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gm10
21 Feb 12 17:51
Joined:
Date Joined: 17 Jul 03
| Topic/replies: 1,235 | Blogger: gm10's blog
Like the 6 @ philly. Is the fastest animal on paper. Last run was poor but that was very excusable (higher class, new trainer, fast sectionals).

5/1 is a bet.
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Report governor February 21, 2012 11:11 PM GMT
Gracie quoted me 8/1 I mean come on who knows what the field or the ground will be like

Its not Long Run or Kauto I have asked about just a plain old 140 odd rated chaser cant be having that price so off to ask all the other bookies now.
Report slumdog February 21, 2012 11:11 PM GMT
only a nk between 2 and 8 last time out (2 bt 8 for 2nd/3rd)
Report Mr Q February 21, 2012 11:13 PM GMT
I din't think it's just a set up on the tote to lay on here job. He may go off a short priced fav. He was only just in frint of No8 last time but it was No2's first run since September. THat said, The winner who is no monster won by 6L and the 4th was No10 and he has little or no ability.
Persionally, I am against No2. My main bet is No4 at 7.00+. He's never faced state breds in a claimer before and he runs as he wants this trip.
Report slumdog February 21, 2012 11:16 PM GMT
good spot on the 2, though is there a risk of the bounce? will 4 be ok over the longer trip?
Report Bluenose February 21, 2012 11:16 PM GMT
i thought 4 would be fav Mr Q
Report fronter February 21, 2012 11:17 PM GMT
Well you're wrong
Report slumdog February 21, 2012 11:19 PM GMT
8 for the win (slumdog = squat?) and 12 for a place - all small . . . . . .
Report Mr Q February 21, 2012 11:19 PM GMT
Hi Blue. He's been flat out overmatched in all his races and if he's going to win a race, he runs as if hge'll grind one out over this trip. Love the jock switch, love the lack of any quality opposition, love the 7.00+ - all I need now is the boat to pick his feet up and show me he can run!
Report Bluenose February 21, 2012 11:19 PM GMT
looks that way
Report fronter February 21, 2012 11:20 PM GMT
Hope it wins though Blue - the 4 that is !
Report lucky31 February 21, 2012 11:21 PM GMT
2 looking like a playable price now at 3.25 imo  , gl
Report governor February 21, 2012 11:22 PM GMT
Following the Q he knows more about Sunland than I know about eating marshmallow flumps and I have been a conniseur of these bad boyz for years

10 place 3 win the 4 at Sunland
Report Bluenose February 21, 2012 11:22 PM GMT
4+9 for me
Report Cork Langer February 21, 2012 11:22 PM GMT
Sun R10 dutching the 9 & 1
Report Mr Q February 21, 2012 11:23 PM GMT
If No4 runs like a lemon, my name is Bluenose!!
Report Horts February 21, 2012 11:24 PM GMT
10 Sun
Report Cork Langer February 21, 2012 11:25 PM GMT
Turf Para R9 dutching 2 & 8
Report governor February 21, 2012 11:25 PM GMT
if 4 runs like a lemmon I will bekindly asking for a reimbursement of my monster stake money Laugh
Report Horts February 21, 2012 11:25 PM GMT
bit on 12 too
Report governor February 21, 2012 11:25 PM GMT
lemon even
Report Bluenose February 21, 2012 11:26 PM GMT
4 goes off fav
Report Bluenose February 21, 2012 11:27 PM GMT
but ran like a crab
Report Jazzycat February 21, 2012 11:27 PM GMT
TPARA R9

Taking on the fave's again with a bit of value;

No 3 at 36's is WAY overpriced - WIN and PLACE

No 6 at 42's is CRAZY - WIN and PLACE

No 7 at 40's equally mad - WIN and PLACE
Report Horts February 21, 2012 11:28 PM GMT
BOOM Excited
Report Mr Q February 21, 2012 11:29 PM GMT
bad tip that Blue
Report Mr Q February 21, 2012 11:29 PM GMT
only joking!
wd Horts
Report Bluenose February 21, 2012 11:29 PM GMT
cant eat value
Report slumdog February 21, 2012 11:29 PM GMT
wd horts - i got 12 place and laid the fav
Report Cork Langer February 21, 2012 11:30 PM GMT
wd horts
Report Bluenose February 21, 2012 11:31 PM GMT
nailed on next time though the 4
claimed by the king of smirnoff
Report governor February 21, 2012 11:31 PM GMT
Nice horts

