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brain dead jockeys
05 Aug 13 17:03
Joined:
Date Joined: 14 Jun 05
| Topic/replies: 38,493 | Blogger: brain dead jockeys's blog
hi guys.......i was using the timeform US formguide but now it seems i have to purchase it as it is no longer free..........how are you guys studying the US form?
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Report Cork Langer August 5, 2013 11:54 PM BST
Penn R3 be very disappointed if 6 doesn't take this
Report Cork Langer August 5, 2013 11:56 PM BST
Looks like market is expecting the 1
Report governor August 5, 2013 11:56 PM BST
4 Med win max place pig race 3
Report Horts August 5, 2013 11:58 PM BST
there is the 100/1 shot
Report Swagger August 5, 2013 11:59 PM BST
Penn National always seems to throw up random winners whenever i bet on it, horrid track for me leaving it well alone in future
Report governor August 5, 2013 11:59 PM BST
Here we go again less than vigorous ride or positioning early on the 4 hmmm

Onwards Mnr v small value win and place the 2
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 12:00 AM BST
You'd be gutted to be on it at 10's even though you won...!

wd on the place gov and good evening
Report governor August 6, 2013 12:02 AM BST
Evening genius is it just me and you that only like Penn
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 12:04 AM BST
Seems to be, I'm use to belonging to small select groups, you...?
Report guru m August 6, 2013 12:06 AM BST
penn selections?
Report Horts August 6, 2013 12:06 AM BST
PID 7
Report pegasus70 August 6, 2013 12:07 AM BST
3 at pid for me gl
Report governor August 6, 2013 12:08 AM BST
loner was my middle name as a child now double barrelled as a loner loser Grin
Report pegasus70 August 6, 2013 12:09 AM BST
surely not govLaugh
Report Swagger August 6, 2013 12:11 AM BST
Does every favourite generally win at Prisle Downs?
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 12:11 AM BST
Only when you don't back them swagger...!
Report Swagger August 6, 2013 12:12 AM BST
ha fair. I've watched the last three races, only bet on the 3 in the last race and think every fav has won
Report pegasus70 August 6, 2013 12:13 AM BST
5 4 3 res at pid Sad
time for bed
gl all with the rest of your betsHappy
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 12:13 AM BST
My sons thought my christian name was Billy until they were old enough to read for themselves, they heard it from my wife so often...!
Report Swagger August 6, 2013 12:14 AM BST
Last bet for me on this casino nonsense, between the 2 and 8 at MP in the next, what do people think?
Report Horts August 6, 2013 12:17 AM BST
I thought 1 and 7 were worth a decent bet at the odds penn
Report governor August 6, 2013 12:17 AM BST
2 and 4 smell nice at Pig win and place the pair 4's odds imo are silly
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 12:21 AM BST
Grass so no wager for me, my picks were 4 & 10, gl all
Report governor August 6, 2013 12:21 AM BST
Stand corrected peg am  Married so that strictly doesn't make me a total loner, however loser well yep double barrelled loser loser

Gd times genius my children are going to school with all sorts of phrases sayings etc

Remember a particular UK race where my eldest asked me why I wanted to stick another horse over the rail, bit over zealous that commentary from me Grin
Report governor August 6, 2013 12:24 AM BST
10 and 4 mnr win and place
Report Swagger August 6, 2013 12:25 AM BST
Gone with the 8 at MP
Report Horts August 6, 2013 12:26 AM BST
wd gov
cork hope you done it
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 12:26 AM BST
wd gov, perhaps I need to rethink my no wagering on grass philosophy...!
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 12:28 AM BST
wd swagger
Report Swagger August 6, 2013 12:28 AM BST
Only track i do ok on is MP, well i will take the small loss from pretty brainless betting on other tracks
Report Horts August 6, 2013 12:29 AM BST
PID 6
Report Swagger August 6, 2013 12:30 AM BST
If you want to know which horses to lay on the other tracks then just ask what i'm backing Crazy

Well done all winners at Penn (Gov etc).

