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Benny brown trousers
08 Jul 09 14:53
Joined:
Date Joined: 05 Jul 09
| Topic/replies: 9,487 | Blogger: Benny brown trousers's blog
my pal brian has told me to buy gold. he is never wrong. LUMP ON
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Report DonWarro July 8, 2009 2:55 PM BST
lol. the herd is arriving huh
Report mikaad July 8, 2009 4:20 PM BST
Looks shrewd after today, can't go lower than 900$, cannot it?
Report DonWarro July 8, 2009 4:22 PM BST
i was certainly not suggesting otherwise :)
Report jack12321 July 8, 2009 4:42 PM BST
I love how its working at the moment :)

US data comes out awful, people buy US treasuries as "safety", which pushes up the dollar which reduces the price of gold.

Strange world!

It wont stay that way :)
Report jack12321 July 8, 2009 4:44 PM BST
Long term up trend is broken, could well go into the 800's imo.

Thank god I got stopped out at 917
Report Walter Tull VC July 8, 2009 4:59 PM BST
The dollar index is up for the sixth day in a row so unless gold can decouple from the inverse relationship to the dollar the only is down for the next six months as the dollar appreciates.
Report old ace July 8, 2009 5:16 PM BST
gold is for mugs
better orff buying threepenny bits in mint condition
Report teo813 July 9, 2009 9:08 AM BST
Long term uptrend is NOT broken.

Besides, we have a inverse h-s formation with two support levels on 906 and 870.

Gold price today is 914.

As a conclusion, personally i think 906-910 is an excellent entry point for anyone who wants to invest on gold.

When the (huge) 1000 resistance is broken, SKY WILL BE THE LIMIT ;)

Time will tell.
Report Jim Hensen July 9, 2009 2:10 PM BST
Inverse to the dollar yes, but largely as a result of the coupling with oil which is now deflating. If it was purely inverse to the dollar it would be rising in £ terms which it is not. How low can oil go, before it decouples from that, is the question for me.

I thought a inverse H&S could only follow a long term downtrend to signal a change to the uptrend. As it is the pattern appears at the top of an uptrend. What if anything does that signal?
Report DonWarro July 9, 2009 2:23 PM BST
manipulated market lol
Report Ronaldinho's dentist July 9, 2009 3:34 PM BST
Gordon Brown is on the case
Report bigH July 9, 2009 8:33 PM BST
attended a very interesting presentation today by a major economic think-tank

very convincing argument that what is occuring in the markets at the moment is an unmaintainable blip and the following will happen in the next 18 months in UK

1. Housing market falls by a further 30% from where we are now
2. Unemployment over 3.2m
3. FTSE falls to low 3000's
4. Banks still in major trouble
5. Gold goes to $1500

worrying times
Report DonWarro July 9, 2009 8:41 PM BST
interesting indeed, thx.

the think tanks catch up to our predictions eventuallly eh. way ahead of the curve here :)
Report Ronaldinho's dentist July 9, 2009 9:41 PM BST
dont see house prices falling a further 30%, average house price around £105,000.00?
Report Jim Hensen July 9, 2009 9:52 PM BST
You don't foresee house prices at 4 x average salary? Think again bud.
Report teo813 July 9, 2009 11:27 PM BST
Jim Hensen 09 Jul 15:10
Inverse to the dollar yes, but largely as a result of the coupling with oil which is now deflating. If it was purely inverse to the dollar it would be rising in £ terms which it is not. How low can oil go, before it decouples from that, is the question for me.

I thought a inverse H&S could only follow a long term downtrend to signal a change to the uptrend. As it is the pattern appears at the top of an uptrend. What if anything does that signal?

__________________________________________________________________________


-Inverse H-S pattern on the top of a trend is a very bullish pattern.
-If you check the GBP-USD chart you can see that it has broken through the floor of a rising trend channel with a huge resistance at 1.66, i cannot see GBP going higher at all. And, as I expekt gold to continue the uptrend against the dollar, so do I expekt it to do against the pound.
-Oil will soon reach the first resistance at 50 but i think we will see the mars lows of 34. I dont expekt the gold to follow the same trend of course.

(just my opinions)

regards
Report teo813 July 9, 2009 11:32 PM BST
The only thing that worries me with the gold is that the H-S pattern can be seen as a double top pattern as well ;) and thats the reason why the second support at 870 is so crucial. (the first is at 906).
If the 870 support is broken, the goldbags have a reason to worry about.
Report Walter Tull VC July 10, 2009 2:03 AM BST
Inverse to the US dollar index, JH. GBP has a 11.9% weighting in the index so GBP against the USD and USDX can both appreciate. The chartists might be right with their funny patterns but I just see everything for the rest of the year as a dollar index story. I see the USDX appreciating to around 85, so unless gold decouples it will go down.
Report old ace July 10, 2009 8:59 AM BST
gold plc doesnt pay much in the way of divi,s
Report teo813 July 10, 2009 12:23 PM BST
the first support (906) is being tested today
Report Rigi123 July 10, 2009 12:24 PM BST
Looks like price is heading sub $900 to me. Just shorted at $907.
Report Jim Hensen July 10, 2009 12:27 PM BST
apologies Walter, I ought to be able to read properly by now ;-)
Report Cymro July 10, 2009 9:46 PM BST
Gold fell as a stronger dollar and lower oil prices curbed the metals appeal as an alternative investment and inflation hedge. Silver also slid.

