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DaveEdwards
02 Feb 12 17:05
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Date Joined: 06 Sep 07
| Topic/replies: 11,728 | Blogger: DaveEdwards's blog
Good evening & g/l to all.
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Report lucky31 February 2, 2012 11:49 PM GMT
5 won dd   , wd jazzy
Report Jazzycat February 2, 2012 11:49 PM GMT
BOOOOOOOOOOM No 5 @ 9's Wins !!!!!!
Report Jazzycat February 2, 2012 11:50 PM GMT
cheers lucky :)
Report Scot-On-The-Edge February 2, 2012 11:50 PM GMT
Well done Jazzy.
Report SEAGRAM91 February 2, 2012 11:54 PM GMT
5 and 7 for me at Penn dog sh1te race but fancy the 7 to show some serious progression tonight feels like odds against the place is decent value

5 has obvious chances in a poor race but no massive value on the place

med wins 5 and 7

med place the 7

Wd jazzy at DD excellent call
Report paradox and equilibrium February 2, 2012 11:55 PM GMT
8 Penn
Report Cork Langer February 2, 2012 11:56 PM GMT
Penn not sure the 7 will see the trip out so going with the 4
Report Jazzycat February 2, 2012 11:56 PM GMT
PENN R3

No 1 @ 17.5 is ridiculously overpriced - probably an E/W bet, but I've gone for Win & Place On This One.....

No 7 @ 6.2 is also fab value for me - should be around half this price
Report lucky31 February 2, 2012 11:59 PM GMT
10 won by half the stretch
Report Cork Langer February 3, 2012 12:00 AM GMT
Less said about that race the better, moving swiftly on then...!
Report Jazzycat February 3, 2012 12:01 AM GMT
result chaps?
Report SEAGRAM91 February 3, 2012 12:02 AM GMT
Surprised they ran that race so quickly the rest at Penn were awful
Report SEAGRAM91 February 3, 2012 12:03 AM GMT
10,5,8 jazzy
Report Jazzycat February 3, 2012 12:07 AM GMT
Delta - Value again.......

No 3 at over 7's

No 8 is seriously outrageous at 14's + to win and 4.1 to Place - Backed Both
Report Jazzycat February 3, 2012 12:08 AM GMT
Sea - thanks bud !
Report Scot-On-The-Edge February 3, 2012 12:08 AM GMT
3 and 9 Delta. A few pennies on 6 too in this donkey derby.
Report Kriskin February 3, 2012 12:10 AM GMT
The SEA is back.  Good evening
Report Lotone February 3, 2012 12:12 AM GMT
delay @ DD.....medical issues
Report Scot-On-The-Edge February 3, 2012 12:12 AM GMT
I can see 1 and 9 in pace duel at Penn and 5 just behind and swooping on through on the straight. That's the theory anyway.
Report lucky31 February 3, 2012 12:14 AM GMT
5 is a big bet for me Penn
Report SEAGRAM91 February 3, 2012 12:18 AM GMT
Evening Krisk how are you

Lucky best bet of the Night the 5 horse max win max place

Was hoping for 3/1 got a bit above 2/1 and 9/4 Katie will sit off the pace of which there is absolutely loads and power home. Well thats the plan
Report Cork Langer February 3, 2012 12:20 AM GMT
Penn R4 Looks to be a lot of pace in here which should suit the 5 but to short for me, couple of longshot closers w & p for me the 4 and the 8
Report Jazzycat February 3, 2012 12:20 AM GMT
PENN R4

The faves show no value whatsoever, but;

No 7 at 16's or over is an absolute steal !

I'm not saying the 2 obvious punters choices won't win it, but No7 is being seriously over-priced !

Backed To Win & Place
Report leoptown February 3, 2012 12:20 AM GMT
8 at dd interesting
4 lengths behind race 1 winner last time finishing well
Report Jazzycat February 3, 2012 12:21 AM GMT
Delta 3 and 8 at great odds
Report lucky31 February 3, 2012 12:23 AM GMT
looks like 10 -1-5 dd
Report Jazzycat February 3, 2012 12:23 AM GMT
10 wins Delta - 3 close but no cigar !
Report Jazzycat February 3, 2012 12:25 AM GMT
Penn - I've really backed this No 7 - cannot understand why he's so big ????
Report Kriskin February 3, 2012 12:27 AM GMT
SEA - Katie give ur horse a brutal ride
Report Cork Langer February 3, 2012 12:28 AM GMT
That will do very nicely...!
Report SEAGRAM91 February 3, 2012 12:28 AM GMT
excellent shout cork


Katie Katie Katie

Why so fu3king far back not her finest night tonight lost a bit of courage trying to go through a mission impossible gap

Thats hurt big style well done layers
Report Chief-Charlie February 3, 2012 12:32 AM GMT
Seagram, I'm on and off the forum at times, mostly watching and studying. Had good spells betting and bad spells & the bad spells generally came from lack of discipline.