Does my old pal Book still post on here or did you actually go to the purple site?
Report Swagger August 6, 2013 12:32 AM BST
Well done Cork also at Penn
Report governor August 6, 2013 12:32 AM BST
Genius agree I rarely played the turf races often messy and not always guaranteed the pace etc etc

However my approach to picking horses has been refined over the years so now I play them a bit more

4 in that race was like finding a precious £1 coin and magnifying it into a near enough lovely **** and hen
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 12:33 AM BST
cheers swagger, book plays purple now I think, occasionally pops on here with a post, but not very often
Report governor August 6, 2013 12:35 AM BST
wd swagger at mnr.

Reckon laying mine from 2000 - 2010 would have allowed you a pick of any European country. I stank worse than a skunk

Still you lose and learn now I smell slightly better
Report Swagger August 6, 2013 12:36 AM BST
OK good to know thanks Cork. Another winning fav at PD, glad i left that race!
Report Swagger August 6, 2013 12:40 AM BST
I only ever bet on American racing if i am a little hacked off after betting on English racing and think i deserved a bit better from what i got that day so i sometimes bet on American racing to nick a bit of money. To be honest i always either win a couple of hundred or lose a couple of hundred - I don't do any better or worse so on the face of it, it would appear completely pointless for me but sometimes when i do win a couple of hundred i will have a bit more on a horse i fancy at say Kempton which will go in at 8/1+ so the momemtum swing is good. The bonus is when i lose on the American racing i don't let it reduce my stakes the next day on English racing.
Report Swagger August 6, 2013 12:44 AM BST
Sounds like you guys make pretty good money from it. The only track i get a bit of a feel for is MP, it's probably because i like racecourses which have a bit of a shady history!
Report Swagger August 6, 2013 12:46 AM BST
Turf Paradise is my favourite, i actually make a decent profit on that but nobody else likes it! I also like Tampa Bay Downs, Angel Serpa on the turf track is different gear Love
Report governor August 6, 2013 12:47 AM BST
Swagger to win on UK is really good

I don't really have the time to make it pay. Though you can take rules from the American racing and reapply and make some good returns

Have had the odd gd news story at Lingfield and Wolves from this.

US more in suiting for me work young family allows me to stay up late and study a bit and maybe sometimes win.
Report guru m August 6, 2013 12:48 AM BST
Penn selections?
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 12:48 AM BST
Unfortunately Swagger, you can't win on here until you have lost, unless you are extremely fortunate or working with a marked card, pays to be selective on the US racing by concentrating on certain tracks that you get a feel for.

Takes time but is worth the wait and the work, doesn't suit everyone, some people can play many tracks and still work a profit, for me though I prefer a few tracks to work from, Penn being No 1 for me, together with MP/Chas, and I'm not averse to cherry picking races when the odds look in my favour.
Report Swagger August 6, 2013 12:49 AM BST
Fair Governor. I always lose money at Penn, Charles Town, Sunland Park, PD etc try to avoid all those tracks. I do ok at MP, Turf Paradise and Tampa Bay. I used to do really well at Woodbine but have done my brains there the last few times so have left that track as well!
Report governor August 6, 2013 12:49 AM BST
1a small win and place pig
Report governor August 6, 2013 12:52 AM BST
4 and 9 mnr win and place
Report Swagger August 6, 2013 12:53 AM BST
I agree CL, i think in order to make ok money from betting on American racing you need to know more about the tracks, jockeys, the market, the form etc all of which i don't - i primarily go on the market and the vibe about the prices so i generally back horses priced between 2/1-5/1 and don't bet massive so i just try and win a bit of stake money for English racing. I think Kempton is a great track to bet on in England.
Report Horts August 6, 2013 12:56 AM BST
PID 5 at 10ish
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 12:57 AM BST
PID R7 laid the 4 backed 1 & 2, gl all
Report Horts August 6, 2013 1:00 AM BST
4-1 PID
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 1:00 AM BST
Something of a disaster, towf was right, I really shouldn't play there...!!!
Report governor August 6, 2013 1:01 AM BST
Swagger spin it round what do you do well on UK Racing

Apply that logic to US racing you probably wouldn't be that far off the mark

Genius (Cork) is the only person at Penn that seems to have a real gd grasp of the track. Am convinced as he picks plenty of horses that I fancy he has a ratio which say only 50% is down to current speed form etc.

