Feb 3, 2015 -- 11:52AM, Darlo Bantam wrote:
Maybe I'm missing something obvious, but why would you fix a match, and have the player you know is going to lose the match, win the first set and back his opponent at 1.10 to 1.30 ish, when you could have backed him at 5+? Must be the most stupid fixers.
They were too greedy, trying to get too much many matched in a relatively low liquidity challenger market. Thus, the huge skewing in price.
Feb 3, 2015 -- 4:07PM, n88uk wrote:
Well if you know your bet will win, why does it matter what the price is ultimately. If it's a 100% sure thing, the price doesn't matter. On Betfair, do Betfair even really care where the bets are coming from, they're just happy to have more bets to get more commission from.The one time Betfair voided a match, it basically backfired. The investigation went on a long time, and eventually Davydenko was cleared of any wrongdoing. This will make them heavily reluctant to do it again, just because it's not in their interests to do so.
Don't agree with this. If you can get 10k on at 1.10 which is the price during the first set despite Velotti losing it, you win £1k. Were you to wait for the correct price at maybe 6s, you'd have won £60k isntead. Massive difference.
There was a match at Maui last week where someone stormed in with £7k on the outsider, Garanganga just before he broke and eventually won. I suspect it was just luck rather than a known fix, but that's the demonstration in price difference.