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luckystar670
13 May 13 10:00
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Date Joined: 31 Aug 07
| Topic/replies: 174 | Blogger: luckystar670's blog
Any reason for Ramos' odds being as high as 1.40?

He didn't play the Madrid tournament last week. Any injury?

Before that he was beaten by an in form Wawrinka in Portugal, and Ramos still managed to take a set in that match.

• Ramos 25 years old and ranked no 25 in the world, but as a Spaniard clay should be his specialty.

• Hajek 29 y.o. and ranked no 101 in the world.

His most recent tournament was a challenger tournament on clay in his home country Czech republic, and he was beatin in the 3rd round by 105 ranked Steve Darcis.

Sounds like today's match Ramos vs Hajek will be an easy win for Ramos, or am I missing something?

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Replies: 11
By:
luckystar670
When: 13 May 13 10:01
"Ramos 25 years old and ranked no 25 in the world"

Should be no 65 in the world.
By:
WhiteAl
When: 13 May 13 10:16
Hajek gained pretty good confidence from recent DC, seems to be playing pretty good according to trending stats
Little info on Ramos since Portugal, thus market has to place some doubt on his price, especially since the match has no pics
By:
luckystar670
When: 13 May 13 10:27
Re: WhiteAl

Ok, good point about Hajek doing well recently in Davis Cup.

It was Czech Republic (Hajek's nation) vs Kazakhstan on clay indoors 5-7 April 2013 where Hajek beat Kukushkin (ranked #216 in the world) in 3 straight sets (6-3, 6-2, 6-4). Well done by Hajek, but was it that good since Kukushkin isn't in such good form anymore?
By:
luckystar670
When: 13 May 13 10:33
Looks like Hajek started the match well and broke Ramos to 3-2 in 1st set. Ramos didn't even win a point in his broken service game.
By:
luckystar670
When: 13 May 13 10:37
Hajek confirms break and now leads 1st set 4-2. At least Ramos managed to win 2 points in that game.
By:
luckystar670
When: 13 May 13 10:40
At least Ramos held his following service game but still Hajek managed to win 2 points in that game.

Now 4-3 to Hajek in 1st set and Hajek to serve next.
By:
luckystar670
When: 13 May 13 10:47
Hajek holds serve and now 5-3 to H in 1st set. At least Ramos managed to take 3 points in that game to 40-40 but then H won the following 2 points and the game.
By:
luckystar670
When: 13 May 13 10:55
Phew! Hajek had set point A-40 but Ramos turned it around and finally held his service game.

Now 5-4 to Hajek in 1st set and H to serve next...
By:
luckystar670
When: 13 May 13 11:01
Ramos breaks back! Now 5-5 in 1st set and R to serve next.

Ramos first had a break point 30-40, but H won the next point to 40-40. Then 40-A to Ramos and break.

Should be game, set and match Ramos now?
By:
luckystar670
When: 13 May 13 11:04
Ramos holds his service game more comfortably and now 6-5 to Ramos in 1st set. Hajek won only 1 point in that game.

Hajek to serve next.
By:
luckystar670
When: 13 May 13 11:10
Ramos breaks Hajek's service game and wins 1st set 7-5!

Nice turnaround from Ramos having been down a break previously in the set.

Can't see Hajek winning this now.

Odds now 1.14 for Ramos win meaning 88% implied probability for Ramow win (1 divided by 1.14).
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