Could be wrong
Report governor August 6, 2013 1:05 AM BST
As for PID Genius tricky track.

Think you have to kinda throw away the good habits built up at mnr and penn and adopt a slop mentality which isn't ideal.

Could probably make money there but cba to pay more money on form be losing my nights profits paying for racecards
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 1:08 AM BST
Can't beat that secret ingredient we all rely on gov, gut instinct, have missed playing regularly, you certainly realise how important it is to see all the races a couple of times, when you start picking without having seen any, just little things you can make note of that no form guide will ever tell you, can make all the difference.
Report Swagger August 6, 2013 1:12 AM BST
Yes i agree you have to almost pay to lose a load of money first before you start making profits. Also agree abuot Gut Instinct when you just know a horse will win, it's like being in the zone in the matrix when you have everything covered (like form, track, going, distance, jockey, market etc) without needing to look, those are the best bets
Report Horts August 6, 2013 1:14 AM BST
MP4
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 1:14 AM BST
MP R4 hard to assess with 2 & 8 making debuts, feel drawn to the 1a, AJ should be on to advise whether to play it or not, where is he tonight...?
With 3 places gone with 1a mostly place, gl all
Report governor August 6, 2013 1:15 AM BST
disgusting race at mnr small play on the 2 and 8 horse win and place
Report governor August 6, 2013 1:17 AM BST
Ask Ommmadon is a classic example have hardly bet the horse each time I wallop it it wins and at monster odds
Report governor August 6, 2013 1:23 AM BST
Bless the 2 horse in all my time watching Pig I have seen this horse come to win a few races and dog it.

Finally he wins his 2nd race out of 49
Report governor August 6, 2013 1:23 AM BST
wd genius at mnr
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 1:26 AM BST
cheers gov, good old AJ...!
Report Swagger August 6, 2013 1:27 AM BST
Well done Corky
Report governor August 6, 2013 1:29 AM BST
Gd lad for a bluenose AJ
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 1:32 AM BST
cheers swagger, good thing about this forum gov, lost a lot of people in the last couple of years, but thankfully those that remain are all decent posters, longtime since we have had a regular stalker or nuisance poster (hopefully that won't be the green light for one to come on board...!)
Report governor August 6, 2013 1:41 AM BST
v trappy race at mnr

8 is now a value price and have played this to try and smash out and make all

Have played the 3 and 6 in combos with the 8 at mnr exactas trifectas
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 1:41 AM BST
MP awful race, 8 looks vulnerable, but what else is there...?
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 1:43 AM BST
wd gov looks a gift horse now...!
Report governor August 6, 2013 1:44 AM BST
2 at pig med win max place have also played the 6 who could do with a little patience early

So much bl00dy speed on in this race though somebody needs to use a brain cell
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 1:45 AM BST
Penn pace should give 2 a chance, gl all
Report governor August 6, 2013 1:45 AM BST
Agree cork had reservations on the 8 and at tote odds nah but he was lone speed and had the best times at 2/1 plus it was a win bet.

Could easily have walked off course lame after 3f though
Report governor August 6, 2013 1:51 AM BST
Cora not too bad usually but most of these jockeys don't think this was another classic example of that
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 1:52 AM BST
bad from me and worse from Cora, felt sure he'd sit behind the pace
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 2:04 AM BST
MP laid the 6 backed 2 & 5 gl all
Report governor August 6, 2013 2:05 AM BST
All horses had speed setting profiles just he is usually a bit more astute cora that is.