I know you have a system that you seem to stick, could you please tell me in terms of % of bank, how your stakes are? (I understand if you'd prefer not to)

Any other bits of advice, welcome
Report SEAGRAM91 February 3, 2012 12:37 AM GMT
Chief best advice I can give you is ask some respected tipsters Kriskin, Lucky, spiller, tod, Jazzy how they make the game pay.

As for me I need everything in my favour to go max and usually they do okay, I have decided to stick to Penn just  track have had reasonable success at over a period of time.

Am trying to avoid sloppy conditions trying to avoid burn out and playing other tracks as for % of bank I play a 10% 5% 2.5% as max med and small bets.

If my bank ever increases I still keep to the % stakes but the values rise, as my bank gets depleted my value bets diminish.

Not sure if this is useful or a complete sack of p00 poo but thats how I roll
Report Scot-On-The-Edge February 3, 2012 12:40 AM GMT
Can't see anything beating the 10 at Delta unless any of the newcomers are upto the job.
Report Chief-Charlie February 3, 2012 12:42 AM GMT
Cheers Seagram, very much appreciated.

If anyone else has any tips, please share.
Report Cork Langer February 3, 2012 12:43 AM GMT
Char R2 looks like the 6 should get its own way out front, just can't see it lasting home unless it is allowed an unassailable lead, can't see that happening so would be a lay for me, expect the 3 & 4 to dominate the finish, hoping the 4 gets first run on the fav, the 7 could run into 3rd, so its 4-3-7 for me
Report Jazzycat February 3, 2012 12:44 AM GMT
Seagram91/Chief,

Forgive me "over-listening" your conversation, but Seagram is absolutely spot-on with his comments.....

Sticking to one track (at least to begin with) is a very sensible plan.....

I can point you to some other helpful places, but I'm in-between e-mail accounts at the minute.... if you'd like to drop me a line, watch out for me next week, and I should have my new accounts set up....

I'm using a bloody mobile broadband dongle at the minute....... don't ask !!!!!!!!!!!
Report lucky31 February 3, 2012 12:45 AM GMT
3 for me DD  @ 22.0 , GL
Report Scot-On-The-Edge February 3, 2012 12:46 AM GMT
Lots of pace,in next at Penn so could set up for closers. 6 and 7 for me.
Report lucky31 February 3, 2012 12:46 AM GMT
7 soory  not 3
Report Chief-Charlie February 3, 2012 12:46 AM GMT
Super stuff Jazzy, how to you price up races, that's one area i'm particulary weak in
Report lucky31 February 3, 2012 12:47 AM GMT
ive had some 20/1  on the 2 at Penn ,  ridiculous price , gl
Report Jazzycat February 3, 2012 12:48 AM GMT
Penn - my final one tonight.....and I think some value to be had, if you're willing to take on the fave's (4 and 5)

No 2 at 16's is WAY over-priced - should be about a third of this....

No 7 at 14's also way overpriced for me......
Report Scot-On-The-Edge February 3, 2012 12:49 AM GMT
Laying 5 at Penn too. Also place laying as can see this getting tired in home straight.
Report SEAGRAM91 February 3, 2012 12:50 AM GMT
6 horse has a decent chance at gd odds

med win and place to close the pace down
Report Jazzycat February 3, 2012 12:51 AM GMT
Chief - I'll certainly give you a few tips in that area - you'd be surprised how simple it is..... just give me a week to get this bloody internet sorted :)
Report SEAGRAM91 February 3, 2012 12:52 AM GMT
feel 7 could regress tonight jazzy dont see it making the frame to be honest