Well lads offski now defo cant trust you lot to find me winners so will be back for Penn on Thursday gd luck all Laugh
Report Jazzycat February 21, 2012 11:31 PM GMT
4-5-2 - jeez !!! ExcitedSad
Report Horts February 21, 2012 11:33 PM GMT
Thanks all
I had laid the fav quite heavily as well and was a little worried when my video froze and just had commentry
Report Cork Langer February 21, 2012 11:43 PM GMT
Sun R11 coming out of the same race last time a dutch of 6 & 2 for me, separated by only length and a quarter that day, seems a very generous difference in price, they have different run styles so hopefully all angles are covered
Report Horts February 21, 2012 11:44 PM GMT
Sun
I backed the 1 last time out and going to back again
Report Jazzycat February 21, 2012 11:45 PM GMT
SUN P Value For Me;

No.5 @ 9's is about twice the price it should be

No 7 at 15.5 is simply WAY too big

No 12 @ 9.8 is also good value - not a giveaway, but value nevertheless


Also PLACE where prices allow
Report lucky31 February 21, 2012 11:45 PM GMT
2 for me , gl
Report Jazzycat February 21, 2012 11:47 PM GMT
...topping up on No 12 at 11.5 - mad PRICE !
Report DaveEdwards February 21, 2012 11:48 PM GMT
Jazzy, I think the biggest value in this Sun race is the 1.

Dutching 1 & 12.
Report Bluenose February 21, 2012 11:50 PM GMT
1+2 for me
Report Horts February 21, 2012 11:54 PM GMT
anyone get the 6 ?
Report Jazzycat February 21, 2012 11:55 PM GMT
6 wins Sad

5 places Grin
Report slumdog February 21, 2012 11:56 PM GMT
wd corky?
Report Cork Langer February 21, 2012 11:56 PM GMT
Yes sir, what a beauty..! As said earlier couldn't understand difference in price with fav only a length and quarter between them last time.
Report Horts February 21, 2012 11:56 PM GMT
cork WD
didnt see your post earlier
Report Cork Langer February 21, 2012 11:57 PM GMT
cheers guys
Report lucky31 February 22, 2012 12:05 AM GMT
10 in the lucky last ,   big , gl
Report Horts February 22, 2012 12:08 AM GMT
12 for me
biggish bet
Report Mr Q February 22, 2012 12:08 AM GMT
Sunland race 12
I can see merit in 10+12 but No5 comes out of much better races and he's a similar price. If any of the 1-2-3 he was 4th to last time were in this race they'd be 1.80 and not 4.80 as No5 is.
Report Cork Langer February 22, 2012 12:12 AM GMT
MR Q would you not be worried that 5 1/2 is too short for the 5 especially given its run style and the way the track has been running tonight? Seems a tad short to me
Report Horts February 22, 2012 12:12 AM GMT
small 4 as well
Report Jazzycat February 22, 2012 12:12 AM GMT
SUN R12 - unsurprisingly perhaps, but I'm picking from the over-priced outsiders for the value here;

No.4 at 10.5 is a bargain

No 9 at 15.5 is super value

No 11 at 85's is WAY Too Big - WIN and PLACE
Report DaveEdwards February 22, 2012 12:14 AM GMT
Dutching 7 & 9 SUn
Report Mr Q February 22, 2012 12:15 AM GMT
Cork
I am more worried about his soundness. He was a stakes horse at one time and is on the downgrade but there were signs of life last time
Report Cork Langer February 22, 2012 12:16 AM GMT
GL Q and all, sitting this one out.
Report Horts February 22, 2012 12:19 AM GMT
BBBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM 4/1  Excited
Report Cork Langer February 22, 2012 12:19 AM GMT
wd horts
Report Jazzycat February 22, 2012 12:20 AM GMT
wd horts !
Report Jazzycat February 22, 2012 12:21 AM GMT
12-5-4

My 4 came 3rd at 10.5
Report Jazzycat February 22, 2012 12:35 AM GMT
CHARLT Value

Clearly there are a couple of outright fave's here, but if you want to take them on, you could worse with;

No 2 @ 6.4

No 6 at 12.5

GL All
Report Cork Langer February 22, 2012 12:40 AM GMT
Chas R2 You could buy money by backing the 3 & 4 combined, but big risk for only a little profit, especially as the newcomers could be anything, has to be a no bet race for me
Report flightspecialist February 22, 2012 12:41 AM GMT
3 for me @ CT decentish bet
Report Cork Langer February 22, 2012 12:43 AM GMT
flight are you surprised that there is little difference in price between the 3 & 4, I thought 3 would be a lot shorter, perhaps people are thinking 4 might be fitter?
Report Horts February 22, 2012 12:43 AM GMT
4 for me CT
Report Jazzycat February 22, 2012 12:43 AM GMT
couldn't resist No 7 at 30's too ! Grin
Report flightspecialist February 22, 2012 12:48 AM GMT
you could be right cork however trainer normally has  them fit
Report Jazzycat February 22, 2012 12:51 AM GMT
Bugger - 2 scratched!
Report Cork Langer February 22, 2012 12:51 AM GMT
2 scratched, that's one less for you to worry about guys...!
Report flightspecialist February 22, 2012 12:51 AM GMT
plus jockey on the 4 is useless
Report Cork Langer February 22, 2012 12:52 AM GMT
you might have told horts beforehand...!
Report Jazzycat February 22, 2012 12:53 AM GMT
joke.....3-4-6
Report Cork Langer February 22, 2012 12:53 AM GMT
wd flight
Report flightspecialist February 22, 2012 12:53 AM GMT
he would/should have known that!!
Report flightspecialist February 22, 2012 12:53 AM GMT
ive backed that matt seifers before NEVER again
Report Horts February 22, 2012 12:54 AM GMT
WD flight

