 AM BST
WOW...market and graphs changed last seconds ...winner BSP $1.24 (from 3.00ish)
Report Thebas October 3, 2015 12:30 AM BST
pen 4  11-7-2

3rd & avgd around 3.08 ... honest value I thought ...

Ive been blessed with 3 good rides today and 3 collects ... might count myself lucky though and enjoy watching the rest


yes laying a couple is not a bad idea henry ...  #11 wins on its first look at the sloppy .. always an unknown but was no value imo

a good morning guys .. all the best
Report henryluca October 3, 2015 12:33 AM BST
CT..the 7  (tiz) DONT think it is fake fav
Report Thebas October 3, 2015 12:34 AM BST
graph in the last seconds .. a big move ... did it really start at $1.28 that #11 ... bit suss wow
Report henryluca October 3, 2015 12:39 AM BST
Tizracer
Gerald Almodovar

Break neck speed over the mile in sloppy conditions..thought he was on C Chrome


Terrible ride ....always always going to tippy toe to the line...why back bets are so risky
Report Thebas October 3, 2015 12:47 AM BST
I'm inclined to agree henry

though it is the way to ride CharlesT ... the 7f is always a little differnet .. and you'd like a breather down the back and he had one on him

went maybe 50m to soon before the sweep into the lane .. but thata where 'my man' jerry villegas gets into them and he knows this trk better than anyone imho

on the slop is why I agree .. only btn a lip and backers entitled to be sour

I didn't see the results listings .. but in my form the winner was to be ridden by jose montano .. the poor jock that fell in that race we talked about yesterday .. hope it was him .. firstly cause he's okay from the fall and secondly well good luck to such a promising young rider
Report henryluca October 3, 2015 12:50 AM BST
Knocking the 6 Verismilitude
Report Thebas October 3, 2015 12:53 AM BST
PEN 5 coming up  .. repeating I know .. but on the SLOP lol

a 6f race and they should break into 3 pairs in this 6 horse field

the 2 leaders well .. #4 & #2 dunno ... 4 not seen the slop but the 2 has won twice in the wet ... last start here by 10 len ffs but was left alone

the $5 & #6 press them behind .. both ok in the wet and coming down in grade

the #3 & #7 should see their tails from behind but up to the jocks if they might get adventurous and the #7 goes well here

but .. just watching here lol
Report Thebas October 3, 2015 12:55 AM BST
PEN 5    5-6-4

the grade droppers show them how its doen .. beat the rest by 3 lengths .. both were value (well after the race lol)
Report henryluca October 3, 2015 12:57 AM BST
CT--Have Political Miss as the lay
Report Thebas October 3, 2015 1:00 AM BST
she will be an on pacer/leader henry which might please you after the last one we saw over 7f .. has one other cutter in front with it #4 I think

yours likes the wet so maybe they work each other to death early is the best result

I don't like the race at all  .. the ML prepst #7 is 'out the gate' on odds first up and will get back (is it fresh enough to run on hard we'll see)

the #3 is your bet hope to run the leaders down late .. im watching only
Report henryluca October 3, 2015 1:01 AM BST
Actually will go into Islamic Extremist mode (Prophet Protection)....and off load at 2.46 (laid 2.34)

The $9.2 previous laid showed lot of fight and still recovering...
Report Thebas October 3, 2015 1:02 AM BST
Laugh

nothing wrong with safety Love
Report Thebas October 3, 2015 1:06 AM BST
much smarter ride in that Almodovar .. see how he held it up and txra 50-75m before that last weep into the lane

and she loves the wet .. a very good win .. but .. a more brilliant bail out/off load by henry
Report henryluca October 3, 2015 1:07 AM BST
Yeeep! (as Daman Salvatore would say)

Actually saw a flip in the graph in the sense that the 3 became the lay....

All good...

Think I am on home duties shortly so GL Thebas and all others Happy
Report Thebas October 3, 2015 1:08 AM BST
all the best Henry been a top morning (in Oz) on the evening in the USA
Report henryluca October 3, 2015 1:10 AM BST
Love
Report Thebas October 3, 2015 1:29 AM BST
the next at PEN is a shocker lol .. and on the slop

you look & look but cant pull anything in formwise that stands out so you go looking elsewhere for some inspiration

the #6 is the fresh horse (well the #3 has had a month off but nothing to enthuse imo) ... and it will up on the pace probably outside the #5 & #3 .. so the ones sweating on them from the press are the #2 & #7 who should be in the market

the #6 can weaken which is never a good trait lol .... but if the jock can manage to hold himself together and just angle of the 2 on his inside then maybe ... just maybe it can hold up till the wire ... but

nothing to enthuse in the trainer ... and though its works have been good ... also nothing to enthuse in the jockey

so there you have it .. most likely yet another watch race

tread carefully all
Report Thebas October 3, 2015 1:53 AM BST
PEN 7    5-1-7

marred by an ugly fall down the stretch .. hope all concerned are okay

re the finish well even old Pittsburgh Phil had a maxim = ... poor trainer poor jock equals poor bet

on the #6 though its freshness had it too keen maybe - but the jock is supposed to control that - just watching it was painful
Report Bsmith October 9, 2015 9:18 PM BST
in for one
Keene
has everyone got a Strategy for in running, huge bet for me
Report Thebas October 9, 2015 9:22 PM BST
all the best BSm .. yes pre race strategy or idea is the way to go