If 2 gets some restraint could be interesting but could help make the pace am really quite sweet on this 6 the more I think about it.
Report lucky31 February 3, 2012 12:52 AM GMT
2 won DD
Report Kriskin February 3, 2012 12:53 AM GMT
Chief-Charlie - I do most of my trading on other sports like NFL,Rugby League & Union, Speedway & Greyhounds.  When it comes to US racing I mainly concentrate on Mountaineer.  I could go weeks on US Racing before striking a bet when Mountaineer is not on.  Patience is a virtue when trading on here.  SEA has made some excellent points. The sports I trade on I've got extensive knowledge on them through a lot of research on some excellent websites.
Report lucky31 February 3, 2012 12:53 AM GMT
wd Sea
Report Cork Langer February 3, 2012 12:54 AM GMT
Char R2 res 6-3-7-4 an unassailable lead was given...!
Report Jazzycat February 3, 2012 12:55 AM GMT
Penn result anyone ?
Report Cork Langer February 3, 2012 12:56 AM GMT
Penn 6-5-7 wd seagram
Report Kriskin February 3, 2012 12:57 AM GMT
WD SEA at Penn
Report Jazzycat February 3, 2012 12:58 AM GMT
absolutely.....well done seagram..... catch you tomorrow maybe - bed calls !!

GN All and GL !
Report Chief-Charlie February 3, 2012 12:58 AM GMT
Kriskin, thanks for your input. Trust me, I know it's not easy and I don't expect to quit my day job anytime soon. I feel I'm getting the hang of things at AQU and Turf Paradise but I'm not ready to start punting on them every race or every night for that matter.
Report SA - Lacks middle pace - Faded February 3, 2012 1:00 AM GMT
Cork - Saw you on the dogs earlier, what has happened at Koral radio , ditched the usual suspects and yesterday we had Ozzie and today Dog, far better service , have they changed "suppliers" of there comms from teamtalk
Report SEAGRAM91 February 3, 2012 1:02 AM GMT
Cheers guys that was sweet
Report SEAGRAM91 February 3, 2012 1:07 AM GMT
Chief Krisk is one of the shrewdest mo fo's on here

Though he didnt tip the Superbowl Winner Grin.

Seriously plenty of respected judges.

I think I have an edge at Penn though 5 years ago I reckon my profits would be double as plenty of respected people have either left or wont be putting up silly odds.

Am sure with discipline and studying your be okay, the real angle is to get the bad favs beat. I reckon each night I can identify nearly every race where I dont fancy the fav, if it goes your way you can have a massive edge.
Report Scot-On-The-Edge February 3, 2012 1:10 AM GMT
Next at Delta has a serious amount of pace in it. I think 6 and 7 look most likely winners if speed duel up front. Pennies on 3 at big price too.
Report Cork Langer February 3, 2012 1:11 AM GMT
Not sure SA, couple of days ago the Joe line was down for a time, can only presume they moved to the independent comms at that time, maybe they realised how much better Dog, Ozzie and PC are than the team of passionless joes...!
Report Cork Langer February 3, 2012 1:14 AM GMT
Penn R6 the 2 could be gifted an easy lead but it will  be some effort by horse and rider to get the fractions right to get home first, my play is the 3 who should hopefully be handy enough to capitalise off the last bend
Report Chief-Charlie February 3, 2012 1:14 AM GMT
Small interest on the 3 at Penn
Report SEAGRAM91 February 3, 2012 1:15 AM GMT
Penn 5 and 7 horses small wins and places on them both slightly favour the 5 as odds are bigger
Report Scot-On-The-Edge February 3, 2012 1:16 AM GMT
2,4 and 5 at Penn.
Report Cork Langer February 3, 2012 1:18 AM GMT
No pace, joke result no doubt
Report Cork Langer February 3, 2012 1:19 AM GMT
Well done anyone that found that res 9-5-7
Report SA - Lacks middle pace - Faded February 3, 2012 1:21 AM GMT
Yeah your very right Cork, some good banter today from Dog
Report SEAGRAM91 February 3, 2012 1:21 AM GMT
Agree Cork but that time was unreal off fractions of 25.8 for first quarter.

Surely they have made a mistake with that clocking
Report lucky31 February 3, 2012 1:22 AM GMT
5 dd  for me  , gl
Report Cork Langer February 3, 2012 1:25 AM GMT
You'd certainly think so Seagram
Report lucky31 February 3, 2012 1:26 AM GMT
5-7-4  dd
Report Cork Langer February 3, 2012 1:29 AM GMT
SA - think it helps that Dog involves all and sundry from the dog thread and that most of the posters give as good as they get, also helps that Dog has as big an ego as most of us if not bigger...!
Report SEAGRAM91 February 3, 2012 1:40 AM GMT
Next race at Penn

med win med place the 6 horse

Small win and place the 2 horse at monster odds am expecting a good showing from this tonight

Horrible race for me this as the 7 horse did me a real favour last time flew home big strapping horse from recollection at massive odds.