told me what ?
Report Cork Langer February 22, 2012 12:55 AM GMT
that the jockey on yours was useless
Report manonion February 22, 2012 12:55 AM GMT
20 cents more for a tri  thats interestingly ***p
Report Horts February 22, 2012 12:55 AM GMT
lol
Report manonion February 22, 2012 12:57 AM GMT
9 bucks for the super   wow

they re having turkish larf governor innit
Report flightspecialist February 22, 2012 1:02 AM GMT
Next race @ CT we have a hot favourite Acosta/Beattie combo here.
I expect this to get a nice sit behind the pace and pounce in the straight, i'm saving on the 10 just in case he nicks it from the front end.
Report manonion February 22, 2012 1:04 AM GMT
laid the fav no time form on it winner last time   need to keep it simple on this one
Report Jazzycat February 22, 2012 1:12 AM GMT
CHARLT

The No 8 here is 1/9 on course, so you gotta think he's a likely winner - I'm covering my backs of the following, by a small back of the fave;

No 1 at 12's - the most likely contender if this fave doesn't mash-up - should be 6's maximum

No 5 at 30's

No 9 at 44's
Report Jazzycat February 22, 2012 1:14 AM GMT
...should have mentioned - 5 and 9 to PLACE as well
Report Horts February 22, 2012 1:14 AM GMT
4 for me
at least ive got a decent jockey this time
Report manonion February 22, 2012 1:15 AM GMT
6 to  plc   as well sod it!
Report slumdog February 22, 2012 1:16 AM GMT
10 a good match for this 4 methinks. extra trip for the 4?
Report Cork Langer February 22, 2012 1:16 AM GMT
Chas bound to go hell for leather, think I'll just watch it unfold, gl all with your selections
Report flightspecialist February 22, 2012 1:19 AM GMT
boooommmm
Report Cork Langer February 22, 2012 1:19 AM GMT
wd flight
Report slumdog February 22, 2012 1:20 AM GMT
aye, wd. I menat the 8 earlier - 10 looked good for a while, hoping it picked up a place . . . . .
Report manonion February 22, 2012 1:20 AM GMT
oops 30 lay  oh bugger

   well stuck a bit on 6 tp plc    it held its price solidly throughout
Report slumdog February 22, 2012 1:23 AM GMT
places all round, small profit on the race - can't complain
Report slumdog February 22, 2012 1:25 AM GMT
wd flight - you called that perfectly
Report Jazzycat February 22, 2012 1:34 AM GMT
CHARLT - Last Race

I cannot for the life of me see why this No 8 is the mega-strong fave at around 2.5's ????

Because he is, there are a number of cracking value options if you want to take him on;

No 1 at 10's

No 6 at 12.5's

No 7 at 14.5's

No 9 at 13's

All Great Prices, If, Like Me, You Don't Think This Fave Should Be a 2.5 shot !
Report Cork Langer February 22, 2012 1:38 AM GMT
Chas R4 think this fav looks eminently beatable, I love Erik The Great but his riding tends to be one dimensional and I can see him rowing away from some way out, given he is unlikely to have things his own way with the 1/4/9/10 fighting for the lead reckon he is vulnerable especially at 6/4.
They could go at such a pace that the closers get a chance and they'll be my plays so 5 & 7 for me, looked at 6 but the 5lb overweight put me off, so a little on the rag 3 instead.
Report slumdog February 22, 2012 1:39 AM GMT
well 4 of these all finished within a length of each other on Feb 7 - 1/5/7/9. how to split them?
Report Jazzycat February 22, 2012 1:47 AM GMT
BOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOM !!!!!!!!!!!!!!

7 wins at 14.5, With No 1 @ 10's second ! Laugh
Report Cork Langer February 22, 2012 1:47 AM GMT
Great way to finish with a juicy winner...! wd jazzy too
Report Jazzycat February 22, 2012 1:48 AM GMT
cheers Cork !
Report slumdog February 22, 2012 1:48 AM GMT
7-1-4-9 - how to split them? wd all
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