$100Stks race with some G3 runners shipping in .. most with no racing for over a month but they have all done some work on the tracks leading in ... can win on pace & from behind at Kee so a fair track .. some will start to sticth up into the straight .. should be interesting
Report Greg_Gory October 9, 2015 9:24 PM BST
anyone had any luck in running keeneland Happy
Report Bsmith October 9, 2015 9:27 PM BST
BBBOOOOOOOMMMMMMMM
Report Bsmith October 9, 2015 9:31 PM BST
while im waiting
wood
betting #12 Aunt Els
Report Thebas October 9, 2015 9:32 PM BST
sounds like BSm did Greg ... well done  Grin

I had a small lay on Pletcher Todd's runner #2 InPlay after seeing where it dropped in the run ... on the back of a 6f campaign last prep running first up today ... but it has won over 10f so & ran on late today so I guess that's where he's taking it this campaign

just playing around though here InPly .. nothing serious
Report Bsmith October 9, 2015 9:33 PM BST
BBBBBOOOOOMMMMMMM
Report Thebas October 9, 2015 9:35 PM BST
very nice work BSm ... the #12 at WO strong down the lane and held them off boldly (no TURF today at WO and race went back to the synthetic
Report Bsmith October 9, 2015 9:36 PM BST
think laying short price odds is the way forward for in running betting
Report Bsmith October 9, 2015 9:38 PM BST
or trading on front runners
Report Thebas October 9, 2015 9:39 PM BST
probably BSm .. though Kee favours all positioning ... the 1.01 backer went missing last race .. but I guess many will set their bots to take a piece of the 1/100 odds and just hope that one or two get rolled over in the next 100 races

I like to watch race positioning & energy used .. but InPly still a tuff gig imo
Report Bsmith October 9, 2015 9:41 PM BST
Haw
had a nibble on #6  Dustem Carolina
Report Bsmith October 9, 2015 9:42 PM BST
i need to buy a lotto ticket ! lol
Report Bsmith October 9, 2015 9:42 PM BST
Happy
Report Bsmith October 9, 2015 9:44 PM BST
in running, need to watch the betting for a week or so and see how they bet
Report Thebas October 9, 2015 9:45 PM BST
they're great those days when it all falls in to place lol ... well done again at HAW champ  Grin

the next at KEE an interesting $58k allowance .. with most of the runners merely maiden winners seeing who will step up to the next grade .. so an open race for sure even though the #3 will go up shortest on the boards

could be some value .. still looking here
Report Bsmith October 9, 2015 9:53 PM BST
wondering if #10  Natural Wonder will drift
Report Thebas October 9, 2015 9:56 PM BST
#10 has been working well BSm and they seem keen enough on it today buy maybe a drift late ..

I've ended up with a play around on the #7 which should be prominent from the off (though can weaken badly late LOL) ... they've made 2 gear changes on it today putting the Blinkers back on and its on the Lasix for the first time in its career .. but probably last tries for it should it compound late again
Report Bsmith October 9, 2015 10:00 PM BST
it won but bet didnt match
Report Thebas October 9, 2015 10:01 PM BST
def buy a lottery ticket great win Grin
Report Bsmith October 9, 2015 10:01 PM BST
seen two races and the winners havent drifted in price in running ......... food for thought
Report Bsmith October 9, 2015 10:02 PM BST
im going to buy one now ! lol
have to go
gn + gl
Report Shiekh Me Hand October 9, 2015 10:34 PM BST
Good evening race fans :)
Report Thebas October 9, 2015 10:47 PM BST
all the best Sheikh .. been a great morning for the US in Oz so far
Report Shiekh Me Hand October 9, 2015 11:21 PM BST
Blo.ody hell Bas, you must be up early then, i just printed the form for Caulfield tonight (I'm in Canada) - Great card tonight!
Report Thebas October 9, 2015 11:25 PM BST
haha  .. yes get up about 5am for the US .. have a break between 11am & 1pm .. and off again for the Oz monsters Spring carnival

all the best today Sheikh
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