Gold futures dropped 2 percent for the week, the second straight decline. The metal typically falls when the dollar rises, and the U.S. currency is up 0.4 percent against the euro for the week. Oil touched the lowest since May 19 in New York, and marked its sharpest weekly drop since January.

Report teo813 September 3, 2009 9:18 AM BST
September is historically the best month for gold and as we experience the last days it just broke up through a big technical resistance at 980, the next days will show us if this is a fake break or not.
The thing is that the period of consolidation has come to an end.
So by the end of september, we could see either 1200 or 800, interesting days ahead :)


SKY IS THE LIMITTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTTT
Report Sir Denis Eton-Hogg September 3, 2009 11:24 AM BST
it just broke up through a big technical resistance at 980, the next days will show us if this is a fake break or not

does this make any sense?
Report teo813 September 3, 2009 11:31 AM BST
-hold over 980 the next 2-3 days = confirmation of the break = buy signal.
-if it retreats below 980 the next 2-3 days = the break was fake = sell signal

does it make sense now?
Report Sir Denis Eton-Hogg September 3, 2009 12:24 PM BST
sounds like a load of baloney to me. just the usual sort of rubbish that 'market experts' come up with to try to make sense of fairly irrational markets
Report teo813 September 3, 2009 12:48 PM BST
im not a market expert but i am glad that most people think the markets are irrational
Report Sir Denis Eton-Hogg September 3, 2009 1:06 PM BST
if u can explain to me waht exactly is causing this 'resistance' at 980 i would be very grateful
Report teo813 September 3, 2009 2:04 PM BST
You are probably fishing but anyway, have a look at the 6-month gold chart.

http://www.kitco.com/charts/popup/au0182nyb.html

This is a triangle with higher bottoms and lower tops- a consolidation pattern.
As you see the triangle is broken upwards.

980 is the top of 27 maj-5 juni.
Historically lows-tops= future support-resistances.
Thus, 980 is-was a key level-resistance.
Report Narcolepzzzzzz September 3, 2009 4:18 PM BST
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article12887.html
Report Leven September 3, 2009 8:50 PM BST
Don't be distracted by the equity markets, keep your eye on the currencies - gold broke out first against £ of all the majors.....buckle up!
Report treetop September 6, 2009 4:21 AM BST
Ignore all this advice....... and sell at $275 an ounce. Gordon did and he is the best Labour chancellor we have ever had......................
Report teo813 September 8, 2009 1:59 PM BST
1005!
Report teo813 September 8, 2009 3:54 PM BST
995 now lol bull trap on the way?
Report Murgutpura September 8, 2009 4:11 PM BST
i am bullish on gold for the future for many reasons but when it finally breaks the previous
highs over the 1000 barrier it will burst through with a massive rise,not the trickle we are
seeing currently.
the present market in gold,just like the stock market at present,is easily manipulated.
there will be a golden future but not just yet.
Report Rugbyleaguer September 8, 2009 9:12 PM BST
I bought today after advice of someone I trust, many people who are trying to be surpressed say it could hit a level that will shock everyone.

Great article here.

http://news.goldseek.com/EricHommelberg/1251910800.php
Report Al Dente September 12, 2009 9:50 PM BST
FWIW, Seems to me that gold is rising because the USA is pursuing a fiscal policy that depresses the dollar. It seems therefore that gold will continue to rise as long as such a policy is maintained. It would be ideal for the gold bugs to see a further rise before a fallback to a mark above $1000 before pushing upwards once more. The expectation would then be of a $1000 dollar floor price.
However if Bernanke and his crew changed their plan to: "do nothing," or introduce anything else that may hint of deflation the Gold price would drop pretty sharply.
Report engy-carlisle September 14, 2009 9:29 PM BST
IS THIS WHY THERES A LOAD OF ADVERTS ON TV NOW WANTING TO BUY EVERYONES GOLD?
Report teo813 October 6, 2009 1:23 PM BST
1033
Report what do i do now? October 6, 2009 3:27 PM BST
what price did mr bown sell at all those yrs ago?
Report teo813 October 6, 2009 3:37 PM BST
around 250-270? he sold at the bottom
Report what do i do now? October 6, 2009 3:40 PM BST
we are indeed blessed to have him in charge, aint we?
Report crediter October 6, 2009 3:50 PM BST
i suggested last year buy gold think it was $400 then...dont know how to check.
Report crediter October 6, 2009 3:50 PM BST
i suggested last year buy gold think it was $400 then...dont know how to check.
Report teo813 October 6, 2009 4:07 PM BST
You have to go back to 2004 to find gold so cheap as 400.
Report teo813 October 6, 2009 4:09 PM BST
http://www.kitco.com/gold_currency/charts.htm?EURO
Report crediter October 6, 2009 4:27 PM BST
god was it that long ago....think also hornby.as well.
Report teo813 November 3, 2009 6:16 PM GMT
1085
Report Rugbyleaguer November 3, 2009 8:50 PM GMT
Heard india bought 200 tons of the stuff, anyway closed my position and made a good whack, still want to get back on if/when market settles again.
Report teo813 November 11, 2009 2:05 PM GMT
1116
Report Benny brown trousers December 27, 2009 11:50 AM GMT
brian has just called me...SELL FOR YOUR LIFE
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