Onwards 6 and 4 for me at mnr

More on 4 to place than win tho
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 2:08 AM BST
wd gov, very painful here...!
Report guru m August 6, 2013 2:08 AM BST
penn fancies?
Report governor August 6, 2013 2:11 AM BST
Aye sorry genius

Thought 4 was given an interesting ride got bottled up down backstretch and ran on well down stretch

As for pig am sweet on the 5 win and place at pig
Report Swagger August 6, 2013 2:12 AM BST
For what it's worth i will put up a few selections i like for Kempton, i'm not saying to back them but just to have them here and we can go through how badly or well i did! Last time i put up the Paul Cole horse Thachit who to be fair was hammered by the Hannon hotpot.

In the 6.30 I think it's between Dukes Delight and Hermosa Vaquera, both been well supported in the market in the past, both 3 year olds so get the weight for age benefit which I think is healthy this time of the year and importantly I think they will both improve for the step up in trip. They are pretty obvious selections, the market will tell me more nearer the race. I can see the Lanigan horse (Dukes Delight) getting overbacked again which would make the Chapple-Hyam horse of more appeal or they could start closer to joint favs which would make Dukes Delight of more appeal.

I think Stoute's horse, Festival Theatre is potentially smart so would side with him in the 7.05

In the 8.00 Miss Tiger Lily is a real fighter and only does enough to win. Her sire Verglas has a good record at Kempton and I would expect her to win again.

Purely from a handicapping perspective, with the 7 lbs claimer Tim Clark riding, who i think is capable, in the 8.30 Equitania is going to be a huge price around 14/1+. Missed the break last time at Ascot but had run ok at Newmarket the time before. This is a step down in grade. I don't like the Gosden horse Ferjaan, not sure about Agerzem and Badr Al Badoor so will take a chance on Alan Baileys horse.

Finally in the 21.00 i have been waiting for Camache Queen to hit the right note and with the booking of Richard Hughes, she could easily exploit her favourable handicap mark tomorrow. Currently around 12/1 I would expect her to get well backed if that is the case.

Just a few bits and pieces. I like a few on wednesday so even if i draw a blank tomorrow i will put up wednesdays food for thoughts!

Night and good luck all
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 2:13 AM BST
Penn a race with no obvious pace, plumped for 1 & 3, gl all
Report Swagger August 6, 2013 2:17 AM BST
Well done Corky with the forecast. Now i must get some shut eye, good luck all
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 2:18 AM BST
Good old betfair av of 3/1 for that...!
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 2:19 AM BST
cheers swagger, will have a butchers at those tomorrow morning, gn & gl
Report governor August 6, 2013 2:19 AM BST
cheers swag will look out for them tomorrow

gd work genius at pig
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 2:23 AM BST
cheers gov, helped repair the damage I did at PID & MP earlier...!
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 2:26 AM BST
MP rowing in with the 9 horse, did me a few favours at Hawthorne, is tenacious on the lead when in the mood, hopefully will be tonight, gl all
Report governor August 6, 2013 2:30 AM BST
7 and 5 win and place mnr
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 2:31 AM BST
backed 5 as well, pacing up and down without a lead horse, anxious to get on with it...?
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 2:33 AM BST
will be demoted anyway, so glad it got beaten...!
Report guru m August 6, 2013 2:37 AM BST
Penn views?
Report governor August 6, 2013 2:37 AM BST
playing the rags at pig 2 and 4 win and place
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 2:38 AM BST
Penn hoping the girls mess each other up on the pace, covered 2/3/4/5 but 1 should win easily if Kaylia sits behind the pace for a while
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 2:44 AM BST
Should of just boxed up the odd numbers...!
Report governor August 6, 2013 2:45 AM BST
wish I hadn't seen any even numbers what bonkers fractions early doors
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 2:47 AM BST
I'd like to say they'll get better with experience but very much doubt it, same thing this time next year...!!!
Report governor August 6, 2013 2:54 AM BST
big dutch 4 and 9 mnr win and place
Report Cork Langer August 6, 2013 2:56 AM BST
Right I'm off to pick the Mrs and her boozy friends up, gn & gl gov (and anyone else still playing)
Report governor August 6, 2013 2:56 AM BST
agree genius
Report governor August 6, 2013 2:56 AM BST
Gd stamina Mrs Cork
Report governor August 6, 2013 2:57 AM BST
cheers genius gd luck with all the women
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