Forums

Tradefair & Financials

Welcome to Live View – Take the tour to learn more
Start Tour
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
Mrben
29 Apr 10 03:42
Joined:
Date Joined: 25 Oct 03
| Topic/replies: 5,929 | Blogger: Mrben's blog
I believe its the uk election this weekend.We only get sparse coverage here in aust.Who will win it? What will be the effect to the gpd and euro.Please advise.
Pause Switch to Standard View Who will win?
Show More
Loading...
Report Pastie April 29, 2010 10:08 AM BST
If it's Brown (God forbid), Clegg or a Hung Parliament then sterling will go down imo. However, it's already shed nearly 300pips in the last 2 weeks so the market is probably factoring this in.

If Cameron wins then it'll probably have a bounce.

My money is on Cameron pinching it, with Brown heading off back to Scotland safe in the knowledge that not only was he the worst Chancellor we've ever had, he was also the worst (non-elected) Prime Minister we've had too!
Report 56 April 29, 2010 3:58 PM BST
and cameron will be a roaring success
Report getting better April 29, 2010 4:16 PM BST
The election is on Thursday 6th May. Polls close at 10PM so you don't have to worry about it until Friday morning.
Report Pastie April 30, 2010 10:00 AM BST
56 29 Apr 15:58


and cameron will be a roaring success


Can't be any worse that the one-eyed Scottish freakshow!
Report Pastie April 30, 2010 10:00 AM BST
*than
Report Jobroke April 30, 2010 10:18 AM BST
hung parliament with Labour most seats.
Report Pastie May 7, 2010 10:42 AM BST
Did you take any positions Mr Ben?
Report Mrben May 8, 2010 10:47 PM BST
no pastie.I been out for  about a month at zero positions.I missed the big downdraught.
After the 1000 point "glitch" one must serious consider the trustworthyness of the system.
Report Pastie May 9, 2010 2:17 AM BST
That's a shame. Combined with the issues with Greece, trading on EUR/USD and cable has been a doddle. I've easily had my most profitable two weeks trading since the GFC and the big drops that occurred then!!!
Report Mrben May 10, 2010 3:50 AM BST
well done pastie.good onya. just be careful now, watchout for a big euro rebound.Also  the AUD will rebound this week im betting.[;)]
Report Biodiesel May 10, 2010 2:30 PM BST
time to short the euro again, for a trade at least
Report Pastie May 10, 2010 2:58 PM BST
Cheers Mr Ben.

I occasionally look at AUD. However, only against JPY. Whilst it hasn't happened yet, long term I'm bearish against the USD. I just think the train left that particular station a long time ago.

Cable will probably be tricky this week with the election still causing ripples.

However, I might short cable and E/U if and when we get a rally up towards the daily 50sma.

The Euro also has a gap to fill so it 'should' go down to around 1.2750 before heading back up.

Long term keep an eye on USD / JPY.
Report Biodiesel May 10, 2010 3:31 PM BST
Euro trade looking sweet already.

Medium-long term view
Short AUD/USD. Long USD/JPY.
Report The Investor May 10, 2010 10:04 PM BST
I don't do currency trading.

Made a nice profit on the election though.
Oddly enough, following the coverage on tv, I noticed that Sky and BBC were way slower with results than ITV.
Report Pastie May 11, 2010 1:24 PM BST
Biodiesel
Joined: 04 May 05
Replies: 772 10 May 10 15:31   
Euro trade looking sweet already.

Medium-long term view
Short AUD/USD. Long USD/JPY. 


Completely agree old boy. I'm waiting for the 50sma to cross below the 200sma on the daily chart and I'll be ready with the shorts on A/U. Might take a while to materialise though.

Already long on U/J. S/L almost got taken out with the huge spike down last week. Still in tact though. I've brought it up to break even just in case there's more madness this week.
Report Pastie May 13, 2010 11:31 AM BST
biodiesel - are you trading EUR/USD today?

I shorted for 75 pips earlier. Expecting a bit of a retrace before the NY open. Unless the US unemployment claims come in at a shocking figure, I can see the Euro getting another c0ck up the @rse a bit later today.

Possibly from around the 1.2617-39 level.
Post Your Reply
<CTRL+Enter> to submit
Please login to post a reply.

Wonder

Instance ID: 13539
www.betfair.com