B0llox not expecting any praise if I find the winner have had a play on the 7 as well

small win med place 7
Report Cork Langer February 3, 2012 1:41 AM GMT
Penn R7 could be a muddling pace again with neither 1 or 8 a natural pace forcer, played 6 & 7 w & p who should be handily placed when the run for home eventually starts
Report lucky31 February 3, 2012 1:42 AM GMT
3 and 6 for me penn  , laying the 1  , gl
Report Cork Langer February 3, 2012 1:45 AM GMT
wd lucky
Report Cork Langer February 3, 2012 1:47 AM GMT
res 3-9-1-6 wd again lucky on the win and the lay
Report lucky31 February 3, 2012 1:48 AM GMT
thanks  Cork
Report lucky31 February 3, 2012 1:48 AM GMT
9 dd  , think 5.0 is very fair  , gl
Report Marrawannnna February 3, 2012 1:49 AM GMT
DeltaD (US) 01:36 Lay short fav ..1. Promisetomake It
Report SEAGRAM91 February 3, 2012 1:50 AM GMT
wd lucky cannot believe how well the 1 held on to deprive the 6 of a place nutcase speed early doors
Report lucky31 February 3, 2012 1:51 AM GMT
5.8  now  on 9   , massive price imo , more on for me , gl
Report lucky31 February 3, 2012 1:54 AM GMT
bad call the 1 was different gravy
Report Chief-Charlie February 3, 2012 1:55 AM GMT
Oofft, that's how odds on shots should win, awesome
Report toderav February 3, 2012 1:58 AM GMT
Penn r8

#8 should be jolly for me here so happy with nearly 3/1, totally unexposed for the Wells barn hacking round here to break maiden in a quick time in a race prodicing a next time out winner, can make all or stalk here and should be tough. GL
Report lucky31 February 3, 2012 2:03 AM GMT
8 for me as well , amazed it isnt the fav , gl
Report toderav February 3, 2012 2:03 AM GMT
should defo go off a sub 2/1 shot imo
Report Cork Langer February 3, 2012 2:07 AM GMT
Penn R8 the 4 has a lot to do to win this from the front with 2,5 & 8 all likely to be snapping at its heels, amazed at the price of the 3, can't see the 2f drop suiting it which leaves me with the 1 who looks nothing special or the rag 7, no back for me laying the 3 & the 4
Report SEAGRAM91 February 3, 2012 2:07 AM GMT
3 Horse max place med win at Penn

3 won in a gd time last time but only at 7500 level went from the front plenty of pace on here.

The 3 who is bred to want shorter won over a mile here last time. the time wasnt anything flash but was rated to get the extra trip

With plenty of pace on am expecting the 3 horse to get a lovely toe round here and outstay her rivals coming home, probably lie 3rd or 4th is my estimation tonight.
Report SEAGRAM91 February 3, 2012 2:08 AM GMT
sorry read the 8 won at 7500 level last time
Report lucky31 February 3, 2012 2:09 AM GMT
4 won easy  , that 8 was terrible
Report toderav February 3, 2012 2:10 AM GMT
couldnt have read that worse 8 a total donkey

4-3 penn
Report SEAGRAM91 February 3, 2012 2:15 AM GMT
Was hoping 4 would duel and fade read the race almost perfectly but 3 wasnt quite gd enough.
Report Cork Langer February 3, 2012 2:17 AM GMT
DD think 11 is telling me to back it after the mess I made of the last race at Penn...!
Report Cork Langer February 3, 2012 2:20 AM GMT
Notice comm calls it with a double n...!
Report SEAGRAM91 February 3, 2012 2:31 AM GMT
2 horse med place med win Penn
Report Cork Langer February 3, 2012 2:32 AM GMT
Penn R9 should have a little on 11 Irish Blarney I suppose...! Seriously though can't have the 6 a 10 race maiden even though it looks like it will be presented with the lead, hopefully something will help to burn it out, the 6 is a lay for me with a back of the 7 who surely should beat this mob, also small w & p on the 12
Report Cork Langer February 3, 2012 2:38 AM GMT
res 7-8-9, a pleasant finish thankfully, gn & gl all
Report SEAGRAM91 February 4, 2012 12:43 AM GMT
N
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