Tennis
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18 Oct 12
10:55
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Date Joined:
10 Jul 08
It seems that this week only just over 50% of favourites have won.
Is this coincidence or is it an end of season thing?
Does it happen every year?
Is this coincidence or is it an end of season thing?
Does it happen every year?
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Think it's probably just normal variance. There will be some weeks where 80% of favs win. Over the year it will even itself out. Also, a lot of the early matches this week had pretty weak favs in the 1.65-1.9 range. They're technically favourites as it's only a two runner market but not very strong. Saying just over 50% of favs won is meaningless without the prices. There have been some rather nice gubbings though with Monfils et al getting beat from very short SP's.
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these are low level competitions what do you expect.
just look at queens club this year for instance. |
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finish of the season is definately a minefield for low odds favs to back imo, you must be very careful, not to speak about 1.6+ favs, where everything can happen depending on level of fitness and motivation.
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I think it's the time of year, Paris always a minefield
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bartoli out, kirilenko?
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its always like this end of the year
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5-1 up,seen it all now.
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Granpa, 54% of all favourites and 60% at 1.5 or lower have won so far this week.
Given that you say 80% might win in other weeks what would you say was the average: 70%? |
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71% of favourites won yesterday boosting the overall total to 59%.
Yesterday only 3 favourites were greater than 1.5 and two of those won. Fascinating stuff eh? |
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im getting hammered tonight if thats any help?
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Venus?
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Haas
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tips.
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A turn around in fortunes for the favourites as the week went on, finishing with 65% success overall.
From the Thursday onwards success rate was 70% plus, culminating in all 5 favs winning yesterday and landing a nice 3.75 acca |
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monaco 4 seed lost 1.35.?
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warwinka,1.36.more to come.
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Pea heart Tsonga 1.23.Even wta finish a set before breaking into tears.
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fed scraped through,against non seed.
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aza 1.07 in trouble.
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match point kerber.
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Raonic lost to Muller, what where the odds?
It's really end of the season |
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kerber did a mugrey.
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isner 5s,out.
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although Delpo has 43 wins in row when odds are under 1,2, he could be next suprise. With securing spot in London he could tank today and rest for Paris. Four weeks in a row are to much even for players in better shape then he is.
Or he is going for 500 points here and 1500 in London? :) |
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wta championship,schedules are barmy very unfair.
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djokeavic OUT.
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1.01 Djoker OUT
****one matched at 300/1 |
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renamed Chokovic
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Djoker handed it over wrapped in with a bandarole around the present - never (!) will bet on him anymore. That wasn`t ever a choke that was fraud! If this happend in another sport, you will be suspended on the spot.
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6-7 7-5 6-2 Murray I guess
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This, Madrid and the one in China are the worst 1000 master tournament. Just lay the favourites in these competitions. You get more favourites winning in 500 tourenments than these 3.
@RHMrNice |